Genoa VS Monza
Genoa host Monza in this Italian Serie A round 20 clash at Stadio Luigi Ferraris very early Tuesday morning Beijing time. This is the 4th-best league in the world. A match of pretty low quality by this league's standards is on the cards here.. My fans and I, however, have yet another lucrative betting opportunity to make even more profit betting on this league! Monza finished in 12th place last season – with 45 points to their account. However, their score difference was poor – 39:51. Genoa were stronger – taking 49 points and had a scored difference of 45:45. This season Genoa have been better than Monza – taking 23 points. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is bigger – 24.33 to be precise. They have netted the ball 18 times and have conceded 30 goals. Their number of expected goals (xG) is 23.95. Monza's season has been a disaster! They are in last place with a pathetic 13 points in their pocket. However, their number of xPTS is somewhat bigger.. They have scored 20 goals and have conceded 30 goals. Monza's number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 33.04. The teams last locked horns in August 2024 and Genoa took a 1-0 away win. Mainly thanks to Genoa's solid defending, Monza generated only 0.37 in xG. With the expected lineups, taking the substantial home advantage into account – Genoa deserve to be bigger favourites than the bookies believe.
Monza have won only one of their last 14 games. Moreover, Monza have lost seven of their most recent matches. In their last game they lost to Bologna 1-3 on the road. The hosts were much better – recording 15 more goal attempts. They also had many more shots on goal (7-1), big scoring chances (5-1) and shots inside the penalty box. Before this Monza took a lucky 2-1 home win over Fiorentina. Indeed, the visitors generated much more in xG – 1.54-0.67 to be precise.. Genoa have won two of their last four games. In their most recent match they lost to a much bigger club, Roma, 1-3 on the road as big underdogs. Roma did deserve to win but the xG numbers were 1.55-0.67 – more balanced than the final score reflects... Before this Genoa were strong – beating Parma 1-0 at home. They recorded five more goal attempts and allowed the visitors only 0.33 in xG. Genoa also had many more big scoring chances – 3-0!
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热那亚VS蒙扎
北京时间周二凌晨，意甲第20轮热那亚主场迎战蒙扎。这是世界上第四好的联赛。以联盟的标准来看，这是一场质量很低的比赛。我的球迷和我，然而，还有另一个有利可图的投注机会，使更多的利润投注在这个联盟！蒙扎上赛季以45分的成绩排在第12位。然而，他们的比分差距很小——39:51。热那亚更强，得到49分，两队的比分差距为45:45。本赛季热那亚比蒙扎要好，拿到了23分。然而，它们的期望值（xPTS）更大——准确地说是24.33。他们有18次进球，丢了30个球。他们的预期目标数（xG）为23.95。蒙扎的赛季简直是灾难！他们以可怜的13分排在最后一名。但是，它们的xpt数量要大一些。他们进了20球，丢了30球。蒙扎的预期进球（xGA）是33.04。两队上一次交锋是在2024年8月，热那亚客场1-0取胜。主要是由于热那亚稳固的防守，蒙扎在xG上的得分只有0.37。考虑到预期的阵容，考虑到主场优势，热那亚应该比*公司认为的更受欢迎。
蒙扎在过去的14场比赛中只赢了一场。此外，蒙扎最近输掉了七场比赛。上一场比赛，他们客场1-3输给了博洛尼亚。东道主的表现要好得多，他们多尝试了15次进球。他们也有更多的射门（7-1），更大的得分机会（5-1）和在禁区内的射门。在此之前，蒙扎在主场幸运地以2-1战胜了佛罗伦萨。实际上，访问者在xG - 1.54-0.67中生成的数据要多得多。热那亚在最近四场比赛中赢了两场。在最近的一场比赛中，他们以1-3的比分输给了比他们大得多的球队罗马。罗马确实应该获胜，但xG数据是1.55比0.67——比最终比分反映的更加平衡……在此之前热那亚在主场1-0击败了帕尔马。他们又有5次进球尝试，只给客队0.33分。热那亚也有更多的进球机会——3-0！
