Crvena Zvezda VS Bodo/Glimt
Crvena Zvezda (Red Star Belgrade) host Bodo/Glimt for this UEFA Champions League 4th – and last - round of Qualification second leg at Stadion Rajko Mitić in Belgrade early Thursday morning Beijing time. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of pretty mediocre quality by this competition's 4th round standards here.. Most importantly, we have very lucrative opportunity to extend the good streak of 5/6 last picks won. I will post several more top-quality picks later today!
The visitors are a Norwegian team, the hosts come from Serbia. Let's start with an important fact: Bodo have never qualified for the Champions League group stage! Red Star have, on the other hand, have – many times - for example last season In 2018 they even defeated Liverpool, one of the best teams in the world at the time, 2-0 at home! Last season they did not manage to take any wins in Group C last season but performed pretty well even against Manchester City, a top-2 team in the world, Leipzig, a strong German team and the champions of Switzerland, Young Boys. They were even leading in Manchester 1-0 after the first half.. At home they lost only 2-3 to Manchester City City.. They would have deserved more than one point in Group C. Yes, the Norwegians won the first leg 2-1 last week. The game was played on artificial turf which, as expected, massively favoured Bodo.. They have beaten many big teams - for example AS Roma (6-1) and Dinamo Zagreb - at home in recent years.. Yes, they deserved the narrow win but the Serbs, too, had their chances - especially in the 2nd half when they started playing less cautious football.. They were not far from making it 2-2 late into the 2nd half.. Bodo recorded a total of 17 goal attempts, Red Star managed 10. Bodo generated 1.38 in expected goals (xG), the visitors' number was 0.98. At home, trailing 1-2 on aggregate, I expect a very aggressive performance from the hosts - at least until they manage to take a lead by a margin of two goals.. Their fans are among the loudest in Europe - the home advantage is as substantial as it can be in an international club competition! The Red Star fast are very hostile towards the visitors, sometimes even behaving badly - throwing objects to the pitch etc... I want to highlight that Bodo's record, against good teams, away from home in international games is not impressive at all! We will place a very lucrative bet on the Serbs to win – odds of around 2.10 are widely available on the betting market at the time of posting this in-depth expert analysis! They have a 54.50% chance to win in 90 minutes of play! If the score is level late into the 2nd half, the hosts will take huge risks which increases their chances of winning, of course, and decreases the chance of a draw.
Let's also remember that according to a well-known and respected German source, Transfermarkt.com, Red Star are the bigger team here – by a quite wide margin! Indeed, their players are valued at an estimated total of 71 million euros! However, some 80-81 would be a more accurate number. Three of their players are undervalued. The Bodo/Glimt squad, on the other hand, is valued at around 38 million euros. This is slightly too high though.. In the previous round of Champions League qualification Bodo easily beat Jagiellonia, the (unexpected) champions of Poland last season, 5-1 on aggregate. I need to mention Jagiellonia are not among the top-3 favourites according to the bookmakers to win the Polish Ekstraklasa this season.. I believe the two wins over the surprisingly weak Jagiellonia affect the odds too much against Red Star.. Bodo very rarely lock horns with opponents of Red Star's caliber and the physical strength and skill level of the fire-up Serbs will not be easy at all for Bodo to deal with on natural grass.. Between the two matches against Jagiellonia, Bodo faced Viking on the road as favourites according to the bookies and took a 1-1 draw despite squad rotation by Bodo's often overrrated head coach, K. Knutsen. Red Star are a massively better team in terms of pure class than Jagiellonia and also have much more experience of high-stakes international games than Jagiellonia – or Bodo for that matter.. In the 2nd round of Champions League qualification Bodo demolished RFS, the reigning champions of Latvia, 7-1 on aggregate. At home, in the first leg, they were dominant, recording 20 goal attempts. In Latvia, they were very "professional" - winning 3-1 – despite not needing to do so.. Bodo recorded seven shots on target, RFS, who are not a bad team - but still much worse than Bodo - in terms of pure class, managed two.
Red Star were, once again, dominant in the Serbia Super Liga last season, taking a stunning 96 points in 37 games! They won 31 of the 37 matches! Moreover, their goal difference was 94:28! They currently top the Super Liga standings after five rounds of play with 13 points to their account and a great goal difference of 18:4! Bodo, on the other hand, currently top the Norwegian Eliteserien standings with 44 points after 20 rounds of play. They have won 13/20 Eliteserien matches. In their last game they crushed a disappointing team, Sarpsborg 08, 6-0 at home as big favourites - priced below 1.30 to win by the bookies. However, the final score is very misleading! The xG numbers were 1.88-1.12 in Bodo's favour.. I want to emphasize that the Serbs have lost only two of their last 36 matches. At home they last lost a competitive game in December last year – to Manchester City.. In front of their enthusiastic fans they have won 15 of the last 16 competitive games! What an amazing record that is! Before losing in Bodo, Red Star swept past a quite dangerous team, Cukaricki, 4-1 on the road. They recorded many more goal attempts, shots on target, shots off target, attacks and dangerous attacks. Before this they very comfortably beat Novi Pazar 4-1 at home. In round 3 Red Star faced Tekstilac Odzaci on the road – giving the hosts no chance at all to take even a point! Red Star recorded 19 goal attempts and cruised to a 4-0 win! Red Star have not played after the first leg in Norway and should be very fresh here!
GOOD LUCK and thanks to my fast-growing fan-base!
