- 在阿拉维斯队的四场比赛中，至少有两个进球；最近五场西甲比赛以及最近两场客场比赛
- 在瓦列布西亚有三个和六个进球；最近两场西甲比赛
- 瓦伦西亚门将焦尔吉·马马尔达什维利本赛季在西甲联赛中保持了12场零封对手，本场比赛停赛
马马达什维利的失误可能会让比赛更有趣
两家以保持紧张著称的俱乐部可能会在周日打进几个球；西甲联赛中欧洲追逐瓦伦西亚和保级威胁阿拉维斯之间的冲突。
洛斯·切在本赛季与梅斯塔拉的比赛中平均每场只进1.81球，而阿拉维斯在客场比赛中平均只进了两球。
但是瓦伦西亚停赛的门将马马达什维利的缺席可能会给这里带来很大的不同。在西甲联赛中，格鲁吉亚门将的预期进球数（xG）比其他门将都多。
如果生存有保证，阿拉维斯可能是一个危险的对手
这场比赛的进球预期可能会在比赛开始前上升，还有另一个主要原因，这与皇家马德里有关；s前一天对阵加的斯的比赛。如果加的斯未能击败卡洛·安切洛蒂，阿拉维斯将有可能在顶级联赛中幸存下来；这可能会导致教练路易斯·加西亚松开手刹。
他们最近的两个结果，主场2-0战胜马德里竞技和3-0战胜塞尔塔维戈，表明他们无论如何都有能力创造一些美好的时刻。如果他们能保证熬夜的话，他们对瓦伦西亚来说可能会变得更加危险。
超过1.5个进球的几率很少超过1/2，在这种情况下，由于瓦伦西亚在五场比赛中连续四场零封对手后开始再次失球，因此可能以1-1战平对手，这一代价看起来非常值得。
- At least two goals have been scored in four of Alaves’ last five La Liga games and each of their last two on the road
- There has been three and six goals in Valebcia’s last two La Liga matches
- Valencia goalkeeper Giorgi Mamardashvili, who has kept 12 clean sheets in La Liga this season, is suspended for this game
Mamardashvili miss could make it more interesting
Two clubs with reputations for keeping things tight could produce a couple of goals in Sunday’s La Liga clash between Europe-chasing Valencia and relegation-threatened Alaves.
Los Che have averaged only 1.81 goals per game at their Mestalla matches this season while there have been exactly two goals scored when Alaves play away, on average.
But the absence of suspended Valencia shot-stopper Giorgi Mamardashvili could make a big difference here. The Georgian has prevented more goals in terms of expected goals (xG) on target faced than any other keeper in La Liga.
Alaves could be a dangerous opponent if survival is assured
There is another major reason why the goal expectation for this clash could rise before it kicks off, which is linked to Real Madrid’s match against Cadiz the day before. Alaves will be assured of top-flight survival if Cadiz fail to beat Carlo Ancelotti’s side and that could lead to coach Luis Garcia letting the handbrake off.
Their last two results, a 2-0 home win over Atletico Madrid and a 3-0 victory over Celta Vigo, suggest they are capable of producing some good moments anyway. And they probably become more dangerous to Valencia if they are guaranteed to stay up.
Backing over 1.5 goals rarely comes at odds of better than 1/2, and in these circumstances, the price looks well worth taking with a 1-1 draw possible due to Valencia beginning to leak goals again after a run of four clean sheets in five.
