[海外]赛事分析预测:直布罗陀vs威尔士预测

海外来料 2024-06-05 20:40:39 51 上一篇下一篇

本文由海外专家Aaron Ashley@aaron_ashley95独家放送:
  • 直布罗陀队在过去的13场国际比赛中以0落败
  • 威尔士队在过去八场国际友谊赛中有六场保持零封对手
  • 威尔士队在10月主场迎战直布罗陀队时以4比0获胜

威尔士应该在巡航控制中

直布罗陀队输掉了最近13场国际比赛,这场比赛可以追溯到2022年11月,他们在对阵威尔士的比赛中看起来肯定会力不从心。

在此期间,东道主一球未进,其中包括10月在威尔士以4-0逆转的比赛,当时他们甚至一球未射,龙队获得28球。

周一,直布罗陀队在与苏格兰队的比赛中被2-0击败,他们完全占据了优势,鞑靼军队拥有76%的控球率,并以25-1的比分赢得了比赛。

尽管威尔士队未能获得欧洲锦标赛的参赛资格,但他们应该不会担心在这场比赛中脱颖而出,尽管主教练罗伯·佩奇可能足智多谋,给不同的球员上场时间。

进球害羞的吉布会让事情保持体面

明诺直布罗陀队知道他们无法与威尔士队匹敌,所以他们的目标是保持固执,坐得很深,试图挫败对手。

这不太可能奏效,但至少应该有助于他们保持可观的比分,支持威尔士获胜,4.5球以下的进球可能是解决这一问题的方法。

这是龙队自10月4-0击败吉布队以来的最近一场友谊赛,他们在之前的18场国际友谊赛中只进了一球或更少。

尽管直布罗陀最近陷入了困境,但在过去13场失利中,只有3场丢球超过4球。其中四场失利以3-0结束,这可能是正确得分的投注者的兴趣所在。

 

预言: 威尔士队将获胜并低于4.5个比赛进球
威尔士3-0


外文原文如下:

  • Gibraltar have lost their last 13 internationals to nil
  • Wales have kept clean sheets in six of their last eight international friendlies
  • Wales were 4-0 winners when hosting Gibraltar in October

Wales should be in cruise control

Gibraltar have lost their last 13 internationals, a run stretching back to November 2022, and they look sure to be out of their depth against Wales.

The hosts have failed to score a single goal during that period, which includes a 4-0 reverse in Wales in October when they didn’t even manage a single shot as the Dragons racked up 28.

Gibraltar were beaten 2-0 when entertaining Scotland on Monday and they were utterly dominated, with the Tartan Army having 76 per cent possession and winning the shot stats 25-1.

Although Wales failed to qualify for the European Championships, they should have few concerns coming out on top in this one, albeit manager Rob Page is likely to be resourceful and give various players minutes.

Goal-shy Gib out to keep things respectable

Minnows Gibraltar know they can’t match Wales so they’ll aim to be stubborn, sitting deep and attempting to frustrate their opponents.

That is unlikely to work but it should at least help them keep the score respectable and backing Wales to win and under 4.5 goals could be the way to approach this.

This is the Dragons’ most recent friendly since they defeated Gib 4-0 in October and they had scored one goal or fewer in their previous 18 international friendlies.

For all their recent struggles, Gibraltar have conceded more than four goals in only three of their last 13 defeats. Four of those losses ended 3-0 and that could be the interest for correct-score punters.

 

Predictions:Wales to Win and Under 4.5 Match Goals
Wales 3-0

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