Girona FC VS Liverpool
Girona challenge Liverpool for this UEFA Champions League (UCL) round 6 clash at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi in Girona very early Wednesday morning Beijing time. This the best of UEFA's three club competitions. In my expert opinion, Liverpool are a top-3 team in the world at the moment! "Challenge" is all I believe Girona are capable of here.. Indeed, the difference in pure class between the two teams is massive! Liverpool have not lost any of their last 17 matches, winning a stunning 15/17 their last games! They must be sky-high in confidence at the moment. 10 days ago, against the reigning champions of England, Manchester City, a handful of the Liverpool players even looked – at times – a bit "cocky" on the pitch, reflecting huge confidence! With the expected lineups, even taking the mediocre home advantage into account, I see Liverpool as massive favourites here! Odds of around 1.45 on the away win are available on the betting market. I would not be at all surprised if Liverpool were to take a clear win here. Odds of close to 2.20 are available on the Liverpool -1.5 goals handicap. The chance of winning is 53%. Liverpool currently top the English Premier League – the best league in the world- standings with a whopping 35 points to their account! That's eight more than Man City, 4th place – and six points more than Arsenal (3rd place) have taken! Liverpool's score difference is the best in this league – 29:11 to be precise. Girona, on the other hand, performed very well last season – but were also extremely lucky in terms of expected points (xPTS) - taking some 19 more points than they would have deserved.. They, however, lost many key players after last season and their level has dropped significantly – more than the bookies probably realize.. They are currently in 9th place in the Spanish LaLiga with 22 points in their pocket. They have scored 22 goals and have allowed 23 goals. Their number of xPTS is 22.97. In the UCL Liverpool have won all five games! Their score difference is amazingly good – 12:1. Girona have been poor in the UCL, losing four games and taking just one win. This win (2-0) came at home over Slovan Bratislava, the worst team in the UCL. Girona were priced around 1.20-1.25 to win the game. Let's remember that according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Liverpool are the bigger team here – by a massive margin. Indeed, their players have an estimated total market value of 931 million euros. This is, in my expert opinion, more or less correct.. The Girona squad is valued at only around 217 million, which is slightly too high though..
Liverpool have won seven of their last eight matches but had to settle for a draw in their last game.. It was a tough away game against Newcastle, a strong team at home, in front of their very loud fans. Let's not forget that last season Newcastle even played in the UCL group stage, beating for example PSG 4-1 at home in October 2023.. It was a 3-3 draw at St. James' Park - after a high-level and entertaining, balanced clash. Liverpool, however, were not at their best. Some of their players looked slightly fatigued in the 2nd half.. Before this Liverpool were amazingly strong, dominating Manchester City at home, despite winning "only" 2-0 at home. Liverpool generated a whopping 3.87 in expected goals (xG)! Man City managed only 0.74 - mainly because to Liverpool's excellent defence.. Liverpool recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal (8-2) and shots off goal.. Two weeks ago, in the round 5 of the UCL, Liverpool comfortably beat Real Madrid, the reigning Champions of Europe, 2-0 at home. Liverpool generated significantly more in xG – 3.01-1.34 to be precise. Before these wins Liverpool defeated Southampton 3-2 and Aston Villa 2-0, crushed a strong German team, Bayer Leverkusen 4-0, and beat Brighton 2-1! Girona, on the other hand, have not won any of their last four games, losing 3/4.. In their most recent match they were beaten by Real Madrid. Indeed, the "Los Blancos" took a 3-0 away win – despite not even being at their best.. Girona generated very little (0.32) in xG in this match, reflecting their somewhat lame offensive capability.. Before this Girona were a big disappointment - losing to a very small team, UD Logrones, 0-1 after penalties away from home. Girona were, of course, big favourites on the betting market.. However, the hosts had 51% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts! It was a Copa del Rey clash. In round 15 of the LaLiga, on the 1st of this month, Girona took a point from Villarreal on the road. It was a 2-2 draw but the xG numbers were 2.07-0.51 in the hosts' favour.
GOOD LUCK and thanks to my thousands of loyal fans!
