Athletic Club VS AS Roma
Athletic Bilbao welcome Roma for this UEFA Europa League Playoffs (1/8-final) 2nd leg clash at Estadio San Mamés in Bilbao very early Thursday morning Beijing time. This the second-best of UEFA's three international club competitions. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a game of excellent quality by this league's standards here.. Most importantly, we have yet another interesting betting opportunity. Indeed, we have won 7/10 last picks in this league. The hosts are a Spanish team, Roma come from Italy. Firstly I want to mention that – as a whole - I consider the Spanish La Liga better than the Italian Serie A. Bilbao have played well this season and are currently in 4th place, behind three much bigger teams, Barcelona, Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid. Bilbao have grabbed a fine 49 points – only eight points less than the mighty "Los Blancos". At home they have – once again - been very strong this season. Indeed, they have lost only one game in front of their very loud and loyal fans in La Liga this season! At home their score difference is great – 27:9 to be precise. The nine goals allowed is the smallest number in La Liga! They have scored a total of 45 goals and have conceded 24 goals. However, their number of expected goals (xG) is 47.89. Roma have been slightly disappointing as a whole this season. They are in 7th place with 46 points and have a score difference of 43:30. However, their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is much bigger..
Yes, Roma won the 1st leg 2-1 last week. However, I want to highlight that Bilbao could easily have won the game! Indeed, they recorded many more goal attempts (16-12), shots off target and big scoring chances. The hosts did have more shots on goal though.. The xG numbers were 1.34-1.35. At home - in a must win situation - I expect to see a much more aggressive and confident Bilbao. If they are not leading (and are trailing on aggregate) I expect them to take big risks late into the second half. This decreases the probability of a draw – and increases the probability of my fans and I winning the bet on Bilbao. Odds of over 1.90 are widely available on the betting market. In their last game Bilbao had to settle for a 1-1 draw with Mallorca at home. However, Mallorca have been surprisingly good this season, occupying the 7th place. The game was a somewhat balanced one and Bilbao were a slight disappointment offensively – no denying this. Before losing in Rome, Bilbao lost to A. Madrid 0-1 away from home but recorded more goal attempts – 15-12. Their performance – as underdogs, of course, as a whole was okay.. Yes, Roma have taken many wins in a row and have, as a result, become too hot on the betting market. We must remember that their last four wins in the Serie A have come over poor - or very limited teams (Como) – Parma, Monza and Empoli being the three poor teams. In their last game they deservedly defeated Empoli 1-0. Roma allowed Empoli very little offensively but Empoli were extremely weak in this game - even worse than usual! Before beating Bilbao, Roma took a hard-fought 2-1 home win over Como. However, Como had more big scoring chances and Roma had only one more goal attempt – 11-10 to be precise. The xG numbers were very balanced - 1.54-1.50..
GOOD LUCK!
该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:
竞技俱乐部VS罗马
北京时间周四凌晨，毕尔巴鄂竞技将在毕尔巴鄂圣马姆萨斯球场迎来罗马的欧联杯季后赛（1/8决赛）第二回合比赛。这是欧足联三场国际俱乐部比赛中第二好的。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的高质量比赛。最重要的是，我们还有另一个有趣的下注机会。事实上，我们在这个联盟的最后10次选秀中赢了7次。东道主是西班牙队，罗马队来自意大利。首先，我想说的是，作为一个整体，我认为西甲联赛比意甲联赛更好。毕尔巴鄂本赛季踢得很好，目前排名第四，落后于三支更大的球队，巴塞罗那、皇家马德里和马德里竞技。毕尔巴鄂拿到了49分，只比强大的“白衣军团”少了8分。在主场，他们本赛季再次表现得非常强大。事实上，他们本赛季在西甲联赛中只在他们的忠实球迷面前输了一场比赛！在主场他们的比分差距很大，确切地说是27:9。9个失球是西甲最少的！他们总共进了45球，丢了24球。然而，他们的预期进球数（xG）是47.89。罗马这个赛季整体上有点令人失望。他们以46分排名第7，分差为43:30。然而，他们的预期进球数（xGA）要大得多。
是的，上周罗马2:1赢了第一回合。然而，我想强调毕尔巴鄂本可以轻松赢得比赛！事实上，他们的进球次数（16-12次）、射偏和大得分机会要多得多。不过主队的射门确实更多。xG值为1.34 ~ 1.35。在主场，在一场必胜的比赛中，我希望看到一个更有侵略性和自信的毕尔巴鄂。如果他们没有领先（并且总比分落后），我预计他们会在下半场后期冒很大的风险。这降低了平局的可能性，增加了我和我的球迷在毕尔巴鄂赢球的可能性。超过1.90的*在*市场上随处可见。在上一场比赛中，毕尔巴鄂不得不在主场1-1战平马洛卡。然而，马洛卡本赛季的表现出奇的好，排在第七位。这场比赛是一场平衡的比赛，毕尔巴鄂在进攻端有点令人失望——不可否认这一点。在罗马输球之前，毕尔巴鄂客场0-1负于马德里，但他们的进球次数更多——15-12。他们的表现——作为弱者，当然，整体来说还不错。是的，罗马已经取得了许多连胜，因此在*市场上变得太热门了。我们必须记住，他们最近在意甲的四场胜利都是战胜了实力不强的球队（科莫）——帕尔马、蒙扎和恩波利是三支实力不强的球队。在上一场比赛中，他们以1比0击败了恩波利队。罗马给恩波利的进攻机会很少，但恩波利在这场比赛中表现得非常弱——甚至比平时更差！在击败毕尔巴鄂之前，罗马在主场艰难地以2-1战胜科莫。然而，科莫有更多的进球机会，而罗马只多了一个进球机会——准确地说是11比10。xG的数字非常平衡- 1.54-1.50…
好运！
