2024-10-02【欧冠】勒沃库森VSAC米兰预测_分析

易红单 2024-10-01 15:25:01 63 上一篇下一篇

Both teams are off to a solid start in their respective domestic leagues, but there are several reasons why Leverkusen may have the edge over their Italian counterparts in this critical fixture.

One of the key factors in Leverkusen’s favor is their incredible form at home. Leverkusen is unbeaten in their last nine home games in major European competition, winning six and drawing three. Their dominance at the BayArena has been a significant part of their success, and the passionate home support is likely to play a huge role in this game. Milan, on the other hand, has struggled away from home in the Champions League, having won just one of their last seven opening away matches in the competition.

Furthermore, Leverkusen's unbeaten run last season was nothing short of extraordinary. They set a European record for consecutive competitive matches without a loss (51), and though that streak ended, it speaks to the resilience and quality of Xabi Alonso's side. A solid start to this season, including a 4-0 thrashing of Feyenoord in the first round of the Champions League, further highlights their strength.

Leverkusen boasts an impressive squad depth, with many key players fit and available for selection. Jonathan Tah, Edmond Tapsoba, and Piero Hincapié form a solid defensive trio in front of goalkeeper Lukáš Hrádecký, providing stability at the back. Leverkusen's wing-backs, Jeremie Frimpong and Alejandro Grimaldo, are among the most dynamic in Europe, combining for an astonishing 58 goal contributions last season. Their ability to stretch the pitch and deliver dangerous crosses will be a constant threat to Milan's backline.

In midfield, Granit Xhaka and Robert Andrich provide both defensive cover and attacking impetus. Xhaka’s experience and leadership will be crucial in a match of this magnitude, while Andrich's box-to-box energy will help Leverkusen dominate the midfield battle. Up front, Florian Wirtz and Victor Boniface are two players in scintillating form. Wirtz has been involved in 24 goals in his last 26 starts in European competition, while Boniface has shown he can be a game-changer with his physical presence and finishing ability.

Leverkusen also has the benefit of a well-rested squad, having rotated some players in their 1-1 draw with Bayern Munich over the weekend. This freshness could give them an edge over Milan, who played a more intense match against Lecce on Friday.

While AC Milan comes into this match off the back of a derby win over Inter and a 2-0 victory over Lecce, they have shown vulnerabilities, particularly in their Champions League opener, a 3-1 loss to Liverpool. Milan conceded 11 shots on target in that match, highlighting defensive frailties that Leverkusen could exploit.

Moreover, Milan is dealing with a number of injury concerns. Ismael Bennacer, Alessandro Florenzi, and Marco Sportiello are all sidelined, while Davide Calabria and Noah Okafor are only just returning from injury and may not be at full fitness. This could weaken Milan’s defensive structure and limit their options in attack. While players like Rafael Leao and Christian Pulisic are capable of creating magic, the team has been inconsistent in European competition, and their backline could struggle to contain Leverkusen’s dynamic attackers.

Under the management of Xabi Alonso, Leverkusen has developed a balanced, attacking style that blends quick transitions with solid defensive organization. Alonso’s ability to adapt his tactics depending on the opponent has made Leverkusen a versatile and dangerous team in Europe. In contrast, Milan's manager, Paulo Fonseca, has emphasized the importance of defensive discipline, but his team has struggled to execute those plans in big matches, as seen against Liverpool.

Leverkusen’s use of a 3-4-2-1 formation allows them to flood the midfield and create overloads on the flanks, which could prove problematic for Milan’s defense. If Leverkusen can dominate the wide areas and exploit the space behind Milan’s full-backs, it will open up opportunities for players like Wirtz and Boniface to break through.

All signs point to a strong performance from Bayer Leverkusen on Tuesday night. With home advantage, superior recent form, and a fully fit squad, they have every reason to be confident heading into this match. Milan, while a historic European powerhouse, is dealing with injuries, inconsistencies, and the pressure of playing away from home in a difficult venue. Leverkusen’s attacking firepower, tactical acumen, and defensive solidity should see them come out on top in this crucial Champions League clash.



