2025-04-08【英超】莱切斯特VS纽卡斯尔预测_分析

易红单 2025-04-07 19:08:02 46 上一篇下一篇

There is no such thing as this is still football and an away match, but let us take a look at the stats and form.

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Southampton and Leicester City supporters are enduring an ongoing saga of humiliation, with little relief in sight. The Saints were officially relegated yesterday, which at least brings an end to their dismal campaign, but Leicester's battle for survival continues. Despite the grim situation, a handful of fans may still be clinging to the hope of a miraculous escape. As the saying goes, "it's the hope that kills you."

Leicester have already set new records for incompetence at home, having lost seven consecutive matches at the King Power Stadium without scoring a single goal. In those defeats, each by at least two goals, they were 3-0 down at half-time in two games—against Wolves and Brentford (neither of which can be seen as particularly shameful opponents). Currently, Leicester sit 16 points adrift of safety, with only eight matches left in their campaign. They've taken a mere 17 points from their first 30 games, meaning their relegation is all but confirmed. The lack of confidence is palpable.

Defensively, Leicester have been a disaster all season, managing just one clean sheet—an anomaly in a game in October v Bournemoyth where they conceded a lot of xG, 17 shots, and were fortunate to see the woodwork save them on two occasions. In terms of their attacking struggles, they’ve failed to score in 7 of their last 9 home fixtures, further compounding the feeling of inevitability.

At home Leicester are 2-3-10, with a goal difference of 11-30.

The last 7 Leicester matches below, not very promising, is it? 0 goals, in total xG worth of 3, can we call them unlucky or just deadly poor?


On the other hand, The "Magpies" were far from their best in their 1-0 victory against Brentford last midweek. However, they managed to secure the points, which was always difficult following their euphoric celebrations after winning their first domestic silverware in 70 years. With that milestone out of the way, they will now build on that success and push for a top-5 finish, ideally cracking the top-4 spots to secure Champions League qualification.

A win in this upcoming match would see Newcastle level on points with Chelsea in 4th place, and considering Leicester's current form and predicament, both teams will be fighting tooth and nail for the full three points. That said, the disparity in quality and self-belief is glaring. United have won 14 of their last 18 matches against newly promoted teams, including the last six consecutive encounters. Regardless of whether Alexander Isak is fit to play, Leicester will be hard-pressed to avoid defeat, with head coach Eddie Howe optimistic about Isak's return to fitness for this game. Newcastle are heavy favorites, and they should secure a comfortable win barring any surprises.



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不存在这样的事情,因为这仍然是一场客场比赛,但让我们看看数据和状态。

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南安普顿和莱斯特城的支持者们正在忍受着一场持续不断的耻辱,看不到任何缓解的迹象。圣徒队昨天正式降级,这至少为他们惨淡的赛季画上了句号,但莱斯特城的生存之战仍在继续。尽管形势严峻,但少数球迷可能仍抱着奇迹脱险的希望。俗话说:“希望会杀死你。”

莱斯特城已经创造了主场表现不佳的新纪录,他们在国王权力球场连续输掉了七场比赛,一球未进。在那些每场至少落后两球的失利中,他们有两场比赛在半场0 - 3落后——对阵狼队和布伦特福德(这两场比赛都不能被视为特别可耻的对手)。目前,莱斯特城离安全点还有16分的差距,他们的赛季只剩下8场比赛了。他们在前30场比赛中只拿到了17分,这意味着他们的降级几乎是确定的。缺乏信心是显而易见的。

在防守端,莱斯特城整个赛季都是灾难,只有一次零封对手——这在10月对阵伯恩茅斯的比赛中是一个反常的现象,他们丢了很多次射门,17次射门,幸运的是他们两次被门框扑救。在进攻方面,他们在最近的9场主场比赛中有7场没有进球,这进一步加剧了这种必然性的感觉。

主场莱斯特的战绩是2-3-3 -10,净胜球为11:30。

下面是莱斯特城的最后7场比赛,不是很有希望,对吧?0个进球,总xG值3个,我们能说他们运气不好还是太可怜了?


另一方面,“喜鹊”在上周1-0战胜布伦特福德的比赛中远没有达到最佳状态。然而,他们设法确保了积分,这在他们70年来首次赢得国内奖杯后的兴奋庆祝中总是很困难的。有了这个里程碑,他们现在将在成功的基础上继续努力,争取进入前五名,理想情况下打进前四,以确保欧冠资格。

如果在这场即将到来的比赛中获胜,纽卡斯尔将与切尔西的积分持平,排在第四位,考虑到莱斯特城目前的状态和困境,两支球队都将竭尽全力争取全部三分。也就是说,在质量和自信方面的差距是显而易见的。曼联在最近18场对阵新升班马的比赛中赢了14场,包括最近连续6场比赛。不管伊萨克是否可以上场,莱斯特城都将面临着避免失败的压力,主教练埃迪·豪对伊萨克在这场比赛中恢复健康持乐观态度。纽卡斯尔是大热门,他们应该能确保一场轻松的胜利,除非出现意外。

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