The difference between these two teams is at least two goals. Villarreal boasts one of the best attacks in the league, while Valladolid is clearly the worst team in La Liga. Let’s break it down.
With 39 goals scored in 21 games, Villarreal has the third-best attack in the league, behind only Barcelona and Real Madrid, and even ahead of Atlético. Their frontline features Champions League-level players like Ayoze Pérez, Gerard Moreno, Álex Baena, and Thierno Barry, along with plenty of offensive depth from the bench. This makes them a team hungry for goals, with multiple ways to break down opponents.
Their biggest weakness is undoubtedly their defense, where they concede chances and goals too easily due to their attacking mindset, defensive fragility, individual mistakes, and lack of overall quality at the back. While their defense is more in line with a top 8-10 team, their midfield and attack are top four caliber. This imbalance explains why they have conceded 32 goals—the highest among the league’s top 12 teams. However, against a team like Valladolid, that shouldn’t be an issue.
Valladolid is, by far, the weakest team in the league, and they show no real signs of finding solutions or ambition to avoid relegation. One of their best players, Raúl Moro, is injured, and this squad is arguably weaker than many in the second division. To make matters worse, key midfielder Mario Martín is suspended for this fixture.
They made two signings this week—Aidoo and Nikitscher—but neither is expected to make an immediate impact or significantly raise the team’s level. They sit rock bottom, six points away from safety, and would need at least 23-25 points in the remaining 17 games to survive—almost Europa League-level numbers.
With only 14 goals scored and 42 conceded—the worst stats in the league—they have lost 14 of their 21 matches. Confidence, quality, and motivation are clearly lacking, as seen in their recent loss to direct relegation rival Espanyol in a crucial match.
Top teams have been dismantling them with ease in recent weeks. Real Madrid cruised to a 0-3 win last weekend, Girona won 3-0, and Atlético Madrid demolished them 0-5. There’s no reason to believe Villarreal won’t do something similar.
I expect Villarreal to attack relentlessly and create plenty of chances, more than enough to score at least 2-3 goals. They are also capable of keeping a clean sheet, and when they play with confidence and motivation, they have shown they can destroy almost any team in the league. Recent examples include their 5-2 win against Leganés and their 4-0 thrashing of Mallorca, where they scored four goals in just eight minutes.
Valladolid will likely sit deep, as they lack the quality to compete for possession or control the game against Villarreal. A high-pressing, box-to-box approach would be suicidal against a side with such attacking firepower. However, they have also proven that they don’t know how to defend properly, using the same failed tactics that led to heavy defeats against Madrid, Girona, and Atlético.
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这两支球队的差距至少有两个球。比利亚雷亚尔拥有联赛中最好的进攻之一，而巴利亚多利德显然是西甲最差的球队。让我们来分析一下。
比利亚雷亚尔在21场比赛中打进39球，在联赛中排名第三，仅次于巴塞罗那和皇家马德里，甚至领先于阿特拉西亚。他们的锋线拥有冠军联赛级别的球员，如阿约兹·帕姆雷兹、杰拉德·莫雷诺、Álex巴埃纳和蒂耶诺·巴里，以及板凳上充足的进攻深度。这使得他们成为一支渴望进球的球队，有多种方法可以击溃对手。
他们最大的弱点无疑是他们的防守，由于他们的进攻心态、防守脆弱、个人失误以及后防线整体素质的缺乏，他们很容易失去机会和进球。虽然他们的防守更符合8-10强的球队，但他们的中场和进攻都是前四强的水平。这种不平衡解释了为什么他们丢了32个球，是联赛前12强球队中丢球最多的。然而，面对像巴利亚多利德这样的球队，这应该不是问题。
到目前为止，巴利亚多利德是联赛中最弱的球队，他们没有表现出任何真正的迹象来找到避免降级的解决方案或雄心。他们最好的球员之一Raúl莫罗受伤了，这支球队可以说比许多乙级联赛的球队都弱。更糟糕的是，中场主力马里奥Martín将在本场比赛中停赛。
本周他们签下了两名球员——艾多和尼基切尔——但这两名球员都不会立即产生影响，也不会显著提高球队的水平。他们现在垫底，离安全只差6分，在剩下的17场比赛中至少需要23-25分才能生存下去——几乎是欧联杯的水平。
他们只进了14球，丢了42球，这是联赛中最糟糕的数据，21场比赛中他们输了14场。他们显然缺乏信心、实力和动力，就像他们最近在一场关键比赛中输给了保级对手西班牙人一样。
最近几周，顶级球队一直在轻松地拆除它们。皇家马德里上周末以0-3轻松取胜，赫罗纳以3-0获胜，马德里亚特兰蒂斯以0-5击败了他们。没有理由相信比利亚雷亚尔不会做类似的事情。
我希望比利亚雷亚尔能坚持不懈地进攻，创造出大量的机会，至少能进2-3个球。他们也有能力保持不失球，当他们充满信心和动力时，他们已经证明了他们几乎可以摧毁联盟中的任何一支球队。最近的例子包括他们5-2战胜莱甘斯，4-0大胜马洛卡，他们在8分钟内进了4个球。
巴利亚多利德很可能会坐得更靠后，因为他们缺乏与比利亚雷亚尔争夺控球权或控制比赛的能力。面对拥有如此强大进攻火力的一方，一个高压力、盒子对盒子的战术将是自杀式的。然而，他们也证明了他们不知道如何正确地防守，使用同样的失败战术导致了对马德里，赫罗纳和亚特兰蒂斯的惨败。
