NK Publikum Celje VS Fiorentina
Celje challenge Fiorentina in this UEFA Conference league Playoffs quarter-final battle at Stadion Z'dezele in Celje very early Friday morning Beijing time. “Challenge” is all I think they are capable of here is the difference in quality between the two teams is massive. Even so, football enthusiasts and us serious bettors can expect a match of better than average level by this league's standards here.. Most importantly we have another lucrative betting chance! Let's start with some important numbers to best understand how much better Fiorentina should be in terms of pure class! Indeed, according to Transfermarkt.com, a well-known and respected source, are the bigger team by a staggering margin here. Their players have an estimated total market value of some 282 million euros. However, around 295 million would be a more realistic number.. The Celje squad is valued at an estimated 13.50 million. This is, in my expert opinion, marginally too low though.
Fiorentina are an Italian team, the hosts come from Slovenia. Fiorentina are playing a pretty good season in the Serie A. Indeed, they are in 8th place - but only six points less than Atalanta, in 3rd place, have grabbed.. Fiorentina have netted the ball 49 times and have conceded only 32 goals. They have taken a respectable 52 points. They qualified for the final in the Conference League last season, losing to Olympiakos 0-1 despite being the better team on the pitch as a whole. They are a big club, of course, but not among the top-4 in Italy and - most importantly - unlike some very big European clubs – seem to take the Conference League very seriously! This league is, after all, only the third-highest of UEFA's three international club competitions but the winner earns a ticket for the UEFA Europa League next season! Chelsea are the favourites to win the Conference League but Fiorentina, too, have a genuine chance to go all the way. In my expert opinion the odds of close to 1.50 are too high – and definitely worth a bet. Celje are a pretty small team by the Conference League standards and are not among the very biggest/best teams even in Slovenia! They are only in 4th place in the Prva Liga – a whopping 19 points behind the current leaders, O. Ljubljana.
In their last game Celje beat Bravo 2-1 on the road, as favourites on the betting market. However, the hosts had a 53% ball possession and recorded many more total shots, shots on target and corner kicks. Before this they beat Maribor in the Slovenian Cup 1-0 and did perform well. However, I want to highlight that Maribor were very far from their best level in this game.. I will not give these wins too much emphasis on these two wins ahead of this massive challenge against Fiorentina, a team of totally different caliber than Bravo or Celje! Fiorentina have been in good form recently – taking three wins in their last four matches. In their most recent game they took a point from AC Milan on the road. It was a 2-2 draw. Fiorentina were priced around 5.00 to win by the bookies – which – based on the events on the pitch was too high. Indeed, the visitors recorded three more big scoring chances (6-3) and two more shots on target. Milan did record more in (xG) though. Before this Fiorentina defeated a big Greek team, Panathinaikos, one of the biggest teams in Italy Juventus - and Atalanta in their last Serie a match. The hosts were priced close to 4.00 to win on the betting market. This was clearly too high. Indeed, Fiorentina recorded many more total shots and did not allow Atalanta, a strong team, any shots on goal – recording four themselves! Moreover, they recorded three more scoring chances (4-1) than the visitors. Fiorentina also generated more in xG. In round 29 of the Serie A, some three weeks ago Fiorentina defeated Juventus 3-0 at home – as underdogs on the betting market. Taking into account the quality of the opponent was a terrific defensive performance from Fiorentina but the final score does, in all honesty, flatter them.
GOOD LUCK!
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塞雷纳VS佛罗伦萨
北京时间周五凌晨，在切列的泽泽勒球场，切列将在欧足联季后赛1 / 4决赛中迎战佛罗伦萨。“挑战”是我认为他们在这里所能做到的，两支球队之间的质量差距是巨大的。即便如此，按照联赛的标准，足球爱好者和我们这些认真的投注者可以期待一场高于平均水平的比赛。最重要的是，我们又有了一个赚钱的机会！让我们从一些重要的数字开始，以最好地理解佛罗伦萨在纯粹的阶级方面应该有多好！事实上，根据Transfermarkt.com（一个知名且受人尊敬的消息来源）的数据，在这里，我们是一支规模更大的球队。据估计，他们的球员总市值约为2.82亿欧元。然而，大约2.95亿是更现实的数字。切列队的身价估计为1350万欧元。在我的专家看来，这个价格太低了。
佛罗伦萨是一支意大利球队，东道主来自斯洛文尼亚。佛罗伦萨在意甲踢了一个相当不错的赛季。事实上，他们排在第8位，但只比排名第三的亚特兰大少6分。佛罗伦萨有49次进球，只丢了32个球。他们取得了可观的52分。上赛季他们进入了联盟联赛的决赛，尽管他们在球场上整体表现更好，但还是以0比1输给了奥林匹亚科斯。当然，他们是一家大俱乐部，但在意大利并不名列前四，最重要的是，与一些欧洲豪门俱乐部不同，他们似乎非常认真地对待联赛！毕竟，这个联赛只是欧足联三大国际俱乐部赛事中排名第三的，但获胜者将获得下赛季欧联杯的入场券！切尔西是最有希望赢得联赛冠军的球队，但佛罗伦萨也有真正的机会一路走下去。在我的专家看来，接近1.50的*太高了——绝对值得一赌。按照联盟的标准，Celje是一支相当小的球队，甚至在斯洛文尼亚也不是最大/最好的球队！他们目前在甲级联赛中仅排名第四，比目前的领头羊卢布尔雅那队落后19分。
在他们的上一场比赛中，切列客场2-1击败布拉沃，成为*市场上的热门球队。然而，主队的控球率为53%，射门次数、射正次数和角球次数也更多。在此之前，他们在斯洛文尼亚杯中以1比0击败马里博尔队，表现不错。然而，我想强调的是，在这场比赛中，马里博尔离他们的最佳水平还差得很远。在对佛罗伦萨的巨大挑战之前，我不会过多强调这两场胜利，这是一支与布拉沃或切列完全不同的球队！佛罗伦萨最近状态不错，在最近的四场比赛中取得了三场胜利。在最近的一场比赛中，他们在客场从AC米兰队手中拿走了一分。双方以2比2战平。*公司给佛罗伦萨开出了5英镑左右的胜率——基于球场上发生的事件，这个价格太高了。事实上，客队又创造了3次进球机会（6比3）和2次射正。不过米兰在（xG）上的记录更多。在此之前，佛罗伦萨在上一场意甲比赛中击败了希腊强队帕纳辛纳科斯（Panathinaikos）和亚特兰大。帕纳辛纳科斯是意大利最大的球队之一尤文图斯。在*市场上，东道主的*接近4英镑。这显然太高了。事实上，佛罗伦萨的射门次数更多，而且没有让实力强大的亚特兰大有任何射门机会——他们自己也有4次射门！此外，他们比客队多创造了3次得分机会（4比1）。佛罗伦萨在xG上的收入也更多。大约三周前，在意甲第29轮比赛中，佛罗伦萨在主场3-0击败了尤文图斯——尽管在*市场上处于劣势。考虑到对手的实力，佛罗伦萨的防守表现非常出色，但最后的比分，说实话，让他们感到欣慰。
好运！
