- 利物浦在周末对阵热刺的比赛中攻入六球。
- 莱斯特城在过去七场客场比赛中有四场至少丢了四个球。
- 狐狸队每场丢6.6个角球。
狐狸不太可能给利物浦带来麻烦
利物浦在周末以6比3战胜托特纳姆热刺队后,在节礼日比赛中领先4分,他们应该能够在周四晚些时候轻松战胜苦苦挣扎的莱斯特城队。
在新任主教练范尼斯特鲁伊的带领下,狐狸队获得了短暂的提升,但在背靠背的惨败和周六主场3比0输给对手狼队的比赛后,他们进入了这场比赛,这是一个非常令人失望的结果,他们可能会在安费尔德再次遭遇惨败。
寻找价值
不出所料,在撰写本文时,利物浦在这里只有1/11的成绩,是最受欢迎的球队。障碍市场是一种选择,但并非如此;利物浦3号线看起来也不是一个好角度,所以我专注于球队的进球,超过3.5个利物浦进球可能是支持利物浦的最佳方式。
Arne Slot的球队不一定是得分很高的人,但他们在周末确实打了托特纳姆热刺队六场比赛,最近在对阵纽卡斯尔和南安普顿的比赛中打进了三球,他们在节礼日面临着不稳定的防守。
莱斯特城在所有比赛的最后七场客场比赛中,有四场至少丢了四个球,本赛季在联赛的八场客场比赛中共丢了联赛最高的22个球(平均每场2.75个球),因此利物浦可能会在安菲尔德暴动。
外部评分选项
这是一场你觉得利物浦可以以任何优势获胜的比赛,我选择以5比0战胜莱斯特城。
客队在旅途中通常很容易进球,但他们在最近三次旅行中有两次都是空白的,他们也无法在周日的国王权力球场对阵狼队的比赛中找到出路,而红军在主场的八场比赛中只被突破了五次,他们在所有比赛中在主场的最后五场比赛中都保持了四场不失球。
利物浦在过去的10场主场比赛中每场都至少进了两球,在那场比赛中他们的防守要好得多,所以他们可以在这条漏洞百出的狐狸后防线上打出五星级的表现。
穆罕默德·萨拉赫是任何时候进球的明显竞争者,但由于利物浦预计会获得一些进球,因此值得考虑外部选择,而且我会以高价押注维吉尔·范·迪克。这位高大的荷兰人总是受到定位球的威胁,莱斯特城在17场英超比赛中已经送出了112个角球,只有三支球队丢了更多的球,所以范戴克应该有一些机会前进。
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预言:
利物浦队进球数超过3.5个
利物浦5-0
维吉尔·范·迪克随时得分
外文原文如下:
- Liverpool scored six goals against Spurs at the weekend.
- Leicester have conceded at least four goals in four of their last seven away games.
- The Foxes concede 6.6 corners per-game.
Foxes unlikely to trouble Liverpool
Liverpool hold a four-point lead going into the Boxing Day fixtures after an impressive 6-3 win at Tottenham over the weekend, and they should be able to overcome struggling Leicester comfortably in the late kick off on Thursday.
The Foxes enjoyed a brief boost under new boss Ruud van Nistelrooy but come into this game after back-to-back heavy defeats and Saturday’s 3-0 home loss to drop rivals Wolves was a hugely disappointing result, and they could be in line for another heavy loss at Anfeld.
Finding the value
Unsurprisingly, Liverpool are massive favourites here at just 1/11 at the time of writing. The handicap markets are one option but that doesn’t look a great angle either with Liverpool -3 the standard line, so instead I’ve focused on team goals and over 3.5 Liverpool goals could be the best way to back the Reds here.
Arne Slot’s men haven’t necessarily been heavy scorers but they did hit Tottenham for six at the weekend and have scored three against Newcastle and Southampton fairly recently, and they are facing a shaky defence on Boxing Day.
Leicester have conceded at least four goals in four of their last seven away games in all competitions and have shipped a league-high 22 goals in eight away games this season in the league (an average of 2.75 goals per-game), so Liverpool could run riot at Anfield.
Outside scoring options
This is one of those games where you feel Liverpool could win by any margin and I’m opting for a 5-0 success against Leicester.
The visitors are generally good for a goal on their travels but they have drawn blanks in two of their last three trips and they were also unable to find a way through against Wolves at the King Power on Sunday, while the Reds have only been breached five times in eight games at home and they’ve managed four clean sheets in their last five at home across all competitions.
Liverpool have scored at least twice in each of their last 10 home games and they’ve faced far better defences during that run, so they could put on a five-star display against this porous Foxes backline.
Mohamed Salah is the obvious contender for an anytime goal but with Liverpool expected to grab a few it is worth looking at outside options and at a big price I’m taking a punt on Virgil van Dijk. The towering Dutchman is always a threat from set pieces and Leicester have shipped 112 corners in 17 Premier League games, only three teams have conceded more, so Van Dijk should have a few chances to get forward.
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Predictions:Liverpool Over 3.5 Team Goals
Liverpool 5-0
Virgil van Dijk To Score Anytime