[海外]赛事分析预测:波兰vs荷兰预测

海外来料 2024-06-12 00:03:31 252 上一篇下一篇

本文由海外专家Aaron Rogan@aaron_rogan独家放送:
  • 荷兰队在过去七场比赛中有六场以零获胜
  • 波兰队在去年的预选赛中表现不佳,在四场客场比赛中输掉了三场
  • 荷兰队在过去四场比赛中有三场以4比0获胜
  • 丹泽尔·邓弗里斯已经连续在主要比赛中得分,应该会在侧翼找到空间

奥兰治追逐光明开局

在2022年世界杯上表现出色后,荷兰队开始了2024年欧洲杯的征程,对手是一支艰难晋级的波兰队。荷兰队在卡塔尔的四分之一决赛中赢得了前四场比赛中的三场,并将阿根廷队带到了点球大战中;我的目标也是在德国有一个光明的开端。

荷兰队以局外人的身份进入锦标赛,他们;有16/1的机会一路过关斩将,第二次捧起奖杯。D组的巧妙反对;没有什么帮助,因为它们’;与在预选赛中主客场击败他们的法国队重聚。奥地利队也可以真正推动他们进入前两名,所以它;这对荷兰队取得胜利至关重要。

期待已久的科曼首秀

罗纳德·科曼带领荷兰队参加了2020年欧洲杯,但他在推迟的比赛开始前前往巴塞罗那。去年1月,在他最初的四年半合同结束一个月后,他重返该职位。 

科曼在荷兰队效力的两段时间里赢得了33场比赛中的19场,他的球队在2023年的预选赛中赢得了8场中的6场。在球队未能进入2016年欧洲杯和2018年世界杯后,他迎来了一个新时代,他们将以一个更强大的位置前往德国。 

荷兰队有多种进攻选择,21岁的哈维-西蒙斯与孟菲斯-德佩和科迪-加克波一起挤进前三。他们还得到了右翼后卫丹泽尔·邓弗里斯的支持,这位国际米兰球员在过去两届大赛中攻入三球。 

他在这里有一场有利的比赛,因为波兰队与 尼古拉·扎列夫斯基是他们在左翼唯一的存在。邓弗里斯应该有空间向前推进,考虑到他在2020年欧洲杯荷兰队的前两场比赛中都有进球,他;It’无论何时,只要有射手选择,它都是非常有价值的。

波兰将陷入困境

今年早些时候,波兰队在点球大战中击败威尔士队,夺得欧洲杯冠军,但他们在预选赛中举步维艰。他们在八场比赛中取得了三场胜利,其中两场是对阵法罗群岛。波兰队在预选赛中输掉了四场客场比赛中的三场,最终落后阿尔巴尼亚和捷克队四分。

波兰’;s客场作战don;这对他们在德国的表现来说不是个好兆头,而他们在本世纪的八场比赛中仅两次小组出线。他们在卡塔尔的比赛以输给阿根廷和法国而告终,因此荷兰队以一场胜利拉开了比赛的序幕。

荷兰队在过去七场比赛中有六场以零获胜;在过去的四场比赛中,我们取得了三场4比0的胜利。虽然这应该比他们对苏格兰、加拿大和冰岛的胜利略近一些,但荷兰队看起来很有可能轻松获胜。当你考虑到科曼的防守和进攻选择时,3-0的胜利很有吸引力。

预言: 荷兰队获胜
荷兰3-0
丹泽尔·邓弗里斯随时得分


外文原文如下:

  • The Dutch have won to nil in six of their last seven games
  • Poland struggled in their qualifying campaign last year, losing three of four away games
  • The Dutch have won 4-0 in three of their last four games
  • Denzel Dumfries has scored at consecutive major tournaments and should find space down that flank

Oranje chase bright start

After a solid showing at the 2022 World Cup, the Netherlands begin their Euro 2024 campaign against a Polish side that struggled through qualification. The Dutch took Argentina to penalties in the quarter-finals in Qatar after winning three of their first four games and they’ll be aiming for a bright start in Germany too.

The Dutch head into the tournament as outsiders, they’re a 16/1 chance to go all the way and lift the trophy for a second time. Tricky opposition in Group D doesn’t help matters, as they’re reunited with a French side that beat them home and away in qualifying. Austria could also really push them for a top-two finish, so it’s vital the Dutch make a winning start.

Long awaited debut for Koeman

Ronald Koeman guided the Netherlands to Euro 2020, but he left for Barcelona before the delayed tournament took place. He returned to the role in January last year, a month after his original four-and-a-half-year deal would have ended. 

Koeman has won 19 of 33 games across two spells with the Dutch, with his side winning six of eight qualifiers in 2023. He ushered in a new era after the side failed to make Euro 2016 and the 2018 World Cup and they head to Germany in a much stronger place. 

The Dutch have a variety of attacking options, with 21-year-old Xavi Simons forcing his way into a front three with Memphis Depay and Cody Gakpo. They also have support from Denzel Dumfries at right-wing-back and the Inter Milan man has scored three goals across the last two major tournaments. 

He has a favourable matchup here, as Poland play a largely narrow system with Nicola Zalewski as their only presence on the left flank. Dumfries should get space to push forward and given that he scored in the first two games for the Dutch at Euro 2020, he’s a great value anytime goalscorer pick.

Poland set to struggle

Poland made the Euros after beating Wales on penalties earlier this year, but they struggled through qualifying. They picked up three wins in eight games, two of which came against the Faroe Islands. Poland lost three of their four away games in qualifying, finishing four points shy of Albania and the Czech Republic.

Poland’s away struggles don’t bode well for them in Germany, while they have made it out of the group stage in just two of their eight tournament appearances this century. Their time in Qatar ended with meek defeats to Argentina and France, so the Netherlands are a decent price to kick off the tournament with a win.

The Dutch have won to nil in six of their last seven games and they’ve recorded three 4-0 victories in their last four matches. While this should be slightly closer than their victories over Scotland, Canada and Iceland, the Dutch look good for a comfortable opening win. When you consider the defensive and attacking options Koeman has at his disposal, a 3-0 win appeals.

Predictions:Netherlands to Win
Netherlands 3-0
Denzel Dumfries To Score Anytime

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