[海外]赛事分析预测:伯恩利vs AFC伯恩茅斯预测

海外来料 2024-03-01 13:39:49 83 上一篇下一篇

本文由海外专家Aaron Rogan@aaron_rogan独家放送:
  • 伯恩茅斯队69%的客场比赛进球超过3.5球
  • 这两支球队本赛季总共丢了105球
  • 伯恩利在过去五场比赛中丢了16球

伯恩茅斯沸腾了

伯恩茅斯’;在Andoni Iraola的带领下,赛季中期的崛起足以让他们摆脱危险,并在杯赛中大放异彩,但樱桃队现在状态不佳。他们’;他们在英超联赛中七场不胜,而在周中的足总杯上被莱斯特击败。

樱桃在这个学期表现出了真正的品质,但他们;重新陷入保级之战。他们赢了’;我不想在磨合中为生存而流汗,但他们与倒数第三名的差距已经缩小到8分。星期日’;对排名倒数第二的伯恩利来说,这可能是樱桃队的成败,因为未能获得最高分数可能会让他们想知道下一场胜利来自哪里。

Clarets正在进入第二梯队

本赛季初,文森特·孔帕尼有望带领伯恩利轻松完成中场比赛。然而,他们’;本学期我只获得了13分,他们;重新滑回冠军宝座。本赛季与肖恩·戴奇(Sean Dyche)执教的第一个英超赛季相似,当时他们赢得了升级,基本上接受了降级,并计划复出。

孔帕尼是否也有同样的意愿留下来还有待观察,因为去年夏天孔帕尼与一些工作联系在一起。它’;很难看到他策划了任何形式的后期冲刺,克拉伦斯队在过去九场比赛中输掉了七场,一场也没赢。

伯恩利本赛季遭遇了19场失利;我们输掉了13场主场比赛中的10场,所以伯恩茅斯队真的需要瞄准这场比赛,因为他们正在拼命寻找动力。

樱桃可能会源源不断

这两支球队都可能被指责有点过于冒险,但伯恩茅斯确实有很好的进攻选择,他们可以在此基础上再接再厉。伯恩利是一支在后场非常挣扎的球队,本赛季他们在13场主场比赛中丢了32球。虽然他们在自己的场地上平均每场比赛都能进一球,但他们对前进的承诺往往会让他们付出代价。

伯恩茅斯队本赛季有很多得分很高的比赛,他们的防守仍需努力。在客场,樱桃队有69%的比赛至少进了四球。伯恩利在几乎一半的主场比赛中都看到了同样的情况,但这在很大程度上取决于对手;的得分率比他们自己的得分率高。

伯恩茅斯队将为伯恩利队留下空档,但这很可能会演变成一场点球大战,客队应该接受。到目前为止,两人总共丢了105球,双方的防守都不可信。将超过3.5个进球视为最突出的赌注,而Billing是一个很好的随时进球的选择。他还有一段路要走,才能追平上赛季的7粒进球,但他在周中被安排为进攻型中场,并在射门方面领先球队。丹麦人非常注重进球,他可以惩罚伯恩利漏洞百出的防守。

预言: 超过3.5个比赛进球
AFC伯恩茅斯3-1
Philip Billing随时得分


外文原文如下:

  • Bournemouth have seen over 3.5 goals in 69% of their away games
  • These two sides have conceded a combined 105 goals this term
  • Burnley have let in 16 goals across their last five matches

Bournemouth off the boil

Bournemouth’s midseason rise under Andoni Iraola was enough to get them clear of danger and spark a run in the cup, but the Cherries are firmly out-of-sorts right now. They’re winless in seven in the Premier League, while they were beaten in the FA Cup by Leicester in midweek.

The Cherries have shown real quality this term, but they’re sinking back into the relegation battle. They won’t want to be sweating over survival in the run-in, but the gap between them and the bottom three has been cut to eight points. Sunday’s visit to second-bottom Burnley could be make or break for the Cherries, as failing to take maximum points could leave them wondering where their next win is coming from.

Clarets are sinking into second tier

At the start of the season, Vincent Kompany was expected to guide Burnley into a comfortable midtable finish. However, they’ve claimed just 13 points this term and they’re sliding back to the Championship. This season has been similar to their first in the Premier League under Sean Dyche, when they won promotion, largely accepted relegation and planned for a comeback.

It remains to be seen if Kompany has the same intention to stick around, having been linked with some jobs last summer. It’s hard to see him masterminding any kind of late rush to safety, with the Clarets losing seven of their last nine games and winning none.

Burnley have suffered 19 defeats this term and they’ve lost 10 of their 13 home games, so Bournemouth really need to target this clash as they desperately search for a boost.

Cherries likely to pour forward

Both of these sides can be accused of being a little too adventurous, but Bournemouth do have great attacking options who can build off that. Burnley are a side who are really struggling at the back, having conceded 32 times across their 13 home matches this season. While they do score a goal-per-game on average at their own ground, their commitment to going forward does tend to cost them.

Bournemouth have seen plenty of high scoring matches this term, with their defence still needing work. Away from home the Cherries have seen an incredible 69% of their matches finish with at least four goals scored. Burnley have seen the same in almost half of their home games, but that largely depends on the opposition’s scoring rate more than their own.

Bournemouth will leave gaps for Burnley here, but this is likely to turn into a shootout and the visitors should take it. Neither defence can be trusted with the pair conceding a combined 105 goals so far. Look to over 3.5 goals as the standout bet, while Billing is a great anytime goalscorer option. He has some way to go to match his seven goals from last term, but he was deployed as an attacking midfielder in midweek and led the side in shots. The Dane has a real eye for goal and he can punish a leaky Burnley defence.

Predictions:Over 3.5 Match Goals
AFC Bournemouth 3-1
Philip Billing To Score Anytime

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