On paper the odds for this asian handicap look rather correct, but as Bournemouth still do not pass the eye test despite a few new relatively good player signings I am forced to have a bet here for Newcastle -1.5 asian handicap, even if they are away.
Newcastle are in top-4 and deservedly so by all statics, they have lost only one game this season, it was back in August away at Liverpool by 2-1.
All in all their away game saldo is 4-5-1, which might make you wonder if it is wise to back them to win away, but the thing is that when they win they do it in style, and as they face the leagues weakest team this makes sense.
The 4 wins away are 1-4, 1-4, 0-3 vs midtable or bottom teams, at Tottenham they only won by 1-2.
The 5 away draws are against top teams Arsenal, Man United, Brighton, Palace - all miraculously 0-0! - and 1-1 at Wolves. It has to noted that 4 of the matches were on 2022, the last was early January at Arsenal.
Extremely tough games and it is probable that with a better fixture list for this latter half of the season Newcastle results only improve.
There was no need for new signings at Newcastle and they did not go shopping. On the injury list there are only a few players, and only the suspension of Guimaraes has some importance.
I discussed Bournemouth last round, but the results and the xG-data tell pretty much everything there is to know.
Yes, they did sign a few quality players but the roster remains weak, and I am not at all sure Vina and Traore are good enough to lift them from relegation zone.
In short, I base the big win on the huge quality class and form.
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