- 蒙扎的三场比赛中至少进了三个球；最近四场主场比赛
- 在AC米兰的四场比赛中，至少进了三个球；最近五场客场比赛
- 克里斯蒂安·普利西奇在过去八场意甲比赛（七场首发）中有五场进球，在过去九场AC米兰比赛中有六场进球
蒙扎可能会否认不稳定的米兰
蒙扎将寻求上赛季的重演；周六，当AC米兰在U-Power体育场主场迎战摇摇欲坠的红黑军团时，他们取得了惊人的成功。
伦巴第俱乐部由米兰背后的两位主要董事会成员经营；20世纪90年代和21世纪初的成功震惊了Stefano Pioli；去年四月，中国队在主场以4比2获胜；其中一个结果导致他在夏天被解雇。
新任主教练保罗·丰塞卡（Paolo Fonseca）本赛季还无法连续获胜，尽管米兰；9月下旬，他以2比1的惊人德比让一些批评者闭嘴。然而，周中主场2比0负于领头羊那不勒斯，在这场比赛之前再次加大了葡萄牙教练的压力。
主机正危险地徘徊在降落区附近
与此同时，蒙扎在前10场联赛中只取得了一场胜利，目前正危险地徘徊在降级区附近。然而，他们只输掉了其中的四场比赛，并成功地将国际米兰和排名第五的佛罗伦萨扳平比分。
只要周三，平局也可能是这场比赛的结果；内斯塔在对阵亚特兰大的比赛中表现平平，这是一次性的；中国队在贝加莫的比赛中取得了0.11的预期进球数，完全值得以2比0击败。
然而，这场比赛对他们来说总是一场重要的比赛，他们可能会在一场应该有几个进球的比赛中挺身而出，登上得分榜。支持超过2.5个进球是这里的首选，尽管两队得分的几率也应该较小。
- At least three goals have been scored in three of Monza’s last four home games
- At least three goals have been scored in four of AC Milan’s last five away matches
- Christian Pulisic has scored in five of his last eight Serie A appearances (seven starts) and in six of his last nine games for AC Milan overall
Monza might deny inconsistent Milan
Monza will be looking to repeat last season’s stunning success over AC Milan when they host the reeling Rossoneri at U-Power Stadium on Saturday.
The Lombardy club run by the two main boardroom figures behind Milan’s success in the 1990s and 2000s stunned Stefano Pioli’s side 4-2 at home last April – one of the results that led to him being sacked in the summer.
New boss Paolo Fonseca has been unable to string a run of wins together yet this term, although Milan’s shock 2-1 derby in late September had shut up a few of his critics. However, a 2-0 midweek home defeat to leaders Napoli has ramped the pressure up on the Portuguese coach again ahead of this fixture.
Hosts are hovering dangerously close to the drop zone
Monza, meanwhile, are hovering dangerously close to the relegation zone after recording only one win in their opening 10 league games. However, they have lost only four of those contests and did manage to hold both Inter and fifth-placed Fiorentina in score draws.
A score draw might be the outcome of this game too as long as Wednesday’s insipid display against Atalanta was a one-off. Alessandro Nesta’s side produced an expected goals (xG) tally of 0.11 in Bergamo and thoroughly deserved to be beaten 2-0.
This game is always a big one for them, however, and they will probably rise to the occasion to get on the scoresheet in a game that ought to feature a few goals. Backing Over 2.5 goals is the preferred play here, although both teams to score should also come in at lesser odds.