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赫罗纳VS利物浦
北京时间周三凌晨,赫罗纳将在赫罗纳市政体育场迎战利物浦,争夺欧冠第6轮比赛。这是欧足联三场俱乐部比赛中最好的一场。在我看来,利物浦现在是世界排名前三的球队!“挑战”是我相信赫罗纳在这里所能做到的一切。的确,两支球队在纯粹级别上的差异是巨大的!利物浦在过去的17场比赛中没有输过一场,在过去的17场比赛中取得了惊人的15胜17负!他们此刻一定信心十足。10天前,在对阵英格兰卫冕冠军曼城的比赛中,一些利物浦球员在球场上甚至有时看起来有点“自大”,这反映了他们巨大的信心!考虑到预期的阵容,即使考虑到平庸的主场优势,我认为利物浦在这里是最大的热门!在*市场上,客场获胜的*约为1.45。如果利物浦在这里大获全胜,我一点也不会感到惊讶。利物浦的胜率为-1.5球,*接近2.20。获胜的几率为53%。利物浦目前在世界上最好的联赛——英超联赛中排名第一,他们的积分高达35分!这比第四名曼城多了8分,比第三名阿森纳多了6分!利物浦的分差是联赛中最好的——准确地说是29:11。另一方面,赫罗纳上赛季表现得非常好,但就预期积分(xPTS)而言,他们也非常幸运——比他们应得的多拿了19分。然而,他们在上个赛季之后失去了许多关键球员,他们的水平大幅下降——比*公司可能意识到的还要多。目前他们在西甲联赛中以22分排名第9。他们进了22球,丢了23球。它们的xPTS数为22.97。在欧冠联赛中,利物浦五场全胜!他们的比分差距大得惊人——12:1。赫罗纳在欧冠联赛中表现不佳,输掉了四场比赛,只取得了一场胜利。这场胜利(2-0)是在主场战胜了布拉迪斯拉发队,这是欧冠联赛中表现最差的球队。赫罗纳赢得比赛的价格在1.20-1.25左右。让我们记住,根据一个著名的和受人尊敬的德国网站,Transfermarkt.com,利物浦是这里更大的球队——以巨大的优势。事实上,他们的球员的总市值估计为9.31亿欧元。在我看来,这或多或少是正确的。赫罗纳队的价值只有2.17亿英镑左右,这有点太高了。
利物浦在最近8场比赛中赢了7场,但最后一场比赛只得平局。这是一场艰难的客场比赛,对手是纽卡斯尔,一支在主场的强队,在他们非常吵闹的球迷面前。让我们不要忘记上赛季纽卡斯尔甚至参加了欧冠小组赛,比如在2023年10月主场4-1击败巴黎圣日耳曼。在一场高水平的、有趣的、平衡的比赛之后,我们在圣詹姆斯公园以3比3战平。然而,利物浦并没有处于最佳状态。他们的一些球员在下半场看起来有些疲惫。在此之前,利物浦非常强大,在主场统治着曼城,尽管在主场只赢了2-0。利物浦创造了惊人的3.87个预期进球(xG)!曼城只有0.74分,主要是因为利物浦出色的防守。利物浦的进球次数、射正次数(8胜2负)和射偏次数更多。两周前,在欧冠联赛第5轮比赛中,利物浦主场2-0轻松击败欧洲卫冕冠军皇家马德里。准确地说,利物浦在3.01-1.34赛季产生了更多的数据。在这些胜利之前,利物浦3-2击败南安普顿,2-0击败阿斯顿维拉,4-0击败德国强队勒沃库森,2-1击败布莱顿!另一方面,赫罗纳在过去的四场比赛中没有赢过一场,输了3/4。在最近的比赛中,他们被皇家马德里队打败了。事实上,“白衣军团”客场3-0获胜,尽管他们甚至没有达到最佳状态。赫罗纳本场比赛的射门率非常低(0.32),这反映出他们的进攻能力有点弱。在此之前,赫罗纳非常令人失望——在客场点球后0-1输给了一支非常小的球队——洛格罗内斯。赫罗纳当然是*市场上的大热门。然而,主队有51%的控球率,并且射门次数更多!这是国王杯的比赛。在本月1日的西甲第15轮比赛中,赫罗纳在客场从比利亚雷亚尔手中取了一分。双方战成2比2平局,但比分为2.07比0.51,这对东道主有利。
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