[海外]赛事分析预测:热那亚vs佛罗伦萨预测

海外来料 2024-10-29 04:12:20 156 上一篇下一篇

本文由海外专家Aaron Rogan@aaron_rogan独家放送:
  • 佛罗伦萨在最近九场比赛中有八场进了两球
  • 热那亚本赛季已经丢了20个球,在过去的7个球中有6个丢了2个或更多
  • 莫伊斯·基恩在最近四次出场中平均每24分钟射门一次

佛罗伦萨可以乘坐Grifone游轮

佛罗伦萨将在周四晚上访问排名靠后的热那亚,以延续五连胜的记录。主队在前九场比赛中仅得6分,处于降级区,同时他们拥有该赛区最差的一些基本数据。

东道主在过去的七场比赛中输掉了五场,其中六场比赛至少失球两次。他们在整个竞选过程中进了20个球,而他们;我在五场主场比赛中丢了10次球。

热那亚在周末以3比0输给拉齐奥的比赛中被吹走了,他们遇到了佛罗伦萨队,佛罗伦萨队分别以5比1和6比0的胜利击败了罗马队和莱切队。在两次胜利之间,他们还在欧洲圣加仑以4比2获胜。紫百合在过去的九场比赛中有八场进了两个或更多的球,他们应该对热那亚来说太多了。

东道主本赛季在意甲联赛中丢球最多,得分最少。Grifone队在15%的投篮中失球了;我和佛罗伦萨在客场的得分是一样的,所以预计客队至少会进几个球。

佛罗伦萨’;莫伊斯·基恩在对阵罗马的比赛中梅开二度,将意甲联赛的进球数翻了一番,他在过去10场俱乐部和国家队的比赛中都进了6球。这位前锋在过去八场比赛中的六场比赛中发布了0.6或更高的xG,而他;在过去的四次出场中,他平均每24分钟射门一次。再带他去找网。

预言: 佛罗伦萨队进球数超过1.5个
佛罗伦萨3:0
莫伊斯·基恩随时得分


外文原文如下:

  • Fiorentina have scored twice in eight of their last nine matches
  • Genoa have conceded 20 goals this term, shipping two or more in six of their last seven
  • Moise Kean is averaging a shot on target every 24 minutes across his last four appearances

Fiorentina can cruise by Grifone

Fiorentina are out to extend a five-game winning run when they visit lowly Genoa on Thursday night. The home side are in the relegation zone with just six points from their first nine games, while they boast some of the worst underlying numbers in the division.

The hosts have lost five of their last seven matches, conceding at least twice in six of those games. They have let in 20 goals across the campaign, while they’ve conceded 10 times across their five home matches.

Genoa were blown away in a 3-0 loss to Lazio at the weekend and they meet a Fiorentina side who have dismantled Roma and Lecce with 5-1 and 6-0 victories respectively. They also won 4-2 at St Gallen in Europe in between those victories. La Viola have scored twice or more in eight of their last nine and they should have too much for Genoa.

The hosts have conceded the most Expected Goals in Serie A this term and they have the fewest Expected Points. The Grifone have conceded from 15% of the shots they’ve faced and Fiorentina score at the same rate on the road, so expect at least a couple of goals for the visitors.

Fiorentina’s Moise Kean doubled his Serie A tally with a brace against Roma and he has six goals in his last 10 games for club and country. The forward has posted an xG of 0.6 or higher in six of his last eight games, while he’s averaging a shot on target every 24 minutes across his last four appearances. Take him to find the net once again.

Predictions:Fiorentina Over 1.5 Team Goals
Fiorentina 3-0
Moise Kean To Score Anytime

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