- 兹韦兹达队在五场联赛阶段的比赛中输掉了四场。
- AC米兰在本赛季的六场主场胜利中有五场进了三个或更多的球。
- 兹韦兹达在两次欧冠联赛中丢了9个球。
米兰可以超越红星
周三，AC米兰将在欧冠联赛中迎战塞尔维亚的红星队，东道主看起来比对手高出一个级别。
塞尔维亚客队发现本赛季的比赛很艰难。红星队在上一场欧洲比赛中确实以5比1击败了德国斯图加特队，但那是在贝尔格莱德，虽然这场胜利是当之无愧的，但比分让他们受宠若惊。
在那场胜利之前，兹韦兹达队在这场比赛中已经连续输了四场，他们已经在与意大利对手的比赛中苦苦挣扎，在这个体育场以4比0输给了国际米兰队。
主场获胜的可能性很高，在不利条件下支持米兰是一条路，但在大约2.5个进球左右是最突出的赌注。
红星队在欧洲的两场客场比赛中，分别在国际米兰和摩纳哥，总共进了9球，他们以出色的得分状态前往米兰队。红黑军团在过去的四场比赛中有三场比赛，在过去的三场欧冠比赛中每场比赛都进了至少3球；包括在皇家马德里以3比1的惊人胜利。
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意甲4-1的胜利是正确的得分选择，因为兹韦兹达在欧洲场均失球超过三球，但他们在五场比赛中已经进了九球，米兰在联赛阶段还没有保持零失球。
米兰中场球员Tijjani Reijnders在欧冠联赛中有三个进球，在所有比赛的最后三场比赛中也有三个。由于克里斯蒂安·普利西奇（Christian Pulisic）缺席了东道主的比赛，回到Reijnders帮助他们取得了令人信服的胜利。
- Crvena Zvezda have lost four of their five league phase games.
- AC Milan have scored three or more goals in five of their six home wins this season.
- Crvena Zvezda have conceded nine goals across two Champions League trips.
Milan can outclass Red Star
AC Milan entertain Serbia’s Crvena Zvezda in the Champions League on Wednesday and the hosts look a level above their opponents.
The Serbian visitors have found this competition tough this season. Red Star did crush Germany’s Stuttgart 5-1 in their last European game but that was in Belgrade, and while the win was deserved the scoreline flattered them.
Crvena Zvezda had lost four in a row in this competition before that win and they’ve already struggled against Italian opposition, going down 4-0 at this stadium to Inter.
A home win looks highly likely and backing Milan on the handicaps is one route, but over 2.5 goals at around is the standout bet.
Red Star have shipped nine goals in total across their two away games in Europe, at Inter and Monaco, and they head to a Milan side in fine scoring form. The Rossoneri have scored at least three goals in three of their last four games and in each of their last three Champions League fixtures – including a stunning 3-1 win at Real Madrid.
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A 4-1 win for the Serie A side is the correct score pick as Crvena Zvezda are conceding on average over three goals per-game in Europe but they have been scoring with nine goals in five games and Milan are yet to keep a clean sheet in the league phase.
Milan midfielder Tijjani Reijnders has three goals in the Champions League and has three in his last three games across all competitions. With Christian Pulisic missing for the hosts, back Reijnders to help fire them to a convincing victory.
