- 法国队在2024年欧洲杯的预期进球、对战预期进球、射门次数和面对射门次数排名前三。
- 在过去的五次会晤中，有四次双方的目标都不到两个。
- 葡萄牙队在最近两场比赛中都没有进球。
Les Bleus比结果显示的要好
周一，在杜塞尔多夫，法国队在第85分钟的一粒严重偏出的进球赢得了对一支支离破碎的比利时队的胜利，他们应该能够在汉堡对阵葡萄牙队时进入四强。
Les Bleus当然没有；正如许多人所期望的那样，他们的三个进球中有两个是乌龙球，法国球员唯一的一个进球来自点球点，但你会觉得他们活起来只是时间问题。
迪迪埃·德尚（Didier Deschamps）队的预期进球数为6.8个，仅次于德国队和西班牙队，同时在对阵对手的比赛中取得了2.6个预期进球。他们的射门次数也排在前三位，对手的射门次数排在第二位，考虑到迄今为止对手的实力，这是一个令人印象深刻的壮举。
他们面对过荷兰、比利时和奥地利等国，对手的平均世界排名为15.25，而德国和西班牙分别为26.5和39.75。
塞莱考在加时赛结束后开始挣扎
葡萄牙代表着又一次严峻的考验，但塞莱考队在周一被斯洛文尼亚队罚下点球，到目前为止，他们在本届锦标赛中表现不佳。
他们需要在对阵捷克的比赛中取得最后的胜利，在对阵处于劣势的格鲁吉亚和斯洛文尼亚的比赛中，他们在210分钟的比赛中未能进球，而球队中一些经验更丰富的成员可能在加时赛的要求后难以恢复，比如41岁的佩佩和39岁的克里斯蒂亚诺·罗纳尔多。
姆巴佩可以在汉堡有所作为
所有这些都指向周五法国队的胜利，但中立派不应该期待太多的烟火。在这些国家最近的五次会议中，有四次的进球少于两球，而法国队；2024年欧洲杯的平均每场比赛只有一个进球，因此第三场1-0的胜利在正确的比分市场上很有吸引力。
凯莉安·姆巴佩是这个进球的领跑者。到目前为止，他在本届锦标赛的三场比赛中有14次射门，预期进球数为2.52个。他在对阵波兰的比赛中点球得分，可以在周五提高自己的得分。
预言：
法国获胜
法国1-0
凯莉安·姆巴佩随时进球
外文原文如下：
- France are top three for expected goals, expected goals against, shots taken and shots faced in Euro 2024.
- Four of the last five meetings between these sides have produced fewer than two goals.
- Portugal have failed to score in their last two games.
Les Bleus better than results suggest
A heavily deflected goal in the 85th minute in Dusseldorf saw France claim a deserved win against a disjointed Belgium side on Monday and they should be able to reach the final four when they face Portugal in Hamburg.
Les Bleus certainly haven’t set the tournament alight like many expected, with two of their three goals being own goals and the only goal scored by a French player coming from the penalty spot, but you get the feeling it is only a matter of time before they spring into life.
Didier Deschamps side have generated 6.8 expected goals, a tally only bettered by Germany and Spain, while allowing a tournament-best 2.6 expected goals against. They are also top three for shots taken and second for shots against, which is an impressive feat considering the quality of their opposition so far.
They have faced the likes of Netherlands, Belgium, and Austria, with the average world ranking of their opponents being 15.25, compared to 26.5 for Germany and 39.75 for Spain.
Selecao set to struggle after extra-time outing
Portugal represent another tough test, but the Selecao were taken to penalties by Slovenia on Monday and have looked out of sorts so far this tournament.
They needed a late winner against Czech Republic and have failed to score in 210 minutes of action against huge underdogs Georgia and Slovenia, while some of the more veteran members of the squad may struggle to recover after the demands of extra-time, such as 41-year-old Pepe and 39-year-old Cristiano Ronaldo.
Mbappe can make the difference in Hamburg
All this points towards a France win on Friday, but neutrals should not expect many fireworks. Four of the last five meetings between these nations have seen fewer than two goals scored and France’s Euro 2024 outings have averaged just a goal per game, so a third 1-0 win of the tournament appeals in the correct score market.
Kylian Mbappe is the frontrunner to score that goal. He has had 14 shots in three games so far this tournament and has generated 2.52 expected goals. He scored from the penalty spot against Poland and can improve his tally on Friday.
Predictions:France to Win
France 1-0
Kylian Mbappe To Score Anytime
