Both teams miss almost 10 players, but the better team can handle it a lot better, especially when the mental mood is very positive after excellent results so far.
1X2 75% - 15% - 10%,
over/under 2.5 goals 70/30
Although Fabian Hürzeler's Brighton is in the running, this is perhaps a bit confusing when considering the team's true level. Now the Seagulls have a couple of lucky wins again if you look at the expected goal figures, and otherwise tight matches have often turned in Brighton's favor. Of course, this can also speak to mental capacity, so we don't take credit away from the team completely.
Recent matches with also xG-numbers are below:
On Friday, Brighton will be without James Milner, Adam Webster, Solly March, who are on the injury books, and Carlos Baleba, who is suspended. Ferdi Kadioglu and Jack Hinshelwood are within their capabilities. On the other hand, the Saints will miss Gavin Bazunu, Aaron Ramsdale, Adam Lallana, Jan Bednarek, Ross Stewart and Will Smallbone. Paul Onuachu's condition will be checked in more detail on Friday.
Southampton were able to tease Liverpool in their home match in the previous round but ultimately lost by 3-2 which was entirely fair result. Russell Martin's uncompromising approach to playing on the ball and opening the game with short passes again caused a lot of mistakes, which were further accentuated by injuries forcing changes in the defensive line.
Brighton's performance has seen a lot of variation during the autumn, and despite individual top performances, their playing strength has not changed much. Southampton's performance level, on the other hand, has been consistently modest throughout the early season and the team has been the weakest in the series so far by all measures, along with other promoted teams Ipswich and Leicester. Bottom-half of the EPL with points and xG-data below:
A clear difference in basic level, home advantage, and a slightly better injury situation justify the hosts' 75 percent favorite position. The match has the potential for a high-scoring contest, with the expected goal difference set at around 3.50 goals.
Good luck!
该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:
两支球队都少了近10名球员，但更好的球队可以处理得更好，尤其是在目前为止取得出色成绩后，心理情绪非常积极的时候。
1x2 75% - 15% - 10%，
超过/低于2.5个进球70/30
虽然费比安·赫赖斯勒的布莱顿在竞争中，但考虑到球队的真实水平，这可能有点令人困惑。现在，如果你看看预期的进球数，海鸥队又幸运地赢了几场，否则，激烈的比赛往往会对布莱顿有利。当然，这也与心理能力有关，所以我们不会完全剥夺团队的荣誉。
最近的比赛也有xg号码如下：
周五，布莱顿将失去米尔纳、韦伯斯特、马奇，他们都在伤病名单上，巴莱巴也将停赛。费迪·卡迪奥格鲁和杰克·欣希尔伍德在他们的能力范围内。另一方面，圣徒队将错过加文·巴祖努、亚伦·拉姆斯代尔、亚当·拉拉纳、简·贝德纳雷克、罗斯·斯图尔特和威尔·斯莫尔波恩。保罗·奥努阿丘的情况将在周五接受详细检查。
南安普顿在上一轮的主场比赛中击败了利物浦，但最终以3比2的比分输掉了比赛，这是一个完全公平的结果。拉塞尔·马丁不妥协的控球方式和短传开局再次造成了很多失误，而伤病迫使后防线的改变进一步加剧了这些失误。
布莱顿的表现在这个秋天出现了很多变化，尽管个人表现出色，但他们的比赛实力并没有太大变化。另一方面，南安普顿的表现水平在整个赛季初期一直表现平平，从所有指标来看，这支球队都是迄今为止系列赛中最弱的球队，与其他升级队伊普斯维奇和莱斯特一样。EPL下半部分，积分和x - g数据如下：
基础水平的明显差异、主场优势和稍好一点的伤病状况证明了东道主75%的优势。这场比赛有可能成为一场高分之战，预计净胜球将在3.5个左右。
好运！
