Romania vs Ukraine
Romania and Ukraine lock horns in this EURO 2024 Group E opening round battle at Allianz Arena in Munich Monday evening Beijing time. A match of mediocre quality by this tournament's standards is on the cards here. Most importantly, we have yet another very interesting betting opportunity here! We have won five of the last six picks betting on this competition, taking into account the EURO 2020. Romania are one of the worst teams in this tournament in terms of pure class. They have a well-organized defence but offensively they are very lame. Yes, they won the Qualification Group I with 22 points to their account but I will not be fooled by this. Group I was one of the worst groups in qualification – the other countries being Switzerland, who finished 2nd, Israel (3rd), Belarus (4th), Kosovo (5th), Andorra (6th). Romania scored 16 goals and conceded five goals. Their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) was clearly bigger though.. They have failed to win any of their last four matches, despite facing mostly lowly opponents. In their last game they faced Liechtenstein, a very poor team, at home and failed to beat the visitors despite being priced around 1.06-1.08 to win. They were, of course, the much better team in this friendly game on the pitch but many of their attacks were too slow and predictable. Against an opponent of Ukraine's caliber they are unlikely to generate much in expected goals (xG). Before the Lichtenstein game they played another draw at home, this time against Bulgaria. Romania were priced around 1.70-1.80 to win on the betting market. Both teams had three shots on goal and five shots off goal. On the 26th of March they lost to Colombia 2-3 at Metropolitano Stadium in Madrid Spain. The match was pretty balanced as a whole though. They are in 46th place in the FIFA Ranking but this is a bit too high. 52-54th would be a more accurate ranking – if we are talking about the world ranking in terms of pure class, not with the best starting eleven but the squad of 20-25 best players from each country. Ukraine are in 22nd place but should be in the top-20 in my expert opinion. In terms of estimated total market value Ukraine are hugely the better team here. Their players have an estimated total market value of almost 380 million euros. The Romanian squad is valued at only about 92 million.
We will take Ukraine to win here with a 57% chance. Odds of slightly over 1.90 are widely available on the betting market! The national team is very important for the people of Ukraine - giving them something positive to think about in these challenging times.. I cannot prove this with any specific data/statistics but Ukraine seems to have a very strong team spirit at the moment, even better than before the full scale war with Russia started in February of 2022. In their last game Ukraine defeated Moldova 4-0 away from home at Stadionul Zimbru Chişinău. Moldova are not a strong team but I still liked Ukraine's performance. They recorded many more shots on goal than the hosts - 8-2 to be precise. Before this they lost to Poland 1-3 away from home as solid underdogs but had 55% ball possession and recorded more corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks. Both teams had four shots off target and Poland recorded two more goal attempts than Ukraine. The final score is, indeed, misleading! Poland, in fact, played a pretty match against the Netherlands a few days ago in the EURO 2024, losing only 1-2. The score was 1-1 pretty late into the 2nd half. Before the clash against Germany away from home – the score was 0-0 despite Ukraine being big underdogs - Ukraine beat Iceland. It was an EURO 2024 Qualification Promotion Final game at a neutral location, Tarczyński Arena in Wrocław, Poland. Ukraine were priced around 1.60 to win in the 90 minutes of play and did deserve to win but did not, in all honesty, fully impress me.. The stakes were sky-high and some of their players understandably looked slightly nervous on the pitch – failing to play at their very best level. Iceland, a team in decline since 2016, started the match well, being surprisingly active and confident on the pitch. However, Ukraine eventually managed to take control.. They recorded two more shots on target than Iceland.
Before defeating Iceland Ukraine beat Bosnia & Herzegovina 2-1 away from home as solid favourites through two late goals by Yaremchuck (86th minute) and Dovbyk (88'). I want to highlight Dovbyk was the best goal scorer in the Spanish LaLiga, the 2nd-best league on the planet, last season and is a player to follow closely here! He plays for Girona. Before the two goals Ukraine played too cautious football – in my expert opinion - and their offense was lame.. In the end they generated 1.03 in xG. The hosts managed only 0.40. It was an EURO 2024 Qualification Promotion semi-final battle. Let's not forget that Ukraine have been in strong form for a long time now and have lost only one of their last nine matches – winning six of these nine games! To sum up, Ukraine are a more dangerous team in this tournament than the bookies seem to believe at this point but the main rationale behind this pick is to oppose the overvalued Romania!
GOOD LUCK and thanks to my loyal fans!
