2024-12-12【欧冠】里尔VS格风暴预测_分析

易红单 2024-12-11 22:44:20 44 上一篇下一篇

LOSC Lille VS Sturm Graz



Sturm Graz challenge Lille in this UEFA Champions League (UCL) round 6 clash at Stade Pierre-Mauroy in Villeneuve d'Ascq very early Thursday morning Beijing time. This the best of UEFA's three club competitions. Lille are a French team, the visitors come from Austria. "Challenge" is all I believe Sturm Graz are capable of here. Indeed, the difference in terms of pure class between the two teams is substantial! Lille have not lost any of their last 14 matches. They must be sky-high in confidence at the moment. My fans and I have won 12/17 last picks betting on the UCL and have a fine opportunity to make even more profit here! However, a match of lower than average quality is on the cards here.. With the expected lineups, even taking the substantial home advantage into account, I see Lille as massive favourites here! Odds of close to 1.50 on the home win are offered by the biggest bookmakers who accept the largest bets from customers.. Moreover, I would not be at all surprised if Lille were to take a clear win here!  Odds of around 2.35 are widely available on the Lille -1.5 goals handicap option. Based on my sophisticated, strongly data-based expert analysis the chance of winning is 49.50%. Let's also remember that according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Lille are the bigger team here – by a clear margin. Indeed, their players have an estimated total market value of about 296 million euros. This is, in my expert opinion, more or less correct.. The Sturm Graz squad is valued at only around 69 million. I want to highlight that this is a very low number by the UCL standards!


Lille have taken 10 points in the UCL and are in 12th place in this league with a total of 36 clubs. They play very well-organized pretty defensive - sometimes even slightly boring - football. Their score difference is 7:5 in the Champions League, after five games.. They should, however, have enough skill and speed to break the pretty leaky Sturm defence – for this level, I mean.. In the French Ligue 1 Lille are in 4th place with a fine 26 points They have scored 24 goals and have allowed 14 goals. However, their number of xG is 26.79.  I want to highlight that the French Ligue 1 is the 5th-best league on the planet – much better than the Austrian Bundesliga! Lille have now won three of their most recent four games. In their last game Lille played very well, defeating Brest 3-1 at home. Let's not forget that Brest are currently in 5th place in the UCL, with 13 points to their account! Even so, Lille recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal and shots off target. The xG numbers were 2.67-0.67 in Lille's favour. Before this Lille had to settle for a 2-2 draw against Montpellier on the road. However, Lille generated much more in xG – 2.66-1.49 to be precise and should have won the game.. Two weeks ago Lille beat Bologna on the road, as pretty clear underdogs on the betting market. They, however, recorded many more goal attempts and shots on target. The xG numbers were 2.34-1.55 in Lille's favour. Bologna were not at their best in this match though. Before this Lille beat Rennes at home – 1-0 was the final score. It was a somewhat defensive and uneventful clash. Indeed, Lille had just two shots on target– which was still one more than Rennes.. The xG numbers were 0.55-0.36 in the hosts' favour. In round 11 Lille were, in all honesty, only mediocre, despite taking a point from Nice though a 2-2 draw away from home. The hosts had more goal attempts and shots off goal. In the UCL round 4 Lille took a point from Juventus at home. However, the Italian visitors, who are, of course ,one of the biggest teams in Italy, generated more in xG - 1.77-0.73 to be precise.. In round 9 of the Ligue 1 Lille were excellent, especially defensively, beating Lens 2-0 on the road. Lens were priced around 2.10 to win by the bookmakers but Lille generated 1.97 in xG – Lens managed 1.08. In round 3 of the Champions League Lille took a surprising 3-1 win over the third-best Spanish La Liga team, Atletico Madrid, in Spain. Lille were priced around 7.00 to win on the betting market. "Atleti" did generate more in xG though. Lille were both effective and a bit lucky in this match. In round 2 of the Champions League Lille defended extremely well, defeating the reigning Champions of Europe, Real Madrid 1-0 in France!  Real, however, played worse than usual in this match.. It was still a big and surely a confidence-boosting win for Lille!


Sturm Graz are, in my opinion, among the worst six teams in terms of pure class in the UCL and cannot match Lille in any area of the game! They are currently in 29th place with only three points to their account. They have lost 4/5 UCL games, scoring a total of just two goals! Their offense lacks speed, creativity, individual skill as well as passing accuracy in key areas/moments near the opponent's goal - for this (very high) level.. The only UCL win they took two weeks ago was at home over Girona, a Spanish team, who are significantly worse than they were last season.. 1-0 was the final score. However, Girona had close to 69% ball possession and generated much more in xG – 1.97-1.26 to be precise. They recorded three big scoring chances – the hosts had just one.. Before this Sturm Graz beat Tirol 3-0 on the road as big favourites on the betting market. However, the final score is very misleading. The hosts had 56.30% ball possession The xG numbers were only 1.12-0.34 in the visitors' favour. On the 30th of last month, in round 15 of the Bundesliga, Sturm Graz faced the rock-bottom team, Altach, on the road but it was a disappointing 1-1 draw.. Sturm Graz did generate more in xG though..




GOOD LUCK and thanks to my thousands of loyal fans!