该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:
克拉维娜·兹韦兹达VS博多/格里姆特
北京时间周四凌晨，贝尔格莱德红星队将在贝尔格莱德米蒂奇球场迎战博多/格利姆特队，进行欧冠第4轮也是最后一轮资格赛次回合的比赛。球迷们和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场质量相当平庸的比赛，以本届世界杯第四轮的标准来看。最重要的是，我们有非常有利可图的机会来延续5/6的连胜。我将在今天晚些时候发布更多高质量的选择!
客队是挪威队，主队是塞尔维亚队。让我们从一个重要的事实开始:博多从来没有进入过欧冠小组赛!红星，另一方面，有很多次，比如上赛季，2018年他们甚至在主场以2比0击败了利物浦，当时世界上最好的球队之一!上个赛季，他们在C组没有取得任何胜利，但即使在对阵世界排名第二的曼城、强大的德国莱比锡和瑞士的冠军年轻男孩队时，他们也表现得相当出色。上半场结束后他们甚至在曼彻斯特1-0领先。在主场，他们只以2-3输给了曼城。他们本可以在c组多得一分。是的，挪威人在上周的首回合比赛中以2-1获胜。比赛是在人造草皮上进行的，不出所料，Bodo得到了极大的支持。近年来，他们在主场击败了许多强队，比如罗马(6-1)和萨格勒布迪纳摩。是的，他们应该以微弱优势取胜，但是塞尔维亚人也有机会——特别是在下半场，他们开始踢得不那么谨慎了。他们差一点就把比分扳成2-2进入下半场。博多总共有17次射门，红星有10次。Bodo的预期进球(xG)为1.38，客队的预期进球(xG)为0.98。在主场，总比分1-2落后，我预计东道主会有非常积极的表现——至少在他们取得两球领先之前。他们的球迷是欧洲最大声的球迷之一——主场优势是在国际俱乐部比赛中最明显的!红星队的球员对客队很有敌意，有时甚至表现得很恶劣——向球场扔东西等等。我想强调的是，博多在国际比赛中对阵优秀球队的记录一点也不令人印象深刻!我们将在塞尔维亚人赢得非常有利可图的赌注-在发布这篇深入的专家分析时，投注市场上的*约为2.10 !他们有54.50%的机会在90分钟的比赛中获胜!如果比分在下半场后期持平，东道主将会冒巨大的风险，这当然会增加他们获胜的机会，并降低平局的机会。
让我们也记住，根据一个著名的和受人尊敬的德国消息来源，Transfermarkt.com，红星在这里是更大的球队-以相当大的差距!事实上，他们的球员估计总价值为7100万欧元!然而，大约80-81是更准确的数字。他们的三名球员被低估了。另一方面，博多和格里姆特的组合价值约为3800万欧元。这有点太高了…在上一轮欧冠资格赛中，博多以总比分5-1轻松击败了上赛季(出乎意料的)波兰队冠军雅盖隆尼亚。我需要提到的是，根据*公司的说法，雅盖隆尼亚并不是本赛季赢得波兰Ekstraklasa的前三名热门球队之一。我相信两场战胜实力弱得令人吃惊的雅盖隆尼亚队的胜利对对阵红星队的胜算影响太大了。博多很少与红星这样的对手发生冲突，而塞尔维亚人的体力和技术水平对博多来说在天然草地上根本不容易对付。在与贾盖洛尼亚的两场比赛之间，根据*公司的说法，博多在客场面对维京人，尽管博多经常被高估的主教练K.克努森轮换了阵容，但还是以1比1战平了维京人。红星是一支比雅盖隆尼亚强得多的球队，而且在高风险的国际比赛中也比雅盖隆尼亚有更多的经验。在欧冠资格赛第二轮，博多以总比分7-1击败卫冕冠军拉脱维亚RFS。在主场，第一回合，他们占据统治地位，有20次射门。在拉脱维亚，他们非常“专业”——3-1获胜——尽管不需要这样做。博多记录了7次射正，RFS，一支不算差的球队，但仍然比博多差很多，从纯粹的水平来看，只有2次射正。
红星
在上个赛季的塞尔维亚超级联赛中，他们再一次占据了统治地位，在37场比赛中获得了惊人的96分!他们赢了37场比赛中的31场!而且，他们的净胜球差是94:28!经过五轮的比赛，他们目前以13分的积分和18:4的巨大净胜球排名中超榜首!另一方面，博多在20轮比赛后以44分高居挪威精英队积分榜榜首。他们赢得了13/20的精英比赛。在上一场比赛中，他们在主场以6比0击败了令人失望的萨普斯堡08，成为夺冠热门——*公司开出的*低于1.30。然而，最终的分数是非常误导的!对Bodo有利的xG值是1.88-1.12。我要强调的是，塞尔维亚人在过去的36场比赛中只输了两场。在主场，他们上一次输掉一场有竞争力的比赛是在去年12月，输给了曼城。在他们热情的球迷面前，他们赢得了过去16场比赛中的15场!这是一个多么惊人的记录啊!在博多输球之前，红星队在客场以4比1横扫了一支相当危险的球队库卡里奇。他们记录了更多的进球尝试、射正、射偏、攻击和危险攻击。在此之前，他们在主场以4比1轻松击败了新帕扎尔。在第三轮比赛中，红星队在客场面对奥扎奇，东道主根本没有机会拿一分!红星队有19次进球尝试，并以4-0轻松获胜!红星队在挪威的首回合比赛后就没有出场过，在这里应该很有活力!祝你好运，感谢我快速增长的粉丝群!
