2025-01-06【希腊超】帕纳托利克斯VS奥林匹亚预测_分析

易红单 2025-01-06 19:19:05 54 上一篇下一篇

Panaitolikos Agrinio VS Olympiakos Piraeus



Panetolikos host Olympiakos Piraeus in this Greek Super League round 17 battle at Panetolikos Stadium in Agrinio very early Tuesday morning Beijing time. The level of this league is high by European standards but it is still not nearly as good as that of the top-7 leagues. Football enthusiasts and serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of better than average quality by this league's standards here. Most importantly, we have yet another very promising betting opportunity! We have won 8/10 last picks in this league! Panetolikos finished only in 12th place (after regular season) in the 2023-2024 season. Yes, they took only a somewhat modest 20 points. However, they have improved more than I expected in my in-depth preseason analysis.. I have, as a result, significantly raised their power ranking! The sophisticated power ranking reflects the teams' pure class with the best possible starting eleven – excluding "special" factors – such as motivation and fatigue - caused by a tough schedule.. The bookies have seemingly not fully realized how much they have improved this season and we will, of course, take advantage of this!


Yes, Olympiakos are one of the big four teams in Greece. They finished in 3rd place after both the (regular) season 2023-2024 -  and in the Championship Group where six teams played. The eventual winners, PAOK, took six more points. At the moment they are in 2nd place with 34 points and have a score difference of 28:11. However, their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) per game is 15.33.  Sure, their defence is solid but can sometimes be surprisingly vulnerable to fast counter attacks.  This is something Panetolikos are, in fact, very good at! Panetolikos currently occupy the 6th place with a pretty good 23 points in their pocket. They have scored only 15 goals and do lack individual skill and creativity in offense compared to the top-teams.. However, their excellent coach, however, wants them to play well-organized, rather defensive football. Panetolikos have conceded only 11 goals, just one more than the current leaders, Panathinaikos! The hosts have scored only 15 goals but their number of expected goals (xG) is higher than 15, 18.35 to be precise. The goal expectancy here is smaller than the bookmakers estimate. Indeed, the probability of under 2.5 total goals to be scored is 61.50%. Yes, of course the visitors are the much better team here by pure class and have an edge in all areas of the game but the current odds of around 1.35 on the away win are still clearly too low!  We will take the Panetolikos +1.5 goals handicap option with a very good chance of winning. I want to emphasize that Olympiakos have, after all, won only four of their last 10 away games - and just 1/10 by a margin of more than one goal! Moreover, Panetolikos have not lost a single game by a margin of more than one goal in this league this season!


I want to highlight that Olympiakos have not been quite at their best recently. Indeed, they have won just two of their most recent five matches. In their last game they beat Lamia, the rock-bottom team, 1-0 at home. Lamia are the rock-bottom team, and were priced around 1.10-1.13 to win by the bookmakers. Olympiakos recorded just two more shots on goal - 5-3 to be precise. I was not impressed with Olympiakos' offense – many of their attacks were too slow and predictable. Before this they were big favourites to beat Athens Kallithea -  currently in 13th/14 place -  on the road but it was a 1-1 draw. The visitors managed three shots on goal – the hosts recorded one. On the 12th of December Olympiakos played a 1-1 draw with Twente at home in a UEFA Europa League league phase game. The hosts were priced around 1.70 to win but did not meet the betting market's - or their fans' expectations. Indeed, Olympiakos were only slightly the better team on the pitch.. The xG numbers were 1.43-1.22. Panetolikos faced Panserraikos away from home in their last match as underdogs on the betting market. No goals were scored in this slightly boring game.. Panetolikos recorded more shots on goal as well as corner kicks. The hosts had two more goal attempts. Before this Panetolikos faced PAOK, the reigning champions, at home as big underdogs. Yes, they lost 0-1 but pushed the visitors relatively well.. In round 14 Panetolikos beat Lamia on the road 1-0. The visitors were priced around 3.70 which was definitely too high.. Panetolikos' A. Majdevac scored the only goal in the 15th minute, after which the visitors mainly concentrated on defending in an organized way - shutting down the hosts' offense! However, Lamia, in the end, recorded more goal attempts, 11-6 to be precise.



