[海外]赛事分析预测:米尔沃尔vs伯恩利预测

海外来料 2024-11-01 19:59:24 66 上一篇下一篇

本文由海外专家Simon Barlow独家放送:
  • 米尔沃尔的七场比赛只进了不到三个球;最近八场联赛
  • 伯恩利队有9个进球不到3个;最近10场锦标赛
  • 伯恩利没有两名领先的前锋,在过去的六场客场比赛中,他们只进过一次以上的球

红葡萄酒缺乏吓狮子的火力

伯恩利可能缺乏火力来终结一支顽强的米尔沃尔队,这支球队将在周日于the Den主场迎战Clarets队时,寻求延续四场不败的战绩。

斯科特·帕克;在过去的四场比赛中,中国队有三场失分,在争夺冠军的比赛中失利;自动晋升的地方。他们失误的原因是伯恩利的进攻缺乏进球,没有几个有创造力的球员和终结者。

Zian Flemming没有资格在周日面对他的母俱乐部,这让帕克失去了受伤前锋Lyle Foster的最佳替补选择,而边锋Mike Tresor,Manuel Benson和Nathan Redmond仍然缺席。杰里米·萨米恩托(Jeremy Sarmiento)是一个疑问,所以帕克可能会将老将杰伊·罗德里格斯(Jay Rodriguez)作为唯一可能的进攻变化,而上次与女王公园巡游者队(Queens Park Rangers)战成0比0的球队。

米尔沃尔让自己很难被击败

尼尔·哈里斯的进球对米尔沃尔来说也是一个问题;在过去的五场锦标赛中,这支球队只进了三球。但最后两位是狮子会的赢家;防守在对阵普利茅斯和斯旺西的比赛中保持了零失球。

他们将面临来自Clarets的更严峻的考验,Clarets已经从中场进了几个球。自9月初以来,伯恩利也比全国任何其他俱乐部都高,在过去的八场联赛中只丢了两个球。

这里最明显的策略是将2.5岁以下的进球数追到1/2左右;在这种情况下,不值得为1.5岁以下的进球冒任何风险,因为米尔沃尔在主场可能很危险,随着租借前锋乔什·科伯恩伤愈复出,情况可能会有所改善。

预言: 低于2.5个比赛进球
绘制1-1


外文原文如下:

  • Fewer than three goals have been scored in seven of Millwall’s last eight league matches
  • Fewer than three goals have been scored in nine of Burnley’s last 10 Championship games
  • Burnley are without their two leading strikers and have only scored more than once in one of their last six away games

Clarets lack the firepower to scare Lions

Burnley could lack the firepower to finish off a dogged Millwall side that will be looking to extend a four-match unbeaten run when they host the Clarets at The Den on Sunday.

Scott Parker’s side have dropped points in three of their last four matches, losing ground in the race to stay in the Championship’s automatic promotion places. And the reason for their slip is the lack of goals being produced by a Burnley attack without several creative players and finishers.

Zian Flemming is ineligible to face his parent club on Sunday, leaving Parker without his best backup option for injured striker Lyle Foster while wingers Mike Tresor, Manuel Benson and Nathan Redmond are all still out. Jeremy Sarmiento is a doubt, so Parker is likely to include veteran Jay Rodriguez as the only likely attacking change form the side that drew 0-0 with Queens Park Rangers last time out.

Millwall have made themselves hard to beat

Goals have been a problem for Millwall too with Neil Harris’ side having scored only three in their last five Championship games. But the last two have been winners as the Lions’ defence has been able to keep clean sheets against Plymouth and Swansea.

They will face a tougher test from the Clarets, who have been getting a few goals from midfield. Burnley have also been higher than any other club in the country since the start of September, conceding only two goals in their last eight league games.

The obvious play here is to back Under 2.5 goals at around the 1/2 mark. It’s not worth risking anything on Under 1.5 goals in this scenario as Millwall can be dangerous at home and may improve with the return of loan striker Josh Coburn from injury.

Predictions:Under 2.5 Match Goals
Draw 1-1

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