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两支球队在各自的国内联赛中都有一个稳定的开局,但有几个原因可以说明勒沃库森在这场关键的比赛中可能比意大利对手更有优势。

勒沃库森有利的关键因素之一是他们在主场令人难以置信的状态。勒沃库森在最近9场欧洲主要赛事的主场比赛中保持不败,6胜3平。他们在海湾球馆的统治地位是他们成功的重要组成部分,而热情的主场球迷很可能在这场比赛中发挥巨大作用。另一方面,米兰在欧冠的客场比赛中表现不佳,在过去的七场客场比赛中只赢了一场。

此外,勒沃库森上个赛季的不败战绩也非常出色。他们创造了连续比赛不败的欧洲纪录(51场),虽然连胜结束了,但这说明了哈维·阿隆索的球队的韧性和实力。本赛季的良好开局,包括在欧冠首轮4-0大胜费耶诺德,进一步凸显了他们的实力。

勒沃库森拥有令人印象深刻的阵容深度,许多关键球员都很健康,可以参加比赛。乔纳森·塔赫、埃德蒙·塔普索巴和皮耶罗·辛卡皮罗组成了坚实的三人防线,在守门员Lukáš Hrádecký前面提供稳定的后防线。勒沃库森的边后卫,Jeremie Frimpong和Alejandro Grimaldo,是欧洲最有活力的球员之一,上赛季他们共同贡献了惊人的58个进球。他们伸展场地的能力和传递危险传中的能力将对米兰的后防线构成持续的威胁。

在中场,格拉尼特·扎卡和罗伯特·安德里奇提供了防守掩护和进攻动力。扎卡的经验和领导能力将在这样一场重要的比赛中发挥关键作用,而安德里奇的一对一的能量将帮助勒沃库森在中场的战斗中占据主导地位。锋线上,维茨和博尼法斯是两名表现出色的球员。维尔茨在最近的26次欧战首发中打进24球,而博尼法斯则用他的身体和射门能力证明了他可以改变比赛。

勒沃库森也有一个充分休息的阵容,在周末1-1战平拜仁慕尼黑的比赛中轮换了一些球员。这种新鲜感可能会让他们在对阵米兰的比赛中占据优势,后者在周五与莱切进行了一场更加激烈的比赛。

虽然AC米兰在德比战中战胜了国际米兰,并以2比0战胜了莱切,但他们也表现出了弱点,尤其是在欧冠揭幕战中,他们以3比1输给了利物浦。米兰在那场比赛中有11次射正,凸显了勒沃库森可以利用的防守弱点。

此外,米兰正在处理一些伤病问题。本纳塞尔、弗洛伦齐和斯波尔蒂耶罗都缺阵,而卡拉布里亚和奥卡福刚刚伤愈,可能还不能完全康复。这可能会削弱米兰的防守结构,限制他们在进攻端的选择。虽然像拉斐尔·莱奥和克里斯蒂安·普利西奇这样的球员有能力创造奇迹,但这支球队在欧洲赛场上表现不稳定,他们的后防线可能难以遏制勒沃库森充满活力的攻击手。

在哈维·阿隆索的带领下,勒沃库森发展出了一种平衡的进攻风格,将快速转变与稳固的防守组织相结合。阿隆索根据对手调整战术的能力使勒沃库森成为欧洲一支多面手和危险的球队。相比之下,米兰主帅保罗·丰塞卡(Paulo Fonseca)强调了防守纪律的重要性,但他的球队在重大比赛中很难执行这些计划,就像对阵利物浦的比赛一样。

勒沃库森使用的3-4-2-1阵型使得他们在中场泛滥,并在两翼造成超载,这可能会给米兰的防守带来问题。如果勒沃库森能够控制边路并利用米兰边后卫身后的空间,这将为维尔茨和博尼法斯这样的球员提供突破的机会。

所有的迹象都表明勒沃库森在周二晚上会有强劲的表现。有主场优势,最近的优异状态,和一个完全健康的阵容,他们有充分的理由有信心进入这场比赛。米兰,一个历史悠久的欧洲强队,正在处理伤病,不稳定,以及在一个艰难的场地进行客场比赛的压力。勒沃库森的进攻火力,敏锐的战术和稳固的防守应该会让他们在这场关键的欧冠比赛中脱颖而出。

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