Nottingham, the Premier League's sensational team this season, will try to extend their winning streak to six matches today in the Midlands derby against Wolves.
Nuno Espirito Santo's team, who took over Nottingham from the relegation zone a little over a year ago, has already played an incredibly good season. A five-game winning streak has lifted Nottingham to third in the Premier League table. In the xG-data they would only be 10th, and it is partly worrying, partly encouraging. They are not brilliant in creating chances, but superb in defending, and most importantly, in winning football matches!
Although Nottingham have collected slightly more points than they deserve, the team's defense is currently among the elite of the Premier League. Nottingham has conceded the second-fewest goals in the series (19 in as many matches). Only Arsenal's defense has held up better (18 goals).
Also measured by expectations, Nottingham's defense has been the third most effective in the Premier League (xGA 23 goals). The team's key player in attack has been New Zealand international Chris Wood, who has already scored 11 league goals.
Wolves also go into tonight's match in good spirits. The club changed coaches before Christmas and Portuguese Vitor Pereira, who came into the team, has not yet experienced a defeat for Wolves. They have victories over Leicester and Manchester United and a draw against Tottenham.
Wolves have been a bit lucky in their last matches, but equally lucky successes increase the team's self-confidence. However, Nottingham should be considered the better team at the moment.
The results have improved, but the xG does not show much progress for Wolves:
Wolves have a few challenges in the lineup department. The team was already missing several potential starters and now the team's top scorer Matheus Cunha is suspended. This will inevitably eat into the expected performance of the team with a fairly weak attack and may also change the game tactics in a more defensive direction.
In terms of betting, it is worth noting that the team has scored no less than 20 goals in its matches so far. So there could be a hidden potential for low goals in their games, especially now under the new coach.
There are two somewhat interesting cases in the Wolves–Nottingham match in the betting market – and for both of them, it seems that the best ideas are Wolves not score and Forest to win, and I combine them with a greedy but value choice of Forest -1.5.
Good luck mates, we need a bit of that with this one!
该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:
诺丁汉，本赛季英超最轰动的球队，将在今天对阵狼队的米德兰德比中试图将他们的连胜纪录延长到六场。
努诺·圣埃斯皮里图的球队，一年多前从降级区接管了诺丁汉，已经打出了一个令人难以置信的好赛季。五连胜让诺丁汉升至英超积分榜第三。在x - g数据中，他们只排在第10位，这部分令人担忧，部分令人鼓舞。他们在创造机会方面并不出色，但在防守方面却非常出色，最重要的是，在赢得足球比赛方面！
虽然诺丁汉的得分略高于他们应得的水平，但球队的防守目前在英超联赛中名列前茅。诺丁汉在这个系列赛中丢了第二少的球（19场）。只有阿森纳的防守做得更好（18球）。
同样以预期来衡量，诺丁汉的防守在英超联赛中排名第三（xGA 23球）。球队进攻端的核心球员是新西兰国脚克里斯·伍德（Chris Wood），他已经打进了11个联赛进球。
狼队在今晚的比赛中也是精神饱满的。球队在圣诞节前换了教练，葡萄牙人佩雷拉来到球队，他还没有经历过狼队的失败。他们战胜了莱斯特城和曼联，战平了热刺。
狼队在上几场比赛中运气不错，但同样幸运的胜利也增强了球队的自信心。然而，目前诺丁汉应该被认为是更好的球队。
结果有所改善，但是狼队的xG并没有多大的进步：
狼队在阵容方面有一些挑战。球队已经失去了几名潜在的首发球员，现在球队的头号射手库尼亚被禁赛。这将不可避免地影响球队的预期表现，因为他们的进攻相当薄弱，也可能改变比赛战术，使其更倾向于防守。
在*方面，值得注意的是，到目前为止，球队在比赛中打进了不少于20个进球。所以他们在比赛中可能会有低进球的潜在隐患，尤其是在新教练的带领下。
在赌博市场上，狼队和诺丁汉队的比赛中有两个比较有趣的例子——对于这两个例子来说，似乎最好的想法是狼队不进球，森林队获胜，我把它们与森林队-1.5的贪婪但有价值的选择结合起来。
祝你好运，朋友们，我们需要一点这样的！
