- 巴塞罗那在过去的15场西甲主场比赛中赢得了12场
- 巴塞罗那赢得了与马德里竞技队最近五次面对面的比赛
- 马德里竞技队本赛季在西甲联赛的八场客场比赛中，有六场只进了一球
巴萨知道如何击败马竞
如果马德里竞技队周六在奥林匹克体育场击败状态不佳的巴塞罗那队，他们将在西甲冠军争夺战中迈出重要一步。但几乎就在一年前，当两队在类似的情况下相撞，巴萨以1比0获胜时，可能会发生这种情况。
迭戈·西蒙尼’；美国队在那场比赛中取得了四连胜，而东道主在过去的六场比赛中输掉了两场。今年，Atleti在所有比赛中已经连续赢得了11场比赛，而Blaugrana在主场输掉了最后两场比赛，但它仍然没有；我觉得挑选客队获胜是不对的。
那就是’；这可能是因为巴塞罗那在过去几年里几乎在面对面的比赛中拥有马德里竞技，赢得了最后五场比赛；其中三场以1比0结束。
看好巴萨获胜的可能性
这样的比分在这里也不会完全令人惊讶，因为尽管11连胜必须带来信心，但马德里竞技仍在努力消灭对手。他们在西甲联赛的最后五场胜利中有四场以一个净胜球的优势获胜，其中两场胜利是在第85分钟后进球的。
他们表现出了标志性的韧性，从对阿拉维斯的一粒进球和对塞维利亚的3-1失利中夺回了胜利，但他们在过去八场联赛中的四场比赛中承认了早期的开局，这一事实也令人担忧。
利用巴萨在最近主场对阵拉斯帕尔马斯和莱加内斯的两场失利后获胜的更好机会，这两场比赛他们都以与对手类似的预期进球数（约2.5）占据主导地位；0.5.
- Barcelona have won 12 of their last 15 home La Liga matches
- Barcelona have won the last five head-to-head meetings with Atletico Madrid
- Atletico Madrid have scored no more than once in six of their eight La Liga away games this season
Barca know how to beat Atletico
Atletico Madrid would make a major move in the La Liga title race if they beat an out-of-sorts Barcelona at the Olympic Stadium on Saturday. But that is what could have happened when the two teams collided in similar circumstances almost exactly a year ago and Barca prevailed 1-0.
Diego Simeone’s side went into that game riding a four-game winning streak while the hosts had lost two of their last six. This year, Atleti have won 11 straight games in all competitions and the Blaugrana have lost their last two at home, but it still doesn’t feel right to pick the visitors to win.
That’s probably because Barcelona have pretty much owned Atleti in head-to-head meetings over the past couple of years, winning the last five meetings – three of which finished 1-0.
Take the better odds about a Barca win
That sort of scoreline would not be a total surprise here either because, for all the confidence that an 11-match winning streak must bring, Atleti are still struggling to kill off opponents. Four of their last five La Liga wins have been secured by one-goal margins and two of them with winners scored after the 85th minute.
They showed trademark resilience in storming back to win from a goal down against Alaves and 3-1 down against Sevilla, but the fact that they have conceded early openers in four of their last eight league games would be a concern too.
Take advantage of the better odds about a Barca win after their two recent home upsets against Las Palmas and Leganes, both of which they dominated with similar expected goals figures of around 2.5 to their opponents’ 0.5.