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罗马尼亚vs乌克兰
北京时间周一晚，罗马尼亚和乌克兰将在慕尼黑安联球场展开2024年欧洲杯E组首场比赛。按照本届锦标赛的标准，这是一场质量一般的比赛。最重要的是，我们还有另一个非常有趣的投注机会!考虑到2020年欧洲杯，我们已经赢得了过去6次比赛中的5次。罗马尼亚是本届杯赛中实力最差的球队之一。他们的防守组织得很好，但在进攻端却很蹩脚。是的，他们以22分的成绩赢得了预选赛第一组的冠军，但我不会被这个数字所欺骗。第一组是预选赛成绩最差的小组之一，其他国家包括瑞士(第二名)、以色列(第三名)、白俄罗斯(第四名)、科索沃(第五名)、安道尔(第六名)。罗马尼亚进了16球，丢了5球。他们的预期进球(xGA)显然更大…尽管面对的大多是实力较弱的对手，但他们在最近四场比赛中一场都没赢。在上一场比赛中，他们在主场面对的是一支非常弱的球队列支敦士登，尽管他们的胜率在1.06-1.08之间，但他们未能击败客队。当然，在这场友谊赛中，他们在球场上表现得更好，但他们的许多进攻都太慢了，而且是可预测的。面对像乌克兰这样实力强大的对手，他们不太可能取得预期的进球(xG)。在与列支敦士登的比赛之前，他们又在主场打了一场平局，这次对手是保加利亚。罗马尼亚在*市场上的价格在1.70-1.80左右。两队都有3次射正，5次射偏。3月26日，他们在西班牙马德里大都会体育场以2-3不敌哥伦比亚队。不过比赛总体上还是很平衡的。他们在国际足联排名中排名第46位，但这有点太高了。52-54位将是一个更准确的排名——如果我们从纯粹的等级来讨论世界排名，不是最好的首发11人，而是每个国家20-25名最好的球员。乌克兰在第22位，但在我的专家看来应该在前20名。就估计的总市值而言，乌克兰是这里更好的球队。他们的球员的总市值估计接近3.8亿欧元。罗马尼亚国家队的身价仅为9200万英镑。
我们将以57%的几率拿下乌克兰。略高于1.90的*在投注市场上广泛存在!国家队对乌克兰人民来说非常重要，在这个充满挑战的时代给了他们一些积极的东西。我无法用任何具体的数据或统计来证明这一点，但乌克兰目前似乎有很强的团队精神，甚至比2022年2月与俄罗斯全面开战之前还要好。在上一场比赛中，乌克兰在Zimbru chi<e:1>伊努乌球场客场4-0击败摩尔多瓦。摩尔多瓦不是一支强队，但我仍然喜欢乌克兰的表现。他们射正的次数比东道主多得多——准确地说是8比2。在此之前，他们客场1-3不敌波兰队，但他们控球率高达55%，创造了更多的角球、进攻和危险进攻。两支球队都有四次射门脱靶，波兰队比乌克兰队多两次射门。最后的分数确实是误导人的!事实上，波兰队几天前在2024年欧洲杯上与荷兰队打了一场漂亮的比赛，只输了1-2。下半场快结束时比分是1比1。在与德国的客场比赛之前，乌克兰击败了冰岛，尽管比分是0比0。这是在波兰Wrocław的Tarczyński竞技场举行的2024年欧洲杯预选赛决赛。乌克兰在90分钟的比赛中获胜的价格在1.60左右，他们确实应该获胜，但说实话，并没有给我留下深刻的印象。赌注很高，他们的一些球员在球场上看起来有点紧张，这是可以理解的——他们没有发挥出最好的水平。自2016年以来一直走下坡路的冰岛队在比赛中表现出色，在球场上表现出令人惊讶的活跃和自信。然而，乌克兰最终控制了局面。他们比冰岛多射正两次。
在击败冰岛之前，乌克兰在客场2-1击败波黑，凭借亚雷姆查克(第86分钟)和多夫比克(第88分钟)在最后时刻的两粒进球，他们成为夺冠热门。我想强调的是，上赛季多夫比克是西甲联赛(这个星球上排名第二的联赛)的最佳射手，也是一名值得关注的球员!他在赫罗纳踢球。在两个进球之前，乌克兰踢得太谨慎了——在我的专家看来——他们的进攻很差劲。我
最后，他们在xG中生成了1.03个。东道主只拿到了0.40分。这是一场2024年欧洲杯预选赛半决赛。让我们不要忘记，乌克兰已经保持了很长一段时间的强势状态，在最近的9场比赛中只输了1场，而且赢了6场!总而言之，乌克兰在本届比赛中是一支比*公司认为的更危险的球队，但这一选择背后的主要理由是反对高估的罗马尼亚!祝你好运，并感谢我的忠实粉丝!
