[海外]赛事分析预测:诺丁汉森林vs水晶宫预测

海外来料 2024-10-19 02:46:25 168 上一篇下一篇

本文由海外专家Simon Barlow独家放送:
  • 在森林队的七场比赛中,只有不到三个进球;本赛季有八场比赛
  • 在Palace的四场比赛中,只进了不到三个球;最近六场英超比赛
  • 在俱乐部的最后四场比赛中,每场比赛都进了不到三个球
  • 克里斯·伍德在最近八次英超联赛出场中已经进了六个球

森林和宫殿的造型线已经翻转

诺丁汉森林队和水晶宫队上一次相遇时是生存竞争对手,在周一于城市球场举行的本赛季第一次英超联赛之前,他们的命运已经完全颠倒了。

去年3月,两家俱乐部在诺丁汉以1比1战平,随后Palace赢得了最后七场比赛中的六场,轻松地排在中游。现在,森林队在七场比赛中以10分的成绩排名第十,而老鹰队则以3平4负的战绩陷入降级区。

压力重重地落在了Palace身上,自1992-93赛季以来,他们可能首次在顶级联赛的前八场联赛中无法获胜。但森林队在六场主场联赛中都没有获胜,而且可能没有足够的进攻多样性来在这场比赛中获得全部三分。

Kiwi Wood是一种抛光精加工机

克里斯·伍德在森林队的状态一直很好,他最近的进球数使他成为这场比赛中任何时候的最佳射手。

这位新西兰国脚本月参加了全白队的两场比赛,如果你把他在上赛季最后一天获得的双冠王算在内,他在过去的八场英超比赛中有五场得分。

上赛季,他的每90分钟进球率为0.7,仅次于埃尔林·哈兰德、亚历山大·伊萨克、迪奥戈·乔塔、迈克尔·奥利斯和科尔·帕尔默,而本赛季的0.65的进球率使他再次跻身于最致命的十几名完成者之列。

趋势表明,目标将很少

伍德得分森林’;在3月份那场平局的比赛中,他们扳平了比分,考虑到过去六场比赛中有五场都取得了圆满成功,其中三场各进一球,看到比分再次记录下来可能并不奇怪。

当然,两支球队都有足够的趋势;最近的结果表明,这是一场进球很少的紧张比赛。在比赛中,如果森林队有7个进球不到3个,那么支持2.5以下的球队的几率相当可观;本赛季的八场比赛,以及皇宫的四场比赛;最近六场英超比赛。

森林队的预期进球数明显低于其他上半场球队,这更像是一个降级斗士。尽管Palace已经丢了10倍于他们预期的进球,但这个数字还不到七家排名靠前的俱乐部。

预言: 低于2.5个比赛进球
绘制1-1
克里斯·伍德随时得分


外文原文如下:

  • Fewer than three goals have been scored in seven of Forest’s eight games this season
  • Fewer than three goals have been scored in four of Palace’s last six Premier League matches
  • Fewer than three goals have been scored in each of the last four meetings of the clubs
  • Chris Wood has scored six goals in his last eight Premier League appearances

The form lines of Forest and Palace have flipped

Survival rivals when they last met, the fortunes of Nottingham Forest and Crystal Palace have completely flipped ahead of their first Premier League meeting this season at The City Ground on Monday.

Both clubs were battling the drop when they drew 1-1 in Nottingham last March before Palace won six of their last seven games to finish comfortably in mid-table. Now it is Forest that are sitting pretty in 10th place with 10 points from seven games while the Eagles wallow in the relegation zone with a record of three draws and four defeats.

The pressure is firmly on Palace, who could fail to win any of their opening eight league games of a top-flight campaign for the first time since 1992-93. But Forest are without a win in six home league matches and may not quite have enough variety in attack to take all three points in this fixture.

Kiwi Wood is a polished finisher

Chris Wood has been in good form for Forest for some time and his recent goal tally makes him the obvious pick for an anytime goalscorer in this clash.

The New Zealand international, who registered in both games for the All Whites this month, has scored in five of his last eight Premier League games if you include the double he bagged on the final day of last season.

His goals per-90 minutes ratio of 0.7 was only bettered by Erling Haaland, Alexander Isak, Diogo Jota, Michael Olise and Cole Palmer last term while his 0.65 ratio this season puts him among the dozen most lethal finishers again.

Trends suggest goals will be scarce

Wood scored Forest’s leveller in that drawn March meeting and it may not be a total surprise to see that scoreline recorded again given five of the last six meetings finished all square with three of them featuring one goal apiece.

Certainly, there is enough of a trend in both teams’ recent results to suggest a tight game with few goals. Backing under 2.5 in the match is available at decent odds given fewer than three goals have been scored in seven of Forest’s eight games this season and also in four of Palace’s last six Premier League matches.

Forest have a significantly lower expected goals tally than the other the top-half teams and it is really more akin to that of a relegation battler. And although Palace have conceded 10 times their expected goals against figure is less than those of seven higher-placed clubs.

Predictions:Under 2.5 Match Goals
Draw 1-1
Chris Wood To Score Anytime

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