[海外]赛事分析预测:AFC伯恩茅斯vs西汉姆联预测

海外来料 2024-12-14 20:14:19 109 上一篇下一篇

本文由海外专家Aaron Rogan@aaron_rogan独家放送:
  • 伯恩茅斯赢得了他们的最后三场比赛,每场比赛至少产生3.2 x G
  • 西汉姆联队在客场输掉了最后四场比赛中的三场
  • 樱桃队在主场赢得了过去五场比赛中的四场,击败了曼城、阿森纳和热刺
  • 东道主在与下半场球队的七场交锋中赢得了五场

西汉姆联转危为安了吗?

上周末2比1战胜狼队的比赛很可能让Julen Lopetegui留在西汉姆联队,但他真的在伦敦体育场扭转了局面吗?铁锤队在之前的四场比赛中赢了两场,但他们的表现仍然令人担忧。

穿越西汉姆联;在最近的六场比赛中,他们;我只赢过一次预期目标之战;3比1输给莱斯特城。上周一,他们在保级六分球中的射门次数比狼队少,而本周——;这次冲突是困难的一个重大升级。

Iraola让樱桃飙升

伯恩茅斯在周一之前赢得了三场比赛;在本周末之前,他们与前四名仅差3分;的固定装置。与他们的对手不同,樱桃队在每一场胜利中都表现出色。

东道主在过去的三场比赛中每场比赛都记录了至少3.2个预期进球,他们在活力球场的最后一场比赛中以1比0战胜托特纳姆热刺队,表现最为出色。马刺队很幸运,没有因为樱桃队的规模而蒙羞;统治地位。

Andoni Iraola已经在英格兰足球中证明了自己,但他在伯恩茅斯队的水平似乎在雷达下飞行。

主持人可以用这个逃跑

伯恩茅斯在过去的五场主场比赛中赢了四场,这场比赛让他们击败了阿森纳、曼城和热刺。他们在那场比赛中唯一的失败;2比1输给布莱顿;他们以1.6比0.9的比分赢得了xG的比赛。事实上,樱桃人的表现优于对手;他们最近10场英超联赛中有9场比赛的基本数据。

西汉姆联在四场比赛中遭遇三场失利后进入这场比赛,主场胜利似乎代价高昂。樱桃队在周末下半场与球队的七场比赛中赢得了五场,而客队在与11号及以上球队的八场比赛中获得了两分。

东道主应该突破西汉姆联队在预期进球数方面排名倒数第四的球队,在26.7×G的比赛中丢了28次球。这应该能让马库斯·塔维尼尔恢复得分状态,尽管这位中场球员在过去的三场比赛中给人留下了深刻的印象,但他还是没有进球。他’;尽管他累计射门10次,投篮4.1次,但只进了一球,所以这位中场球员在周一晚上回到了球门。

预言: AFC伯恩茅斯获胜
AFC伯恩茅斯3-1
马库斯·塔维尼耶随时得分


外文原文如下:

  • Bournemouth have won their last three games, generating at least 3.2 xG in each
  • West Ham have lost three of their last four on the road
  • The Cherries have won four of their last five at home, beating City, Arsenal and Spurs
  • The hosts have won five of seven encounters with bottom half sides

Have West Ham turned a corner?

A 2-1 victory over Wolves last weekend likely kept Julen Lopetegui at West Ham, but has he really turned things around at the London Stadium? The Hammers have won two of their previous four matches, but their performances remain a concern.

Across West Ham’s last six matches, they’ve won the Expected Goals battle on just one occasion – a 3-1 defeat at Leicester. They had fewer shots on target than Wolves in that relegation six-pointer last Monday, while this week’s clash is a significant step up in difficulty.

Iraola has Cherries soaring

Bournemouth have won three games on the spin ahead of Monday’s encounter, putting them just three points shy of the top four ahead of this weekend’s fixtures. Unlike their opponents, the Cherries have also been good value for each of those wins.

The hosts have recorded at least 3.2 Expected Goals in each of their last three matches, with their strongest display coming in their last game at the Vitality in a 1-0 win over Tottenham. Spurs were fortunate not to walk away humiliated given the scale of the Cherries’ dominance.

Andoni Iraola has already proven himself in English football, but the level he has taken this Bournemouth side to appears to be flying under the radar.

Hosts can run away with this one

Bournemouth have won four of their last five home matches, a run which has seen them beat Arsenal, Man City and Spurs. Their only defeat in that run – a 2-1 loss to Brighton – saw them win the xG battle 1.6 to 0.9. In fact, the Cherries have outperformed their opponents’ underlying numbers in nine of their last 10 Premier League outings.

With West Ham heading into this game on the back of three defeats in four trips, a home win looks generously priced. The Cherries have won five of seven meetings with sides who went into the weekend in the bottom half, while the visitors have claimed two points from eight encounters with sides from 11th and above.

The hosts should carve through a West Ham side that is fourth-bottom in terms of Expected Goals Against, conceding 28 times to their 26.7 xG faced. That should allow Marcus Tavernier to return to scoring form, with the midfielder going without a goal despite impressing across their last three games. He’s scored just once despite accumulating 10 shots on target and 4.1 xG, so back the midfielder to net on Monday night.

Predictions:AFC Bournemouth to Win
AFC Bournemouth 3-1
Marcus Tavernier To Score Anytime

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