[海外]赛事分析预测:水晶宫vs富勒姆预测

海外来料 2024-11-08 15:02:04 173 上一篇下一篇

本文由海外专家Aaron Rogan@aaron_rogan独家放送:
  • 富勒姆在周一对布伦特福德的比赛中取得了一系列好成绩
  • 水晶宫在本赛季的10场比赛中只赢了一场
  • 老鹰队在过去八场主场对阵富勒姆的比赛中只赢了两场

晚些时候的复出提振了Cottagers

富勒姆在哈里·威尔逊之后结束了三连胜,但没有获胜;星期一晚上的英雄事迹。小屋队在主场以1比0落后于布伦特福德,但威尔逊在替补席上发挥了至关重要的作用,在比赛后期两次得分,为马尔科·席尔瓦贡献了全部三分;s侧。

富勒姆在对阵曼城和阿斯顿维拉的比赛中表现不错,而他们距离上个月底在古迪逊公园以1比0获胜还有很短的路要走。它’;对席尔瓦来说,这是一场坚实的运动;他们可以继续对阵排名第17位的皇宫队。

宫殿看起来很脆弱

老鹰队在上一场比赛结束时表现出色,但本赛季的表现令人失望。本赛季,Palace在10场比赛中只赢了一场,输掉了其中的5场。东道主也是该赛区得分第二低的球队,他们的八球仅比南安普顿队高出一球。

本赛季,Palace已经在主场输给西汉姆联和莱斯特城,而他们;自2019年以来,我就没有在主场击败过富勒姆。虽然他们的成绩在过去几周有所改善,但老鹰队在面对表现良好的富勒姆队时仍然显得很脆弱。

富勒姆将获得积分

富勒姆本赛季在客场只有一场胜利,但他们的表现值得更多。他们’;在过去的四次联赛中,我每次都在预期目标上获胜,包括在高飞的诺丁汉森林以1比0获胜。在客场对阵曼城的比赛中,Cottagers以2.6比1.6赢得了xG的比赛,而他们的基础数据一直很好。

席尔瓦’;在过去的九场联赛中,中国男篮的每场比赛都有更高的xG,面对一支勉强处于降级区之外的球队,这种表现应该会得到回报。

期待小屋’;防守记录在这里有所改善,因为他们;我在过去的五场比赛中有三场丢球不到1.0×G。他们也只向曼城和阿斯顿维拉运送了1.6 x G的货物;两支冠军联赛球队。他们可以淘汰在过去六场比赛中的五场比赛中创造了1.0×G或更低成绩的皇宫队。

预言: 富勒姆抽签没有赌注
富勒姆1-0


外文原文如下:

  • Fulham won against Brentford on Monday following a string of good displays
  • Crystal Palace have won just once in their 10 matches this season
  • The Eagles have won just two of their last eight home meetings with Fulham

Late comeback boosts Cottagers

Fulham ended a three-game run without a victory after Harry Wilson’s late heroics on Monday night. The Cottagers had been trailing 1-0 at home to Brentford, but Wilson made a crucial impact off the bench to score twice late on and deliver all three points for Marco Silva’s side.

Fulham had done well in defeats against Man City and Aston Villa, while they were moments away from claiming a 1-0 win at Goodison Park at the end of last month. It’s been a solid campaign overall for Silva’s team and they can continue that against a Palace outfit who are sitting in 17th place.

Palace look vulnerable

The Eagles have had a disappointing season after their flourish at the end of the previous campaign. Palace have managed just one win in 10 games this term, losing five of those matches. The hosts are also the second-lowest scorers in the division, with their eight-goal haul just one above a blunt Southampton side.

Palace have already dropped points at home to West Ham and Leicester this season, while they’ve not beaten Fulham at home since 2019. While their results have improved over the last couple of weeks, the Eagles still look vulnerable against a Fulham side that is performing at a good level.

Fulham to take the points

Fulham have just one win on the road this season, but their performances have deserved more. They’ve won on Expected Goals across each of their last four league trips, including a 1-0 victory at high-flying Nottingham Forest. The Cottagers won the xG battle 2.6 to 1.6 away to Man City in a season where their underlying numbers have been great.

Silva’s men have had the higher xG in each of their last nine league games and that level of performance should pay off against a side who are narrowly outside the drop zone.

Expect the Cottagers’ defensive record to improve here, as they’ve conceded less than 1.0 xG in three of their last five matches. They also shipped just 1.6 xG to Man City and Aston Villa – two Champions League sides. They can shut out a Palace side who have created 1.0 xG or less in five of their last six matches.

Predictions:Fulham Draw No Bet
Fulham 1-0

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