- 在埃弗顿最近10次客场联赛中，有8次进球不到3个
- 布伦特福德过去六场主场比赛中，有四场只进了不到三个球
- 布伦特福德在最近五场英超主场比赛中未能获胜，而埃弗顿在过去五场客场联赛中有四场避免了失败
蜜蜂队在狐狸队冲四球后回到基地
布伦特福德最近的主客场表现形成鲜明对比，这使得他们更容易在周三对阵难以击败的埃弗顿队前往Gtech社区体育场时提出反对。
周五，蜜蜂队在国王电力体育场以4比0击败莱斯特城队，连续第四场赢得英超联赛客场比赛。托马斯·弗兰克的球队表现得很冷静，六次射门中有四次击中了目标，并利用了该师防守记录第二差的球队。
但布伦特福德发现，自圣诞节以来，这种类型的表演在伦敦西部更难获得。他们在过去的五场主场联赛中只拿了一分，今年1月，他们甚至在Gtech社区体育场举行的足总杯上输给了当时无主教练的冠军争夺者普利茅斯阿盖尔。
太妃糖在旅行中像柚木一样坚韧
有人认为，蜜蜂队最近的主场战绩是他们积分不足的主要因素，这是正确的。他们最后五名访客的平均联赛排名目前为4.4，在每场比赛当天仍然是5.6。
然而，如果对埃弗顿最近五次客场之旅进行这样的计算，他们只输了一次，却取得了背靠背的胜利，结果也说明了一个问题。
太妃糖已经通过了客场测试，对阵的球队当时的平均联赛排名为7.6，现在为6.6。这表明，为了避免在客场输给目前排名第11位的俱乐部，他们有点价值。
防守可以在周中的比赛中占据主导地位
大卫·莫耶斯的球队在周六的比赛中不幸没有击败曼联，他们统治了70多分钟，并因似乎不必要的VAR干预而被拒绝了补时点球。
他们阻止了曼联在公开赛中创造任何值得注意的东西，红魔在2-2战平中的两个进球来自定位球后的精彩射门。埃弗顿在后场看起来足够稳固，可以防止蜜蜂队的前锋在周三获得太多的快乐，如果中场不开放，这场比赛很可能会处于紧要关头。
同样，蜜蜂队的最后三名对手都没有设法获得大于0.8的xG，因此一场可能以1比1战平的低分比赛看起来同样有趣。
预言：
低于2.5个比赛进球
绘制1-1
Yoane Wissa随时得分
外文原文如下：
- Fewer than three goals have been scored in eight of Everton’s last 10 away league trips
- Fewer than three goals have been scored in four of Brentford’s last six home games
- Brentford have failed to win their last five home Premier League matches while Everton have avoided defeat in four of their last five away league games
Bees back at base after four-goal flushing of Foxes
The stark contrast between Brentford’s recent home and away form makes them easier to oppose when a tough-to-beat Everton side make the trip to Gtech Community Stadium on Wednesday.
The Bees won their fourth Premier League away game in succession on Friday when they trounced Leicester 4-0 at King Power Stadium. Thomas Frank’s side were clinical, scoring with four of their six total shots on target, and exploited the team with the second-worst defensive record in the division.
But Brentford have found those type of performances harder to come by in west London since Christmas. They have taken only one point from their last five home league games and in January even contrived to lose to then-managerless Championship strugglers Plymouth Argyle in the FA Cup at the Gtech Community Stadium.
Toffees have been tough as teak on their travels
It is correct to argue that the Bees’ recent home slate has been a major factor in their paucity of points. The average league position of their last five visitors is currently 4.4 and is still 5.6 when taken at the date of each fixture.
However, if such a calculation were made of Everton’s last five away trips, a run where they have lost only once and picked up back-to-back wins, the results also tell a story.
The Toffees have come through a testing away run against teams that had an average league position of 7.6 then and 6.6 now. That suggests that they are a bit of value to avoid defeat away to a club that are currently placed 11th in the table.
Defences can dominate in midweek match
David Moyes’ men were unlucky not to beat Manchester United on Saturday after dominating for 70-odd minutes and being denied a stoppage-time penalty for what seemed like a needless VAR intervention.
They prevented United from creating anything of note from open play with the Red Devils’ two goals in the 2-2 draw coming from wonder-strikes following set-pieces. Everton look solid enough at the back to prevent the Bees’ forwards from getting much joy on Wednesday and this game is likely to be on a knife edge if it does not open up in midfield.
Likewise, none of the Bees’ last three opponents have managed to muster an xG of greater than 0.8 against them, so a low-scoring contest that may finish tied at 1-1 looks like an equally interesting way in.
Predictions:Under 2.5 Match Goals
Draw 1-1
Yoane Wissa To Score Anytime
