公羊确保安全
德比是周六在锦标赛主场击败斯托克城并保持其锦标赛地位的最佳选择，同时让波特队面临降级的威胁。客队本赛季在客场表现不佳，在22场客场比赛中只赢了4场，可能需要其他地方的帮助才能坚持下去。
斯托克城在积分榜上比德比高一位，但两队输掉的比赛都比他们多；我本赛季赢了。斯托克城12胜19负，德比13胜22负。在排名垫底的球队之间的129场比赛中，有59场（46%）是主场胜利。
上周末，德比在客场以1比0战胜赫尔城，保持了他们的胜利，下半场打入一球，确保了三分。他们会很高兴以9/4的价格赢得比赛。
斯托克城可能很难打破德比的防守，德比在联赛的最后四场主场比赛中保持了三场零封，公羊队的目标是连续第三场成功。
当斯托克城本赛季处于劣势时，支持他们将导致11.00个单位的损失，在他们作为劣势的25场比赛中只有4场胜利。
本赛季，他们在客场进球方面一直令人失望，在22场比赛中只进了16球；在客场平均每场比赛进0.73球。他们现在已经连续两场没有得分的锦标赛失利。
斯托克城’；他的防守看起来也很脆弱。本赛季，他们在锦标赛的客场已经丢了37个球；22场客场比赛平均每场1.68个进球；在过去的八场比赛中，有六场未能保持不失球。
德比可能会在一场势均力敌的比赛中击败斯托克城，主场以2比1获胜是正确的得分选择。斯托克城最近一直处于一些低得分的比赛中；过去九场比赛中有七场的进球数低于2.5球。
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马克·兰登编辑
Rams to secure safety
Derby are the best bet to beat Stoke at home in the Championship on Saturday and maintain their Championship status, while at the same time putting the Potters in threat of the drop. The visitors have been poor on the road this season, with just four wins in 22 away games and might need help elsewhere to stay up.
Stoke are one place above Derby in the table, but both teams have lost more games than they’ve won this season. Stoke have 12 wins and 19 defeats, while Derby have 13 wins and 22 losses. In the 129 games between teams in the bottom half of the table, 59 (46%) have been home wins.
Derby maintained their winning run with a 1-0 victory away at Hull last weekend, securing the three points with a second-half goal. They will be pleased to have been priced at 9/4 to win the game.
Stoke may struggle to break down a Derby defence that have kept three clean sheets in their last four home games in the league and the Rams are aiming for a third straight success.
Backing Stoke when they have been underdogs this season would have resulted in a -11.00-unit loss, with just four wins from their 25 games as an underdog.
They have been disappointing in front of goal away from home this season, scoring just 16 goals in 22 games – an average of 0.73 goals a game on the road. They have now lost two straight Championship games without scoring.
Stoke’s defence is also looking vulnerable. They have conceded 37 goals on the road this season in the Championship – an average of 1.68 goals per game from 22 away games – and have failed to keep a clean sheet in six of their last eight matches.
Derby may be able to edge out Stoke in a close game, with a 2-1 home win the correct-score pick. Stoke have been in some low-scoring games of late – seven of the last nine have gone under 2.5 goals.
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Edited by Mark Langdon
