I thought about giving this match a big skip because I am no big fan of these kind of competitions, but then decided it is worth a few free words and a small bet on Real Madrid to win by exactly two goals, as both 0-2 and 1-3 can be reasoned.
Ahly with full squad, Real Madrid will rest Benzema and Courtois for Champions league, Mendy, Vazques, Militao and Hazard are injured.
Ahly are regulars in this competition, and although not quite at home here in Rabat, Morocco, the Egyptians must feel at home and very motivated, yet they are significantly weaker side at all departments.
A look at their recent Club World cup results show that they can beat the weaker teams, but when faced with European or South American top sides they will lose by two goals. On 2021 they lost to Bayern Munich by 0-2, both goals by Lewandowski, in Qatar, on 2022 they lost to Palmeiras by 0-2 in Abu Dhabi,
on 2023 they will lose by 0-2 to Real Madrid in Morocco?
I will give them now a bigger chance to score as Real Madrid have not been fully convincing recently, and they will miss several defenders and the most importantly of all, the keeper Courtois.
Ahly have been in good scoring form in scoring 11 goals in their latest 5 games, admittedly none of the teams has been as strong as Real Madrid.
This is a risky choice, it is not worth a big bet, but I wanted to share my opinion on this.
Good luck!
