In a thrilling 4-3 last-minute victory against newly promoted Luton, Arsenal's head coach, Arteta, received his third yellow card of the season for excessive celebration. Consequently, he couldn't oversee the following league game at Aston Villa from the dugout, resulting in a 1-0 away defeat. This setback marked Arsenal's second loss of the season, causing them to lose their lead in the table after four consecutive wins.Away defeats aside, Arsenal has been formidable at home, accumulating 20 points from a possible 24 this season. They haven't suffered a home defeat since May, maintaining an unbeaten streak in twelve games at the Emirates Stadium. The Gunners' offense has been prolific, scoring at least two goals in eleven out of twelve home games, averaging 3.50 goals per game.Saka has been a standout performer at home, contributing directly to 13 goals (eight goals, five assists) in the last eleven home games. Saka, alongside Nketiah, leads Arsenal's scoring chart with five goals each.
Brighton are noteworthy for their attacking prowess. They share the top spot for goals scored this season with Arsenal, netting 33 times in 16 games. However, their open style of play has resulted in conceding 28 goals, averaging a remarkable 3.81 goals per league game. Despite struggles domestically, Brighton shines on the international stage, securing their fourth consecutive Europa League win with a last-minute goal against Marseille. This victory also marked their fourth consecutive clean sheet and ensured their qualification for the round of 16 with 13 points, topping their group. As for this game I think guests are little bit tired fighting on two fronts. Goals are banker here, as for the winner I would choose Arsenal, who looks much better in recent matches. Brighton is formidable opponent so I would not go with -1.5 AH on home side.