[海外]赛事分析预测:曼联vs纽卡斯尔预测

海外来料 2024-05-13 20:52:02 178 上一篇下一篇

本文由海外专家Aaron Ashley@aaron_ashley95独家放送:
  • 曼联在过去六次与纽卡斯尔的比赛中只赢了一场
  • 曼联在过去的11场联赛中只赢了两场
  • 纽卡斯尔在过去六场联赛中赢了四场

纽卡斯尔可以增强欧洲资格赛的希望

欧洲资格的争夺正在加剧,但曼联在过去11场英超比赛中仅取得两场胜利,这严重削弱了其前六名的希望。

红魔在周日主场1比0负于夺冠热门阿森纳的比赛中提供了一些抵抗,但六天前他们在水晶宫4比0的溃败中被击败。

曼联糟糕的联赛状态意味着他们的主要注意力将集中在与曼城的足总杯决赛上,这是他们进入欧洲的另一条途径,而他们在主场面对排名第六、比埃里克·滕·哈格的球队高出三分的纽卡斯尔时显得很脆弱。

自3月初以来,曼联在联赛中的唯一一场胜利是在主场4-2战胜降级的谢菲尔德联队,在过去的八场比赛中,他们在战平布伦特福德、伯恩茅斯和伯恩利的比赛中也失分。

耗尽的主场防守将受到惩罚

伤病并没有让滕哈格的生活变得更轻松,尤其是在防守方面,在最近两次输给阿森纳和皇宫的比赛中,他不得不让卡塞米罗和乔尼·埃文斯担任中后卫。

哈里·马奎尔、利桑德罗·马丁内斯和维克托·林德洛夫的目标是重返足总杯决赛,
除非Willy Kambwala获得信任票,否则情况似乎将再次出现。

这可能会给纽卡斯尔队带来麻烦,因为他们的进球状态很好。

喜鹊队在周六1-1战平布莱顿的比赛中感到沮丧,但在此之前,他们已经赢得了七场联赛中的五场,最近三场胜利分别是4-0、5-1和4-1。

在24球前锋亚历山大·伊萨克(Alexander Isak)的带领下,安东尼·戈登(Anthony Gordon)和卡勒姆·威尔逊(Callum Wilson)的支持下,纽卡斯尔有足够的资源来惩罚耗尽的主场防守。

曼联在过去的19场联赛中只保持了两次零封对手,这是他们最近经常遇到的一场比赛。

喜鹊可以保持最近的统治地位

纽卡斯尔在过去三次交锋中都以零比零获胜,其中包括本赛季早些时候在老特拉福德举行的EFL杯上以令人信服的3-0获胜。

布鲁诺·费尔南德斯的回归可能会鼓舞曼联,但纽卡斯尔特也有很多有影响力的球员回归,基兰·特里皮尔、米格尔·阿尔米隆和乔林顿都回来了,以加强位置竞争。

埃迪·豪的球队必须继续获胜,才能击败切尔西获得第六名,他们可以在老特拉福德获胜,布莱顿、皇宫、伯恩茅斯和富勒姆都在本赛季的联赛中获胜。

但是,十分之二的零封对手表明曼联可能能够取得进球,这表明2-1可能是正确得分的投注者所采取的方法。

预言: 纽卡斯尔获胜
纽卡斯尔2-1


外文原文如下:

  • Manchester United have won only one of their last six meetings with Newcastle
  • United have won only two of their last 11 league games
  • Newcastle have won four of their last six league matches

Newcastle can bolster European qualification hopes

The race for European qualification is intensifying but Manchester United’s top-six hopes have been severely dented by a run of only two wins in their last 11 Premier League games.

The Red Devils offered some resistance in Sunday’s 1-0 defeat at home to title-chasing Arsenal but they had been blown away in a 4-0 rout at Crystal Palace six days earlier.

United’s poor league form means that their main focus will be on their FA Cup final with Manchester City, which is their other avenue into Europe, and they look vulnerable at home to Newcastle, who sit sixth and are three points above Erik ten Hag’s side.

United’s only win in the league since early March came in a 4-2 victory at home to relegated Sheffield United, with them also dropping points in draws with Brentford, Bournemouth and Burnley within their last eight outings.

Depleted home defence set to be punished

Injuries are not making life any easier for Ten Hag, especially in defence where he has had to deploy Casemiro and Jonny Evans at centre-back for their latest two defeats to Arsenal and Palace.

With Harry Maguire, Lisandro Martinez and Victor Lindelof targeting a FA Cup final return,
that looks set to be the case once more unless Willy Kambwala gets the vote of confidence.

And that could spell trouble against a Newcastle side in a rich vein of scoring form.

The Magpies were frustrated in a 1-1 draw with Brighton on Saturday but they had won five of their seven league games prior to that, with their last three victories coming via 4-0, 5-1 and 4-1 scorelines.

With 24-goal forward Alexander Isak leading the line and Anthony Gordon and Callum Wilson in support, Newcastle have the resources to punish a depleted home defence.

United have managed only two clean sheets in their last 19 league games and this is a fixture they have typically struggled in recently.

Magpies can maintain recent dominance

Newcastle have won the last three meetings between the sides to nil, which includes a convincing 3-0 victory at Old Trafford in the EFL Cup earlier in the season.

United may be buoyed by the return of Bruno Fernandes but Newcaslte have plenty of impact players returning too, with Kieran Trippier, Miguel Almiron and Joelinton all back to bolster competition for places.

Eddie Howe’s men must keep winning to fend off Chelsea for sixth and they can triumph at Old Trafford, where Brighton, Palace, Bournemouth and Fulham have all won in the league this season.

But two clean sheets in ten suggests United may be able to get on the scoresheet, which suggests 2-1 could be the approach to take for correct-score bettors.

Predictions:Newcastle to Win
Newcastle 2-1

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