Benfica vs Braga
Benfica and Braga lock horns in this Portuguese League Cup semi-final battle at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa in Leiria (neural location) early Thursday morning Beijing time. Both teams play in the Liga Portugal. This league is of very good quality by European standards – but still clearly worse than the top-5 leagues.. Football fans and serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of great quality by this competition's standards here. Most importantly, we have yet another lucrative betting opportunity! In the Liga Portugal we have won six consecutive picks. In the Portuguese League Cup we have won 8/11 last picks! Benfica are currently in 3rd place in the Liga Portugal standings. They have taken a total of 38 fine points! There is, in my sophisticated power ranking, not much between Sporting CP, Porto and Benfica – the top-3 teams. This rating/ranking reflects the teams' pure class with the best possible starting eleven – excluding "special" factors – such as motivation and fatigue - caused by a tough schedule.. Benfica have scored a total of 38 goals in 17 Liga Portugal games but their number of expected goals (xG) per game is somewhat smaller though.. They have a lot of individual skill in offense - and a solid offensive structure but also have several offensive variations/strategies in-play. The Benfica defence is solid – without any obvious weaknesses. Indeed, they have conceded only 11 goals in Liga Portugal. Yes, Braga are a good team but still far from the level of Benfica in terms of pure class! They are in 4th place with a decent 31 points to their account. Their score difference is 30:19. However, their number of xG per game is "only " 1.45 and expected goal allowed (xGA) per match is 1.22. They simply cannot match Benfica in any area of the game!
Let's also not forget that according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Benfica are the bigger team here – by a very big margin! Indeed, their players have an estimated total market value of close to 350 million euros! This is, in my expert opinion, more or less correct.. The Braga squad, on the other hand, is valued at approximately 130 million, which is marginally too high.. Benfica undoubtedly deserve to be even bigger favourites than the bookies believe here! We will place a bet on them to eliminate Benfica in the 90 minutes of play. Both teams' head coaches doing some squad rotating would not be a surprise at all here but Benfica have a very deep squad, full of promising talented players – eager to prove their skills to the coach! Yes, Braga beat Benfica 2-1 on the road only four days ago. I strongly believe that this win affects the odds too much here.. Yes, Braga did play better than expected – whereas Benfica were not at their best – but the visitors still definitely did not deserve the three points! Indeed, Benfica had 59.30% ball possession and also recorded hugely more goal attempts – 21-6. They also had many more shots on goal, shots off target and corner kicks – 8-2. The xG numbers were 1.89-0.55. Before this Braga were priced around 1.50 to beat Casa Pia at home but lost -1-2 after a disappointing performance! Braga recorded two more shots on goal but Casa Pia recorded one more big scoring chance – 2-1. The xG numbers were very balanced – 1.34-1.34 to be precise. In round 16 Benfica, on the other hand, lost to Sporting CP 0-1 away from home as underdogs on the betting market. Benfica had 55.20% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts, shots off goal (9-3) and corner kicks – 8-4. The hosts had more shots on target – both teams had two big scoring chances. Before these two defeats Benfica were unbeaten in nine consecutive matches, winning 7/9! In round 15 Benfica swept past Estoril at home – 3-0 was the final score. No, their xG was not (quite) 3.00 but the visitors still had no real chance to take even a point from this game.. Before this Benfica were very strong – especially defensively. Indeed, they beat Nacional in the island of Madeira 2-0. The hosts generated only a very low 0.17 in xG. Benfica recorded many more shots on goal (7-1), goal attempts (16-5), shots off target and big scoring chances – 4-0!
GOOD LUCK and thanks to all my thousands of fans!
该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:
本菲卡vs布拉加
北京时间周四凌晨，本菲卡和布拉加将在葡萄牙联赛杯半决赛的主场Estádio进行较量。两支球队都参加了葡萄牙联赛。按照欧洲的标准来看，这个联赛的质量非常好，但显然比五大联赛还要差。足球迷和认真的，渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待一场高质量的比赛，以本届比赛的标准来看。最重要的是，我们还有另一个赚钱的赌博机会！在葡萄牙联赛中，我们已经连续六次获得冠军。在葡萄牙联赛杯上，我们8胜11负！本菲卡目前在葡萄牙联赛排名第三。他们一共被扣了38分！在我复杂的实力排名中，排名前三的体育、波尔图和本菲卡之间的差距并不大。这个评级/排名反映了球队的纯粹等级，包括最好的11名首发球员，排除了“特殊”因素，比如由艰苦的赛程引起的动力和疲劳。本菲卡在17场葡萄牙联赛中总共打进38球，但是他们的场均预期进球数（xG）要少一些。他们在进攻方面有很多个人技术，有一个坚实的进攻结构，但在比赛中也有一些进攻变化/策略。本菲卡的防守很稳固，没有任何明显的弱点。事实上，他们在葡萄牙联赛中只丢了11个球。是的，布拉加是一支优秀的球队，但就纯粹的水平而言，与本菲卡还有很大的差距！他们以31分的成绩排在第四位。他们的比分差是30:19。然而，他们的场均进球数“仅”为1.45，每场比赛的预期进球（xGA）为1.22。他们在比赛的任何领域都无法与本菲卡匹敌！
我们也不要忘记，根据著名的德国网站Transfermarkt.com，本菲卡在这里是一支更大的球队——以非常大的优势！事实上，他们的球员估计总市值接近3.5亿欧元！在我看来，这或多或少是正确的。另一方面，布拉加队的估值约为1.3亿欧元，略高一些。毫无疑问，本菲卡应该比这里的*公司认为的更受欢迎！我们打赌他们会在90分钟的比赛中淘汰本菲卡。两支球队的主教练都在轮换阵容，这一点都不奇怪，但本菲卡的阵容很有深度，充满了有前途的天才球员——他们渴望向教练证明自己的技能！是的，四天前布拉加客场2-1击败了本菲卡。我坚信这场胜利对*的影响太大了。是的，布拉加确实发挥得比预期的好，而本菲卡却没有发挥到最佳状态，但客队仍然不应该得到三分！事实上，本菲卡队有59.30%的控球率，并且有更多的射门次数——21比6。他们也有更多的射正、射偏和角球——8比2。xG值为1.89 ~ 0.55。在此之前，布拉加在主场击败卡萨皮亚的价格在1.50左右，但在令人失望的表现后以1-2输掉了比赛！布拉加又有两次射门，但卡萨皮亚又获得了一次重要的进球机会——2-1。xG数值非常平衡——准确地说是1.34-1.34。另一方面，本菲卡在第16轮客场0-1不敌葡萄牙体育，在*市场上处于劣势。本菲卡有55.20%的控球率，并且有更多的射门次数、射偏（9-3）和角球（8-4）。主队有更多的射门机会，两队都有两次重要的得分机会。在这两场失利之前，本菲卡已经连续9场保持不败，7胜9负！在第15轮比赛中，本菲卡在主场以3:0大胜埃斯托里尔。不，他们的xG不是3.00，但客队仍然没有真正的机会从这场比赛中拿走一分。在此之前，本菲卡非常强大，尤其是在防守端。事实上，他们在马德拉岛以2:0击败了国家队。主机在xG中仅生成非常低的0.17。本菲卡有更多的射正（7胜1负）、射门次数（16胜5负）、射偏和进球机会——4比0！
祝你好运，并感谢我所有的粉丝！
