The odds are so short for a straight win, and I do not feel comfortable with -1.5 so here are a few words only, for free!
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1X2 probabilities 60% - 213% -17 %
Bayern Munich defeated Augsburg 3-0 in the Bundesliga on Friday. Harry Kane scored a hat-trick, although the last two goals came from penalties. In the Champions League, Bayern routinely defeated Benfica 1-0 in the previous round. Six points after four rounds is below expectations, but a place in the knockout stages still looks realistic. For PSG, however, this game is almost a must-win. The French number-one team has only collected four points in the Champions League so far, and the final schedule looks tough. In Ligue 1, the Parisians defeated Toulouse 3-0 on Friday, but the performance was anything but convincing.
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In the Champions League, the Reds have beaten Dinamo Zagreb 9-2 and Benfica 1-0 at home at the Allianz Arena, and have suffered defeats away to Aston Villa 0-1 at Villa Park and Barcelona 1-4 at the Estadio Olimpico. In those games, Kane scored four goals against Dinamo, with the fifth coming against Barcelona. In addition, Michael Olise scored twice, while Leon Goretzka, Raphael Guerreiro, Jamal Musiala and Leroy Sane all scored once.
Team news:
Several defenders and midfielders are out, but they are not the top important ones: Aleksandar Pavlovic, and Josip Stanisic Sven Ulreich, Tarek Buchmann, Hiroki Ito and Joao Palhinha.
Possible starting lineup for Die Roten (4-2-3-1): Neuer; Laimer, Upamecano, Kim, Davies; Kimmich, Goretzka; Olise, Musiala, Gnabry; Kane.
Led by Luis Enrique and leading the Ligue 1, PSG beat Toulouse 3-0 in their UCL dress rehearsal at Parc des Princes last Friday. Joao Neves in the first half, Lucas Beraldo in the 84th minute and Vitinha in the third minute of added time scored the goals for the visitors. The expected goal (xG) was in fact in favor of Toulouse, and the fair score would had been 2-2.
PSG's only win in the Champions League so far has been a 1-0 win of Girona at Parc des Princes. They have also lost 0-2 to Arsenal at the Emirates Stadium and 1-2 to Atletico Madrid at Parc des Princes. They drew 1-1 against PSV at Parc des Princes. Not very convincing results, although they are just results and the loss to Atletico was a crazy one compared to the performances!
PSG have only found the net in those games with Achraf Hakimi, Warren Zaire-Emery and Paulo Gazzaniga, who scored an own goal for Girona.
Team news:
PSG will miss the game with defenders Lucas Hernandez, Presnel Kimpembe and Nuno Mendes, midfielder Senny Mayulu and striker Goncalo Ramos. Instead, Marquinhos, who was suspended against Toulouse, returns to the defense line together with Willian Pacho. Vitinha also returns to midfield and Gianluigi Donnarumma is between the posts.
PSG's possible starting lineup (4-3-3): Donnarumma; Hakimi, Marquinhos, Pacho, Mendes; Zaire-Emery, Vitinha, Neves; Dembele, Asensio, Barcola.
A lot of defenders missing, could this turn into a goal-fest? I am tempted to go for -1.5, but perhaps I give it a go live. Now only this basic and easily predictable home win. Good luck!
该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:
连胜的几率是如此之小，我对-1.5感到不舒服，所以这里只说几句话，免费的！
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1X2概率60% - 213% - 17%
拜仁慕尼黑在周五的德甲联赛中以3比0击败奥格斯堡。哈里·凯恩上演了帽子戏法，尽管最后两个进球来自点球。在欧冠联赛中，拜仁经常在前一轮以1-0击败本菲卡。虽然4轮6分的成绩低于预期，但晋级淘汰赛还是有可能的。然而，对于巴黎圣日耳曼来说，这场比赛几乎是必须赢的。到目前为止，法国头号球队在欧冠联赛中只拿到了4分，最后的赛程看起来很艰难。在法甲联赛中，巴黎人周五以3比0击败图卢兹，但他们的表现一点也不令人信服。
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在欧冠联赛中，红军在主场安联球场分别以9比2和1比0击败了萨格勒布迪纳摩和本菲卡，在维拉公园球场以0比1和奥林匹克球场以1比4分别输给了阿斯顿维拉和巴塞罗那。在这两场比赛中，凯恩在对阵迪纳摩的比赛中打入4球，在对阵巴塞罗那的比赛中打入第5球。此外，迈克尔·奥利斯梅开二度，而莱昂·戈雷兹卡、拉斐尔·格雷罗、贾马尔·穆西亚拉和勒罗伊·萨内都进了一球。
团队新闻:
几名后卫和中场缺阵，但他们都不是最重要的：巴甫洛维奇、乌尔赖希、布赫曼、伊藤博文和帕尔欣哈。
可能的首发阵容（4-2-3-1）：诺伊尔；Laimer, Upamecano, Kim, Davies；Kimmich Goretzka;奥利斯、穆西亚拉、格纳布里；凯恩。
上周五，在路易斯·恩里克的带领下，巴黎圣日耳曼在王子公园举行的欧冠联赛彩排中以3比0击败了图卢兹。上半场的若昂·内维斯、第84分钟的卢卡斯·贝拉尔多和加时赛第三分钟的维塔尼亚分别为客队进球。预期的进球（xG）实际上是有利于图卢兹的，公平的比分应该是2-2。
到目前为止，巴黎圣日耳曼在欧冠联赛中唯一的胜利是在王子公园球场1-0战胜赫罗纳。他们还在酋长球场0-2不敌阿森纳，在王子公园球场1-2不敌马竞。他们在王子公园1-1战平埃因霍温。不是很有说服力的结果，尽管他们只是结果，输给马竞与表现相比是疯狂的！
巴黎圣日耳曼在这些比赛中只有哈基米、扎伊尔-埃梅里和加扎尼加打进了一粒乌龙球。
团队新闻:
巴黎圣日耳曼将缺席本场比赛，他们的后卫有埃尔南德斯、金彭贝和门德斯，中场马尤鲁和前锋拉莫斯。相反，在对阵图卢兹的比赛中被禁赛的马昆霍斯和帕乔一起回到了后防线。维金尼亚也回到了中场，多纳鲁马在门柱之间。
巴黎圣日耳曼可能的首发阵容（4-3-3）：多纳鲁马；哈基米、马基诺斯、帕乔、门德斯；扎伊尔-埃默里、维金哈、内维斯；登贝莱，阿森西奥，巴拉。
很多后卫缺阵，这会变成一场进球大战吗？我倾向于选择-1.5，但也许我会尝试一下。现在只有这个基本的和容易预测的主场胜利。好运！
