2025-01-18【德甲】法兰克福VS多特蒙德预测_分析

易红单 2025-01-17 23:34:23 32 上一篇下一篇

Eintracht Frankfurt VS Borussia Dortmund



Eintracht Frankfurt welcome Dortmund for this German Bundesliga round 18 battle at Deutsche Bank Park early Saturday morning Beijing time. This is the 3rd-best league on the planet, behind the English Premier League and the Spanish La Liga, of course. Football enthusiasts and serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect an entertaining, probably pretty open match of relatively high quality by this league's standards here! Most importantly, we have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity! Yes, Dortmund qualified all the way for the UEFA Champions League (UCL) final last season but were beaten by Real Madrid. On their way to the final they were very lucky to eliminate Atletico Madrid and PSG. Indeed, both opponents generated significantly more in xG (in the two legs combined)  than Dortmund. In the Bundesliga, however, they were unarguably disappointing.  Indeed, they finished only in 5th place with 63 points but their number of xPTS was much smaller - 55.43.. Dortmund are currently only in 10th place with a very disappointing 25 points in their pocket. Dortmund have netted the ball only 32 times and have conceded 29 goals. However, their number of expected goals (xG) is lower - 25.89. I want to emphasize that Frankfurt have been much better than last season and are in 3rd place with a strong 33 points to their account. They have scored a fine 40 goals – just one goal less than the reigning champions, Bayer Leverkusen. The Frankfurt defence is not rock-solid but has no obvious weaknesses. Indeed, they have conceded 24 goals. At home, in front of their very loud fans, Frankfurt have lost just one game in the Bundesliga – scoring an impressive total of 23 goals. Dortmund have been poor on the road, winning just 1/8 Bundesliga matches! Yes, Dortmund's injury crisis has eased now. They will, however, still be without Niklas Sule. K. Adeyemi is questionable due to an unspecified illness. As for the hosts,  A. Amenda is out. At home Frankfurt deserve to be solid favourites here and we will take the hosts +0.5 handicap option with confidence! Most of the biggest bookies see Dortmund as marginal favourites here - failing to understand how much their level has dropped from last season. I also do not trust their inexperienced head coach, Nuri Şahin, 36 at all - either in terms of tactical skills - or as a leader..


Let's remember that Dortmund have won only one of their last seven matches.. This win came in their last game, 3-1 over Wolfsburg on the road. Dortmund were priced around 2.15 to win by the bookmakers! However, the final score is very misleading. Indeed, the hosts recorded more goal attempts (14-12) as well as shots on target. Dortmund did have more shots off target though. In their last game Dortmund were embarrassing – losing to a lowly opponent, Holstein Kiel, 2-4 on the road as big favourites on the betting market. The visitors generated 1.12 in xG – the Kiel managed 1.87 and also had three more shots on goal and four more big scoring chances! The Dortmund defence was even somewhat amateurish in this match. In round 16 Dortmund were not terrible but lost to Leverkusen 2-3 at home. They, however, looked very shaky defensively.. The visitors did generate more in xG and deserved the three points. Before beating Wolfsburg, Dortmund were disappointing against Hoffenheim at home. They were priced around 1.35 to win but it was a 1-1 draw but the visitors recorded many more goal attempts (12-6) and shots off target - 9-3. Rather surprisingly, Dortmund had just one shot on goal! Moreover, the visitors generated much more in xG than Dortmund – 1.23-0.61 to be precise. On the 11th of December 2024, in round 6 of the UCL, Dortmund were not terrible but lost to Barcelona 2-3 at home, The Spanish visitors had more goal attempts and six more shots on goal. Dortmund, however, did generate a little more in xG.. In round 13 of the Bundesliga Dortmund faced Borussia Mönchengladbach on the road and it was a 1-1 draw. Dortmund were priced around 2.00 to win by the bookies. Dortmund did generate a little more in xG but were – taking the odds into account - slightly disappointing as a whole.. Frankfurt had a bad – but also somewhat unlucky - streak in December but have not won two games in a row. In their most recent match they were very strong – crushing Freiburg 4-1 at home. Frankfurt recorded an impressive 23 goal attempts – allowing the visitors only seven. The hosts also had many more big scoring chances (4-1), shots on goal and shots off target – 6-1. The xG numbers were 2.34-0.52. Before this Frankfurt were not at their best and had to struggle hard to beat St. Pauli 1-0 away from home. The hosts played above their normal level and pushed Frankfurt hard. In all honesty, Frankfurt did have some luck on their side to get all three points..



