SOUTHAMPTON - MANCHESTER U
1X2 26% - 26% - 48%
The xG so far for these two teams are as follows:
So Southampton were the better team on the pitch in Newcastle, but they struggled badly v Newcastle and Brentford.
Man Utd were the deserved winners v Fulham, but the rather even numbers v Brighton and especially Liverpool do lie as they were completely demolished in the important derby game v Liverpool.
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The promoted Southampton side have had big adjustment difficulties with their ball control game from the Championship to the Premier League. The level of the opponents is much tougher than last season, and the mistakes are punished with a high percentage. Manager Russell Martin has talked about proactive ball control football throughout his coaching career, and the club management probably doesn't expect anything else from him. If the Saints don't want to change their line more and continue with Martin throughout the season, relegation to the Championship Series is very likely, but at least they do it with style!
Manchester United have given their own manager Erik ten Hag a lot of time and support in the transfer market, although the signs of developing the game are weak. The Dutchman has brought in several players he knows from Ajax, and the latest piece at the bottom of the midfield was acquired on the last day of the transfer window from PSG in the form of Manuel Ugarte. Casemiro's performance as a number six in the Liverpool match before the international break was so weak that either Ugarte comes in, dominates, and takes ten Hag's team to a new level, or the Dutch coach gets the boot. So many new players have been brought in now that there are no more excuses. He is a good coach, no doubt, but for sure in the wrong place!
Southampton will probably play their own game again and tempt the visitors to press from high. If United's pressing game works, the visitors have to find the holes to get to the top of the game and thereby quickly get to the places where there is higher xG, expected goal. The visitors are still missing Luke Shaw and Rasmus Höjlund, but Ugarte is fit and may make his debut. The probability of an away win is slightly less than 50 percent.
该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:
南安普顿-曼彻斯特
1x2 26% - 26% - 48%
目前这两支队伍的xG如下:
所以南安普顿在对阵纽卡斯尔的比赛中表现得更好，但他们在对阵纽卡斯尔和布伦特福德的比赛中表现得很糟糕。
曼联在对富勒姆的比赛中是当之无愧的赢家，但在对布莱顿的比赛中，尤其是利物浦，他们在重要的德比战中被彻底击败。
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从英冠到英超，升级后的南安普顿在控球方面有很大的调整困难。对手的水平比上赛季要强硬得多，失误的惩罚率也很高。主教练拉塞尔·马丁在他的执教生涯中一直在谈论积极主动的控球足球，俱乐部管理层可能对他没有任何期望。如果圣徒队不想在整个赛季中改变他们的路线并继续使用马丁，那么降级到冠军系列赛是很有可能的，但至少他们做得很有风格!
曼联已经在转会市场上给了自己的主教练埃里克·滕·哈格很多时间和支持，尽管发展比赛的迹象很弱。荷兰人已经从阿贾克斯引进了几名他认识的球员，而在转会窗口的最后一天从巴黎圣日耳曼引进了乌加特。在国际比赛日之前，卡塞米罗在利物浦的比赛中作为6号的表现太弱了，要么乌加特上场，统治球队，把10号黑格的球队带到一个新的水平，要么荷兰教练被解雇。现在引进了这么多新球员，再也没有借口了。毫无疑问，他是一个好教练，但肯定是在错误的地方!
南安普顿可能会再次打出他们自己的比赛，并引诱客队从高处施压。如果曼联的逼抢战术起作用，客队必须找到通往比赛顶端的洞，从而迅速到达有更高xG(预期进球)的地方。客队仍然缺少卢克·肖和拉斯穆斯Höjlund，但乌加特已经康复，可能会上演他的处子秀。客场获胜的概率略低于50%。
