[海外]赛事分析预测:普利茅斯阿盖尔vs卢顿预测

海外来料 2024-09-26 02:55:11 140 上一篇下一篇

本文由海外专家Aaron Ashley@aaron_ashley95独家放送:
  • 卢顿连续赢得了冠军赛
  • 普利茅斯本赛季只赢了六场联赛中的一场
  • 普利茅斯最近9场主场联赛中有8场进球数低于2.5球

帽匠们可以用帽子戏法获胜

周五锦标赛的报价显示,卢顿将前往苦苦挣扎的普利茅斯队,希望在周三战胜米尔沃尔和谢菲尔德后连续三场获胜。

在上赛季从英超联赛降级后,这是一次艰难的适应,但卢顿正在站稳脚跟,对韦恩·鲁尼的朝圣者来说应该太强壮了。

帽匠队在前四场比赛中只拿到了一分,这场比赛在倒数第二的朴茨茅斯以零比零战平,但最近的两场胜利应该已经平息了紧张情绪。

卢顿队仍然继承了很多英超联赛的品质,在普利茅斯,他们遇到了一支在六场比赛中只赢过一场的球队,这可能会是一个艰难的赛季。

朝圣者可能已经到了他们的深度

阿盖尔在六场比赛中对任何俱乐部的(xGA)数字都有最高的预期进球数,这些防守弱点可能会受到状态良好的卡尔顿·莫里斯率领的卢顿队的惩罚。

鲁尼有一支年轻的球队可供他使用,这可能对他们不利,因为卢顿上赛季已经尝过英超足球的滋味。

普利茅斯队在六场比赛中进了十球,仍然没有一场不失球,虽然表现有所改善,但他们本赛季在对阵谢菲尔德星期三和斯托克城的比赛中没有进球。

因此,卢顿在过去的五场锦标赛中有四场比赛的进球数都低于2.5球,他可能会在得分较低的情况下取得优势,从正确的得分角度来看,2比0最具吸引力。

预言: 卢顿获胜
卢顿2-0


外文原文如下:

  • Luton have won back-to-back Championship matches
  • Plymouth have won only one of their six league games this season
  • Eight of Plymouth’s last nine home league games have gone under 2.5 goals

Hatters can make it hat-trick of wins

Friday’s offering from the Championship sees Luton head to a struggling Plymouth side looking to make it three wins in a row following victories over Millwall and Sheffield Wednesday.

It has been a tough adjustment back to life in the Championship after last season’s relegation from the Premier League, but Luton are finding their feet and should be too strong for Wayne Rooney’s Pilgrims.

The Hatters collected only one point from their first four games, which came in a goalless draw at second-bottom Portsmouth, but those recent pair of victories should have settled the nerves.

There is still a lot of Premier League quality inherited in this Luton squad and in Plymouth they meet a side that have won only once in six outings and that may be set for a season of struggle.

Pilgrims may be out of their depth

Argyle have the highest expected goals against (xGA) figure of any club in the Championship through six matches and those defensive frailties may be punished by a Luton side spearheaded by the in-form Carlton Morris.

Rooney has one of the younger squads in the division at his disposal and that may count against them with Luton having tasted Premier League football last season.

Plymouth remain without a clean sheet, having shipped ten goals in six games, and while performances are improving, they have failed to score in defeats to Sheffield Wednesday and Stoke this season.

So Luton, who have seen four of their last five Championship clashes have gone under 2.5 goals, may edge a low-scoring affair and 2-0 makes most appeal from a correct-score perspective.

Predictions:Luton to Win
Luton 2-0

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