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里尔VS格拉茨



北京时间周四凌晨,在维伦纽夫的皮埃尔-莫罗伊球场举行的欧冠第6轮比赛中,格拉茨风暴将迎战里尔。这是欧足联三场俱乐部比赛中最好的一场。里尔是一支法国队,客队来自奥地利。我相信“挑战”是斯特姆·格拉茨所能做到的。的确,这两支队伍在纯粹级别上的差异是巨大的!里尔在过去的14场比赛中没有输过一场。他们此刻一定信心十足。我和我的球迷在过去的12/17次欧冠比赛中都赢了,现在有机会在这里赚更多的钱!然而,一场低于平均水平的比赛是有可能的。考虑到预期的阵容,即使考虑到主场的优势,我认为里尔在这里是最大的热门!主场获胜的*接近1.50是由接受客户最大赌注的最大*公司提供的。此外,如果里尔在这里大获全胜,我一点也不会感到惊讶!在里尔-1.5进球障碍选项中,*约为2.35。根据我老练的、基于数据的专家分析,获胜的几率是49.50%。让我们也记住,根据一个著名的和受人尊敬的德国网站,Transfermarkt.com,里尔是更大的球队,以明显的优势。事实上,他们的球员估计总市值约为2.96亿欧元。在我看来,这或多或少是正确的。格拉茨队的身价只有6900万英镑左右。我想强调的是,按照伦敦大学学院的标准,这是一个非常低的数字!


里尔在欧冠联赛中拿到了10分,在共有36家俱乐部的联赛中排名第12。他们踢得很有组织,防守很好,有时甚至有点无聊。五场比赛之后,他们在欧冠的比分差距是7:5。然而,他们应该有足够的技术和速度来打破相当漏洞的风暴防御-对于这个级别,我的意思是…在法甲联赛中,里尔以26分排名第四,他们进了24球,丢了14球。然而,他们的xG数量是26.79。我想强调的是,法甲是这个星球上排名第五的联赛——比奥地利德甲好得多!里尔在最近的四场比赛中赢了三场。上一场里尔踢得很好,在主场3-1击败了布雷斯特。别忘了,布雷斯特目前在欧冠联赛排名第五,积分榜上有13分!即便如此,里尔的进球次数、射正和射偏次数还是更多。xG的数字是2.67比0.67对里尔有利。在此之前,里尔不得不在客场2-2战平蒙彼利埃。然而,里尔在2.66-1.49的比赛中产生了更多的进球,应该赢得比赛。两周前,里尔在客场击败了博洛尼亚,在*市场上,他们显然处于劣势。然而,他们记录了更多的进球尝试和射正。xG的数字是2.34-1.55,里尔队获胜。博洛尼亚在这场比赛中并没有发挥出最佳状态。在此之前,里尔主场1-0击败雷恩是最终比分。这是一场有点防御性的、平静的冲突。事实上,里尔只有2次射正,比雷恩多1次。对东道主有利的xG值为0.55-0.36。在第11轮的比赛中,尽管客场2-2逼平尼斯,但里尔表现平平。东道主有更多的进球尝试和射门。在欧冠联赛第4轮,里尔在主场从尤文图斯那里取了一分。然而,意大利客队,他们当然是意大利最大的球队之一,在xG上产生了更多的进球——准确地说是1.77-0.73。在法甲联赛第9轮,里尔表现出色,尤其是在防守端,客场2-0击败了朗斯。庄家将蓝斯的胜率定在2.10左右,但里尔在xG中赚了1.97,蓝斯赚了1.08。在欧洲冠军联赛第三轮比赛中,里尔出人意料地以3比1的比分战胜了西甲第三强球队马德里竞技。在*市场上,里尔的价格在7英镑左右。“竞技”在xG中确实产生了更多。里尔在这场比赛中既有效又有点幸运。在欧洲冠军联赛的第二轮,里尔防守非常出色,在法国以1比0击败了欧洲卫冕冠军皇家马德里!然而,皇马在这场比赛中表现得比平时差。对里尔来说,这仍然是一场巨大的胜利,肯定会增强信心!


在我看来,就纯粹的水平而言,格拉茨是欧冠联赛最差的六支球队之一,在比赛的任何方面都无法与里尔相提并论!他们目前仅排在第29位

他们有三点理由。他们输掉了4/5场欧冠比赛,总共只进了两个球!他们的进攻缺乏速度,创造力,个人技术以及在对手球门附近的关键区域/时刻的传球准确性-对于这个(非常高的)水平…两周前,他们在欧冠联赛中唯一的一场胜利是在主场战胜了西班牙球队赫罗纳,这支球队的表现比上赛季差了很多。1比0是最后的比分。然而,赫罗纳的控球率接近69%,在xG - 1.97-1.26的比赛中,他们创造了更多的进球。他们创造了三次重要的得分机会,而东道主只有一次。在这场风暴之前,格拉茨在客场3-0击败蒂罗尔,成为*市场上的大热门。然而,最终的分数很容易误导人。主队的控球率为56.30%,而客队的xG值仅为1.12-0.34。上个月30日,德甲联赛第15轮,格拉茨队在客场对阵排名垫底的阿尔塔奇队,但结果是令人失望的1-1平局。storm Graz在xG中确实产生了更多。




祝你好运,并感谢我成千上万的忠实粉丝!


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