GOOD LUCK and thanks to all my fans!



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阿格利尼奥VS比雷埃夫斯奥林匹亚科斯



北京时间周二凌晨,希腊超级联赛第17轮将在阿格里尼奥的帕内托利科斯球场进行,届时帕内托利科斯将迎战奥林匹亚科斯比雷埃夫斯。按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的水平是很高的,但它仍然不如前7强联赛那么好。按照联赛的标准,足球爱好者和认真的、渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待一场高于平均水平的比赛。最重要的是,我们还有另一个非常有前途的赌博机会!我们在这个联盟的最后10次选秀中赢了8次!帕内托利科斯在2023-2024赛季仅排在第12位(常规赛之后)。是的,他们只拿了微不足道的20分。然而,他们的进步比我在季前赛的深入分析中预期的要多。结果,我大大提高了他们的权力排名!复杂的实力排名反映了球队的纯粹等级,包括最好的11名首发球员,排除了“特殊”因素,如由艰苦的赛程引起的动力和疲劳。*公司似乎还没有完全意识到他们本赛季的进步有多大,我们当然会利用这一点!


是的,奥林匹亚科斯是希腊四大球队之一。他们在2023-2024(常规)赛季和六支球队参加的冠军小组中都获得了第三名。最终的胜利者PAOK又获得了6分。目前他们以34分排名第二,分差为28:11。然而,他们每场比赛的预期进球数(xGA)是15.33。当然,他们的防守是坚实的,但有时会令人惊讶地容易受到快速反击。事实上,这是Panetolikos非常擅长的!帕内托利科斯目前以23分的好成绩排在第六位。与顶级球队相比,他们只进了15个球,在进攻端确实缺乏个人技术和创造力。然而,他们优秀的教练希望他们踢有组织的,而不是防守的足球。帕内托利科斯只丢了11个球,只比目前的领头羊帕纳辛奈科斯多一个!东道主只进了15个球,但他们的预期进球数(xG)高于15个,准确地说是18.35个。这里的预期进球比*公司估计的要小。事实上,总进球数少于2.5个的概率是61.50%。是的,客队当然是纯粹级别上的强队,在比赛的各个方面都有优势,但目前客场获胜的*约为1.35,显然还是太低了!我们将采取Panetolikos +1.5个进球障碍的选择,这是一个非常好的获胜机会。我想强调的是,毕竟奥林匹亚科斯在过去的10场客场比赛中只赢了4场,而且只赢了1/10多球!此外,帕内托利科斯本赛季在联赛中没有输过一场超过一球的比赛!


我想强调的是,奥林匹亚科斯最近并没有处于最佳状态。事实上,他们在最近的五场比赛中只赢了两场。在上一场比赛中,他们在主场以1比0击败了排名垫底的拉米亚队。拉米亚队的*最低,*公司给出的*在1.10-1.13之间。奥林匹亚科斯只射门两次,准确地说是5比3。我对奥林匹亚科斯的进攻没有留下深刻的印象——他们的许多进攻都太慢,太容易预测。在此之前,他们是客场击败雅典卡利西亚(目前排名第13 /14)的大热门,但最终以1比1战平。客队射门三次,主队射门一次。12月12日,奥林匹亚科斯主场1-1战平特温特,这是欧联杯联赛阶段的比赛。东道主的*在1.70左右,但没有达到*市场的预期,也没有达到球迷的预期。事实上,奥林匹亚科斯在球场上只是稍微好一点。xG值为1.43 ~ 1.22。在上一场比赛中,帕内托利科斯在客场面对潘塞雷科斯,他们在*市场上处于劣势。在这场有点无聊的比赛中没有进球。帕内托利科斯的射门和角球次数更多。主队又有两次射门机会。在此之前,Panetolikos在主场面对卫冕冠军PAOK。是的,他们0-1输了,但对客队的打击相对较好。在第14轮比赛中,帕内托利科斯客场1-0击败了拉米亚。游客的价格在3.7左右,这肯定太高了。Panetolikos的A. Majdevac在第15分钟打进了唯一的进球,之后客队主要集中在有组织的防守上——封锁了主队的进攻!然而,妖妇,

最后,更准确地说,是11比6。



祝你好运,感谢我所有的粉丝!

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