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法兰克福VS多特蒙德



北京时间周六凌晨,德甲联赛第18轮,法兰克福将在德意志银行公园球场迎来多特蒙德。这是世界上第三好的联赛,当然仅次于英超和西甲。足球爱好者和认真的,渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待一场有趣的,可能相当开放的比赛,以这个联赛的标准来看,相对较高的质量!最重要的是,我们还有另一个非常有利可图的赌博机会!是的,多特蒙德上赛季一路晋级欧洲冠军联赛(UCL)决赛,但被皇家马德里击败。在进入决赛的路上,他们非常幸运地淘汰了马竞和巴黎圣日耳曼。事实上,两支对手的xG(两回合加起来)都明显高于多特蒙德。然而在德甲,他们毫无疑问是令人失望的。事实上,他们以63分的成绩仅排在第5位,但他们的xPTS数量要少得多,为55.43分。多特蒙德目前只排在第10位,他们只拿到了令人失望的25分。多特蒙德只有32次进球,丢了29个球。然而,他们的预期目标数量(xG)较低,为25.89。我想强调的是,法兰克福比上赛季好多了,他们以33分的成绩排在第三位。他们进了整整40个球,只比卫冕冠军勒沃库森少1球。法兰克福的防线并非坚如磐石,但也没有明显的弱点。事实上,他们已经丢了24个球。在主场,在他们喧闹的球迷面前,法兰克福在德甲联赛中只输了一场比赛——打进了令人印象深刻的23球。多特蒙德在客场表现不佳,只赢了1/8场德甲比赛!是的,多特蒙德的伤病危机现在已经缓解了。然而,他们仍然没有尼古拉斯·苏莱。阿德耶米因一种未知的疾病而受到质疑。至于主持人,a·阿曼达出局了。在主场,法兰克福应该是最受欢迎的,我们将充满信心地接受东道主+0.5障碍的选择!大多数最大的*公司认为多特蒙德在这里是边缘热门-没有理解他们的水平比上赛季下降了多少。我也不相信他们经验不足的主教练,Nuri Şahin, 36岁,无论是在战术技巧方面,还是作为一个领导者。


让我们记住多特蒙德在过去的七场比赛中只赢了一场。这场胜利是他们上一场客场3:1战胜沃尔夫斯堡的比赛。*公司给多特蒙德开出了2.15英镑的胜率!然而,最终的分数很容易误导人。事实上,东道主的进球次数(14比12)和射正次数都更多。多特蒙德确实有更多的射门脱靶。在他们的上一场比赛中,多特蒙德很尴尬——在客场以2-4输给了实力较弱的对手荷尔斯泰因基尔(Holstein Kiel),这是*市场上的大热门。客队在比赛中创造了1.12个进球——基尔队创造了1.87个进球,并且有3次射门和4次进球机会!多特蒙德的防守在这场比赛中甚至有些业余。第16轮多特蒙德表现不差,但在主场2-3不敌勒沃库森。然而,他们的防守看起来很不稳定。客队在上一场比赛中确实创造了更多机会,理应得到三分。在击败沃尔夫斯堡之前,多特蒙德在主场对阵霍芬海姆时表现令人失望。他们的胜率在1.35左右,但结果是1比1战平,但客队的进球次数(12比6)和射偏次数(9比3)更多。令人惊讶的是,多特蒙德只有一脚射门!此外,客队在xG的进球数比多特蒙德高得多——准确地说是1.23-0.61。2024年12月11日,欧冠联赛第6轮,多特蒙德虽然表现不差,但在主场2-3不敌巴塞罗那,西班牙客队的进球次数更多,射门次数也比巴萨多6次。然而,多特蒙德在xG上确实创造了更多的进球。德甲联赛第13轮,多特蒙德客场对阵博罗斯队Mönchengladbach,双方1-1战平。*公司给多特蒙德开出了2英镑的胜率。多特蒙德在上个赛季的进球确实多了一点,但考虑到胜率,我们整体上有点令人失望。法兰克福在12月有一段糟糕的——但也有些不走运的——连胜,但还没有取得两连胜。在最近的一场比赛中,他们非常强大,在主场4-1击败了弗赖堡。法兰克福取得了令人印象深刻的23次进球,只给客队7次机会。东道主也有更多的进球机会(4比1),射正和射偏(6比1)。xG值为2.34 ~ 0.52。在此之前,法兰克福并没有处于最佳状态,不得不在客场1-0击败圣保利。东道主计划

高于正常水平,并对法兰克福施压。说实话,法兰克福拿到全部三分确实有些运气。



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