Just an announcement first. The Nordic leagues are about to start or have started already, and from the near I will focus on them. Stay tuned!
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Liverpool has won the title, Everton has not lost in the last 9. Why would they lose tonight?
Win Probability Liverpool: 65% Draw: 25% Everton: 10%
- Over/Under 2.5 Goals: 54% / 46%
Liverpool’s confidence has been shaken after defeats to PSG in the Champions League and Newcastle in the League Cup final. Adding to the pressure, speculation around key players—especially Trent Alexander-Arnold’s potential departure—has created tension within the squad. However, the more pressing issue is TAA’s injury, particularly in the absence of a clear replacement like Connor Bradley.
Everton, meanwhile, has drawn four consecutive matches, with performances matching expectations. David Moyes has stabilized the team, making their mid-table position justified. However, recent games suggest he has been managing risk levels carefully. While Everton’s injury situation is improving, left-back Vitaliy Mykolenko remains a doubt after sustaining a knock on international duty.
Liverpool’s recent performances have been far from impressive, but they don’t indicate a major decline in form either. The Merseyside derby at Anfield presents an excellent opportunity for a statement win. While squad issues and the derby atmosphere slightly temper their overwhelming favoritism, Liverpool remains a strong favorite, but not this strong!
The expected goal count is adjusted slightly downward due to the derby’s typically cagey nature, landing around 2.80 total goals
Two months ago they played a 2-2 draw with this timeline.
Good luck!
该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:
先宣布一下。北欧联赛即将开始或已经开始，从近我将关注他们。请继续关注!
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利物浦赢得了冠军，埃弗顿在过去的9场比赛中没有输过。为什么他们今晚会输？
胜率利物浦：65%平局：25%埃弗顿：10%
-超过/低于2.5个进球：54% / 46%
在欧冠输给巴黎圣日耳曼和联赛杯决赛输给纽卡斯尔之后，利物浦的信心受到了动摇。对关键球员的猜测——尤其是特伦特·亚历山大-阿诺德的潜在离开——增加了压力，这在球队内部造成了紧张。然而，更紧迫的问题是TAA的受伤，特别是在没有像康纳·布拉德利这样的替代者的情况下。
与此同时，埃弗顿已经连续四场战平，他们的表现符合预期。大卫莫耶斯稳定了球队，使他们的中游位置合情合理。然而，最近的比赛表明，他一直在谨慎地管理风险水平。虽然埃弗顿的伤情正在好转，但左后卫维塔利·米科连科在国家队比赛中受伤后能否上场仍然是个疑问。
利物浦最近的表现远非令人印象深刻，但他们也没有表现出状态的严重下降。在安菲尔德的默西塞德郡德比是一个很好的机会来赢得声明。虽然阵容问题和德比的气氛稍微缓和了他们压倒性的偏爱，但利物浦仍然是最受欢迎的，但不是这么强！
由于德比的特点，预期的进球数略有下降，总进球数约为2.80个
两个月前，他们用这个时间线打了一场2比2的平局。
好运！
