[海外]赛事分析预测:皇家马德里vs马德里竞技预测

海外来料 2025-02-07 05:44:08 117 上一篇下一篇

本文由海外专家Simon Barlow独家放送:
  • 皇家马德里队因防守受伤而显得脆弱
  • 马德里竞技在90分钟内没有输掉过去七场德比中的任何一场
  • 自2016年以来,他们还没有在伯纳乌赢得过比赛,最近七场德比中有六场是在90分钟后抽签的

德比可能会令人失望

星期六’;在防守伤病危机中,皇家马德里队和西甲前两名马德里竞技队的比赛可能会让主队有点失望。从理论上讲,这对迭戈·西蒙尼来说是一个巨大的机会;中国队自2016年以来首次在伯纳乌战胜对手。

但安切洛蒂是一位善于寻找解决方案和管理自己摆脱困境的大师,看到这位意大利战术家想出一种扼杀高飞的Rojiblancos的方法也就不足为奇了。

在过去的21场比赛中,马德里竞技队在所有比赛中赢得了19场,在过去的7场联赛和杯赛德比中,他们在90分钟内对皇家马德里队保持不败。因此,有充分的理由支持他们,以避免在这场冲突中再次失败。

安切洛蒂的防守问题越来越多

皇家马德里将没有长期缺席的丹尼·卡瓦哈尔和埃德·米利滕,以及受伤的二人组爱德华多·卡马文加和安东尼奥·鲁迪格,而大卫·阿拉巴的健康状况仍有疑问。Federico Valverde和Aurelien Tchouameni中的一个或两个可以部署在安切洛蒂;虽然教练希望他在周中的国王杯比赛中让裘德·贝林厄姆和基莉安·姆巴佩休息的计划能得到回报。

这是一场重要的比赛,但对于皇家马德里来说,这是一个生存的机会,不一定能茁壮成长。在这种情况下,平局是一个可以接受的结果,历史表明,当这两场比赛发生碰撞时,平局总是一个可能的选择。

在过去的七场联赛和杯赛中,有六场在90分钟后全部结束,其中四场比赛在全时哨声响起时以1比1陷入僵局。

预言: 马德里竞技双机会(赢或平局)
绘制1-1


外文原文如下:

  • Real Madrid appear vulnerable due to their defensive injuries
  • Atletico Madrid have not lost any of the last seven derbies in 90 minutes
  • They have not won at the Bernabeu since 2016 with six of the last seven derbies being drawn after 90 minutes

Derby could be disappointing

Saturday’s clash of Real Madrid and Atletico, the top two in La Liga, could turn out to be a bit of a letdown with the home side in the midst of a defensive injury crisis. On paper, this is a huge chance for Diego Simeone’s side to overtake their rivals by winning at the Bernabeu for the first time since 2016.

But Carlo Ancelotti is a master at finding solutions and managing his way out of tight spots like this and it would be no surprise to see the Italian tactician conjure up a way to stifle the high-flying Rojiblancos.

Atleti have won 19 of their last 21 games in all competitions and remain undefeated against Real Madrid inside 90 minutes in any of the last seven league and cup derbies. So there is plenty of reason to back them to avoid defeat again in this clash.

Defensive problems mount for Ancelotti

Real Madrid will be without long-term absentees Dani Carvajal and Éder Militão, plus injured duo Eduardo Camavinga and Antonio Rüdiger while there is a doubt about the fitness of David Alaba. One or both of Federico Valverde and Aurelien Tchouameni could be deployed in Ancelotti’s back four while the coach will hope his plan to rest Jude Bellingham and Kylian Mbappe from the midweek Copa del Rey clash pays off big time.

This is a big game, but for Real Madrid it is one to survive and not necessarily thrive in. A draw would be an acceptable result in the circumstances and history suggests it is always a likely option when these two collide.

Six of the last seven league and cup derbies have finished all square after 90 minutes with four of those contests deadlocked at 1-1 when the full-time whistle was blown.

Predictions:Atletico Madrid Double Chance (Win or Draw)
Draw 1-1

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