Venezia VS Hellas Verona
Venezia and Verona lock horns in this Italian Serie A round 20 clash at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo in Venice very early Tuesday morning Beijing time. This is the 4th-best league on the planet. A match of poor quality by this league's standards is on the cards here.. My fans and I, however, have a fine betting opportunity to make even more profit betting on this league! Venezia were promoted from the Serie B to this level for this season. They have struggled – as expected. Indeed, Venezia lack quality in all areas of the game to do well at this level. I would be somewhat surprised if they were to avoid relegation.. Indeed, the last three teams face this terrible "fate". Venezia are currently in 19th/20 place in the standings. Venezia have only 19 points in their pocket. They have scored only 19 goals and have conceded 34 goals. Their attacks are often too slow and predictable – making it easy for the opponent to defend. However, their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is much bigger – 39.87 to be precise. I do not see them having potential for improvement. They have won only three of the 21 Serie A games. Mainly due to a difficult financial situation Venezia are expected to sell one of their key players, Finnish striker Joel Pohjanpalo, to Palermo. Pohjanpalo should play today but the transfer has infuriated the Venezia fans and might have a negative effect on the team. Indeed, selling Pohjanpalo could be seen as a sign of "giving up the fight" against relegation. Verona are not a great team either but have still taken 19 points. They have potential for a decent improvement. They have scored 24 goals and have conceded 47 goals. Their number of xGA is 39.98.
Let's remember that according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Verona are the bigger team here – by a decent margin. Indeed, their players have an estimated total market value of about 88 million euros. This is, in my expert opinion, still somewhat too low. Some 97-100 million would be a more realistic number.. The Venezia squad is valued at only around 68 million. The bookies offer odds of only around 2.25 to take all three points. With the expected lineups, even taking the home advantage into account, Venezia deserve to be only very marginal favourites. We will place a bet on the Verona +0.5 goals handicap option. Let's not forget that Venezia have won only one of their last 11 games, losing the majority of these 11 matches. In their last match Venezia traveled to Parma and took a point – 1-1. However, the hosts recorded many more goal attempts (19-7), shots on goal, shots off target as well as shots inside the penalty box. They also generated much more in expected goals (xG). Before this they lost to Inter only 0-1 at home but the hosts generated only 0.35 in xG. Inter's number was 2.01 and they also recorded many more big scoring chances – 4-1. Before this Venezia were the favourites according to the bookies against Empoli at home but it was a 1-1 draw. The visitors recorded 10 more goal attempts and had two big scoring chances – Venezia had none! Empoli generated 0.75 more in xG and should have won the game.. Verona have not been in great form recently but have still won two of their last six games. In their most recent match they lost to a strong team, Lazio. 0-3 at home as clear underdogs. However, Venezia recorded two more goal attempts and one more big scoring chance. The xG numbers were 1.56-1.58 so the final score is very misleading! In round 18 Verona proved that on a good day they can play at a pretty high level – beating Bologna 3-2 on the road as big underdogs on the betting market. Bologna even play in the iconic UEFA Champions League this season.. Yes, the hosts' T. Pobega was sent off in the 51st minute but the score was 1-2 at the time of the red card..
GOOD LUCK and Happy Holidays!
该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:
威尼斯VS维罗纳
北京时间周二凌晨，意甲第20轮比赛将在威尼斯皮埃路易吉·潘佐球场展开，威尼斯队和维罗纳队将展开激战。这是世界上第四好的联盟。按照这个联盟的标准，一场质量很差的比赛是有可能的。我的球迷和我，然而，有一个很好的投注机会，使更多的利润投注在这个联赛！本赛季，威尼斯队从乙级提升到这个级别。正如预期的那样，他们一直在挣扎。事实上，威尼斯在比赛的各个方面都缺乏质量，无法在这个水平上取得好成绩。如果他们能保级，我会有点惊讶。的确，最后三支球队面临着这种可怕的“命运”。威尼斯目前排名第19 /20位。威尼斯目前只拿到19分。他们只进了19球，丢了34球。他们的进攻往往过于缓慢和可预测，这使得对手很容易防守。然而，他们的预期进球数（xGA）要大得多——准确地说是39.87。我看不出他们有改进的潜力。在21场意甲比赛中，他们只赢了3场。主要是由于财政困难，威尼斯有望将他们的关键球员之一，芬兰前锋乔尔·波扬帕洛出售给巴勒莫。波扬帕洛今天应该上场，但是这次转会激怒了威尼斯球迷，可能会对球队产生负面影响。事实上，出售波扬帕洛可能被视为“放弃”保级的标志。维罗纳也不是一支伟大的球队，但他们仍然拿到了19分。他们有潜力取得不错的进步。他们进了24球丢了47球。它们的xGA数是39.98。
让我们记住，根据一个著名的和受人尊敬的德国网站Transfermarkt.com，维罗纳是这里更大的球队——以相当大的差距。事实上，他们的球员的总市值估计约为8800万欧元。以我的专家观点来看，这还是太低了。大约9700万到1亿是更现实的数字。威尼斯队的身价只有6800万欧元左右。*公司提供的*只有2.25左右，以获得所有三个点。考虑到预期的阵容，即使考虑到主场优势，威尼斯也应该只是一个非常小的热门。我们将下注维罗纳+0.5个进球障碍选项。别忘了，在过去的11场比赛中，威尼斯只赢了一场，在这11场比赛中输掉了大部分。在上一场比赛中，威尼斯客场挑战帕尔马，1-1拿下一分。然而，东道主的进球次数（19胜7负）、射正、射偏以及禁区内射门次数更多。他们也产生了更多的预期目标（xG）。在此之前，他们在主场0-1不敌国米，但东道主在g赛季只创造了0.35个进球。国米的数字是2.01，他们也创造了更多的进球机会——4比1。在此之前，根据*公司的说法，在主场对阵恩波利的比赛中，威尼斯是最受欢迎的，但结果是1-1战平。客队又尝试了10次进球，并获得了两次重要的得分机会——而威尼斯没有！恩波利在xG上多创造了0.75个进球，应该赢得比赛。维罗纳最近状态不佳，但在最近的六场比赛中仍然赢了两场。在最近的一场比赛中，他们在主场0-3输给了强队拉齐奥。然而，威尼斯队又有两次进球尝试和一次重要的得分机会。xG的数字是1.56-1.58，所以最终的比分是非常误导的！在第18轮比赛中，维罗纳证明了他们在一个好的日子里可以踢出相当高的水平——在客场以3-2击败博洛尼亚，在*市场上处于劣势。博洛尼亚本赛季甚至还参加了标志性的欧洲冠军联赛。是的，主队的T.波贝加在第51分钟被罚下，但红牌出示时比分是1-2。
祝你好运，节日快乐！
