2025-01-15【德甲】勒沃库森VS美因茨预测_分析

易红单 2025-01-14 18:25:03 105 上一篇下一篇

Bayer Leverkusen is set to host Mainz 05 at the BayArena on Tuesday, January 14, 2025, at 21:30.

Team Form and Standings:

Bayer Leverkusen: Under the management of Xabi Alonso, Leverkusen has climbed to second place in the Bundesliga standings, amassing 35 points from 16 matches with a record of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss, and a goal difference of 40-23. They trail league leaders Bayern Munich by four points. Leverkusen is on a six-match winning streak, with their latest victory being a 3-2 triumph over Borussia Dortmund at Signal Iduna Park. In that match, early goals from Nathan Tella and Patrik Schick set the pace, with Schick adding another to secure the win. The expected goals (xG) for the match were rather even, and as you can see below not the all wins have been fully fair ones, there is some luck, but also the skill the win the games.


Mainz 05: Coached by Bo Henriksen, Mainz occupies the fifth position in the Bundesliga, collecting 28 points from 16 matches with a record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, and a goal difference of 30-20. They are on a three-match winning streak, with their most recent victory being a 2-0 win against Bochum at the Mewa Arena. Both goals were scored by Jonathan Burkardt, who has now tallied 12 goals in 15 appearances this season.

Look at their results and performances from the last 7 games! Only the win over Frankfurt can be classified as lucky, but on the other hand the loss away at Wolfsburg was a crazy one.


Absences and Injuries:

Bayer Leverkusen:

Amine Adli: The forward is sidelined due to a calf injury and is expected to return in February.

Victor Boniface: The striker has been out with a hamstring injury since November but is nearing a return to fitness, potentially rejoining the squad next week.

Jeanuel Belocian: The defender is recovering from an ankle injury and remains unavailable for selection.

Mainz 05:

Nadiem Amiri: The midfielder is suspended for this match due to a red card received in the previous game.

Paul Nebel: The winger is out with a calf injury and is expected to be sidelined until at least February.

Gabriel Vidović: The forward is unavailable due to injury concerns.

Key Players to Watch:

Bayer Leverkusen:

Patrik Schick: The Czech striker has been in fine form, notably scoring twice in the recent victory over Dortmund. His clinical finishing makes him a significant threat to any defense.

Nathan Tella: The winger's pace and creativity were on display as he opened the scoring against Dortmund, highlighting his importance in Leverkusen's attacking setup.

Mainz 05:

Jonathan Burkardt: With 12 goals in 15 matches, Burkardt is Mainz's leading scorer this season. His recent brace against Bochum underscores his goal-scoring prowess and ability to influence the game's outcome.

Match Outlook:

Leverkusen's impressive winning streak and home advantage position them as favorites for this encounter. However, Mainz's recent form and solid defensive record suggest they will provide stiff competition. The match is expected to be a closely contested affair, and Mainz will show that even if they do not sound like a top team they are strong. They are 5th both in actual table as well as in the xG-based one.

Good luck!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

勒沃库森将于2025年1月14日星期二21:30在BayArena主场迎战美因茨05队。

队伍形式及排名:

△勒沃库森:在阿隆索的执教下,勒沃库森以10胜5平1负的战绩,16场比赛积35分,净胜球40胜23负,跃居德甲积分榜第二位。他们落后联赛领头羊拜仁慕尼黑4分。勒沃库森已经取得了六连胜,他们最近的一场胜利是在信号伊杜纳公园球场3-2战胜多特蒙德。在那场比赛中,内森·特拉和帕特里克·希克的进球奠定了比赛的节奏,其中希克又打进一球确保了胜利。比赛的预期目标(xG)是相当均匀的,正如你在下图中看到的,并不是所有的胜利都是完全公平的,有一些运气,但也有技巧赢得比赛。


美因茨05:博·亨里克森执教的美因茨目前排名德甲第五,16场比赛积28分,战绩为8胜4平4负,净胜球30比20。他们已经取得了三连胜,最近的一场胜利是在梅瓦球场2-0战胜波鸿。这两个进球都是由乔纳森·伯卡德打进的,他本赛季出场15次打进12球。

看看他们最近7场比赛的成绩和表现!只有战胜法兰克福才算幸运,但另一方面,客场输给沃尔夫斯堡是一场疯狂的比赛。


缺勤和受伤:

勒沃库森:

阿明·阿德利:这名前锋由于小腿受伤而缺阵,预计将在二月份复出。

博尼法斯:这名前锋自去年11月以来一直因腿筋受伤缺阵,但现在已经接近恢复状态,可能会在下周重新加入球队。

让纽埃尔·贝洛西安:这名后卫正在从脚踝伤势中恢复,仍然无法入选。

美因茨05:

纳迪姆·阿米里:这名中场球员由于在上一场比赛中吃到红牌而被禁赛。

保罗·内贝尔:这名边锋因小腿受伤缺阵,预计至少要缺阵到明年2月。

维多维奇:这名前锋由于伤病问题无法上场。

值得关注的主要参与者:

勒沃库森:

帕特里克·希克:捷克前锋状态很好,特别是在最近战胜多特蒙德的比赛中梅开二度。他的精准射门使他对任何防守都构成了巨大的威胁。

内森·特拉:这名边锋的速度和创造力在对阵多特蒙德的比赛中得到了充分的体现,他在勒沃库森进攻体系中发挥了重要作用。

美因茨05:

乔纳森·伯卡德:伯卡德在15场比赛中打进12球,是本赛季美因茨的头号射手。他最近对波鸿的进球凸显了他的进球能力和影响比赛结果的能力。

匹配的前景:

勒沃库森令人印象深刻的连胜和主场优势使他们成为这场比赛的热门。然而,美因茨最近的状态和稳固的防守记录表明,他们将带来激烈的竞争。这场比赛预计将是一场势均力敌的比赛,美因茨将表明,即使他们听起来不像一支顶级球队,他们也很强大。他们在实际表格和基于xg的表格中都排名第五。

好运!

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