[海外]赛事分析预测:富勒姆vs布伦特福德预测

海外来料 2024-11-02 02:15:20 146 上一篇下一篇

本文由海外专家Aaron Rogan@aaron_rogan独家放送:
  • 布伦特福德本赛季输掉了所有四场客场比赛,其中三场得分
  • 蜜蜂队在所有比赛的最后九场比赛中都看到了BTTS
  • 富勒姆在四场主场比赛中赢了两场

布伦特福德的客场困境

布伦特福德在上周末以4比3战胜伊普斯维奇后,于周中晋级卡拉堡杯四分之一决赛,但他们本赛季的积极因素都来自主场。蜜蜂队在上赛季19场比赛中12场失利后,本赛季输掉了所有四场英超联赛。

这为富勒姆提供了一个机会,他们在上周末对阵埃弗顿的比赛中丢了一个扳平比分的球,三连胜都失败了。本赛季,小屋队在首场两场主场比赛中获得了7分,因此他们应该能够很好地惩罚邻居。

农场主能把蜜蜂拒之门外吗?

布伦特福德一直是联盟的一员;最近几周,他们在战胜伊普斯维奇和狼队的比赛中打入15球。两队在过去的九场比赛中都取得了进球,而在过去的三场联赛中,他们的预期进球数为9.1个。

蜜蜂正在创造机会,但他们;我在主场有一个良好的开局,他们在周末的比赛前分别主场迎战垫底的四支球队。富勒姆已经公布了一些坚实的基础防守数据,在过去的四场比赛中只面对4.2×G;其中包括与曼城和阿斯顿维拉的会面。

本赛季,小屋队仍然只保持了一场零失球,本赛季在英超联赛中被停赛的情况很少见。与此同时,布伦特福德;本赛季唯一的空白是在利物浦,在曼城、托特纳姆和曼联的失利中得分。他们可以继续保持连胜,但他们的防守问题应该会导致另一场失利。

史密斯·罗准备反弹

布伦特福德在9场比赛后的上半场防守记录是最差的,本赛季打入18球。他们的数字大致与15.4的xG对齐,他们;到目前为止,我给对手的机会太多了。

本赛季,蜜蜂队的投篮命中率(61次)超过了其他任何英超球队。蜜蜂队在面对16%的投篮时也做出了让步,这表明他们;让对手重新占据有利位置。

马尔科·席尔瓦;富勒姆在最后三分之一的位置上有一些不错的选择。埃米尔·史密斯·罗在夏天从阿森纳签下,以提高球场的质量。在与曼彻斯特俱乐部和维拉的棘手冲突中,他没有出手,但他;s在其他六场比赛中有14次努力,得分两次;这两个进球都是在家里实现的。

这位中场球员上周在埃弗顿投了几球,并为亚历克斯·伊沃比助攻;的目标。在几周的平静之后,他更多地参与了古迪逊的比赛,这让他在对阵布伦特福德队的比赛中表现得相当不错,因为布伦特福德队为对手提供了太多的机会。

预言: 富勒姆和两队得分
富勒姆3-1
Emile Smith Rowe随时得分


外文原文如下:

  • Brentford have lost all four of their away trips this term, scoring in three
  • The Bees have seen BTTS in each of their last nine in all competitions
  • Fulham have won two of their four home games

Away woes for Brentford

Brentford progressed to the Carabao Cup quarter-finals in midweek off the back of a 4-3 win over Ipswich last weekend, but their positives have all come at home this term. The Bees have lost all four of their Premier League trips this season, following on from their 12 defeats in 19 trips last season.

That presents an opportunity for Fulham, who have failed to win in three after conceding a late equaliser at Everton last weekend. The Cottagers have taken seven points from their opening two home games this term, so they should be well-placed to punish their neighbours.

Can Cottagers shut out the Bees?

Brentford have been the league’s entertainers in recent weeks, with 15 goals scored across their victories over Ipswich and Wolves. Both teams have scored in their last nine matches, while they racked up 9.1 Expected Goals across their last three league outings.

The Bees are creating chances, but they’ve been helped with a kind start at home which has seen them host each of the bottom four sides ahead of the weekend fixtures. Fulham have posted some solid underlying defensive numbers, facing just 4.2 xG across their last four matches – which featured meetings with Man City and Aston Villa.

The Cottagers have still managed just one clean sheet this term and shutouts are a rarity in the Premier League this term. Meanwhile, Brentford’s only blank this term came at Liverpool, scoring in defeats at City, Tottenham and Man United. They can carry on that scoring streak, but their defensive issues should lead to another defeat.

Smith-Rowe primed to bounce back

Brentford have the worst defensive record of any side in the top-half after nine matches, shipping 18 goals this term. Their numbers roughly line-up with an xG against of 15.4 and they’ve offered opponents far too many chances so far.

The Bees have conceded more shots on target (61) than any other Premier League side this season. The Bees have also conceded from 16% of their shots faced, suggesting that they’re letting opponents get into good positions.

Marco Silva’s Fulham have a solid set-up with some good options in the final third. Emile Smith-Rowe was signed from Arsenal in the summer to add quality at that end of the pitch. He failed to have a shot in tricky clashes with the Manchester clubs and Villa, but he’s had 14 efforts across his other six matches, scoring twice – with both of those goals coming at home.

The midfielder had a couple of shots at Everton last week and was credited with an assist for Alex Iwobi’s goal. He was more involved at Goodison after a couple of quieter weeks and that sees him priced quite well to score against a Brentford side that offer opponents too many openings.

Predictions:Fulham and Both Teams To Score
Fulham 3-1
Emile Smith Rowe To Score Anytime

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