AC Oulu VS Gnistan Helsinki
AC Oulu and Gnistan lock horns in this Finnish Veikkausliiga round 6 clash at Raatin Stadion in the city of Oulu very early morning Sunday Beijing time. This is the first tier of Finnish football. However, the level of this league is modest by European standards.. Here we can expect a game of slightly worse than average level. There are, in all honesty, better matches to watch today.. We have won 9/11 last games betting on this league and have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity here! Indeed, the odds on Gnistan have dropped way too much in the last few hours.. Indeed, based on my strongly data-based analysis Gnistan are only very marginal favourites here.. The current odds of around 2.20 on the away win are not by any means justified! We will take the Oulu +0.5 goals handicap option! Indeed, Gnistan will be without four players, including a pretty important defender, O. Petterson. The distance between Helsinki and Oulu is some 600 km and an estimated maximum of 20-30 Gnistan fans are expected to be cheering for their team at Raatin Stadion. Moreover, the pitch in Oulu is not expected to be in too great shape as it is early season.. Oulu should have a slight advantage there..
I want to highlight that this is, rather interestingly, Oulu's first home game of the season! I expect big support from the home fans here. The reason for the five away games is the location (and subsequent hostile/cold conditions) in Oulu - for playing football, I mean.. Especially because of the "bizarre" schedule of play I will not overreact to them winning only one of the five Veikkausliiga games.. They have three points to their account but their number of expected points (xPTS) is bigger. They have scored a decent nine goals but should defend better as a team to climb up the standings.. Furthermore, they have faced three in-form top5-teams in this league - KuPS, SJK and Inter Turku. They lost all three games but especially against KuPS, in the opening round, they could even have won the game! I want to highlight that KuPS top the standings with six wins and one draw.. Indeed, Oulu recorded more total shots, shots on goal, corner kicks (6-1) and big scoring chances – 3-1! KuPS won 1-0, generating 0.29 more in expected goals (xG).
Oulu's last season was a bit of a “circus” with the head coach changes and a lot of players coming and going.. Things look more stable now, the same head coach as at the end of last season is still in charge. There are also more Finnish players in the squad. On paper they are worse than Gnistan – but not by a wide margin.. In my preseason analysis I rated Oulu better and Gnistan a bit worse than the betting market did. Oulu have now won the games in a row – surely a big boost to their confidence! In their last game they swept past Hercules 5-1 in the Finnish Cup. Before this they beat KTP, 3-1 away from home, as underdogs on the betting market. However, the hosts' J. Koski was sent off in the 1st half when the score was 0-1.. Oulu recorded many more total shots, shots on goal and big scoring chances. They also generated 1.14 more in xG. Yes, Gnistan have improved from the first two games but have still not impressed me as a whole.. In their last game they defeated JäPS 2, a very poor amateur team, 3-0 away from home in the Finnish Cup. Before this they defeated IFK Mariehamn, the worst team in this league in terms of pure class, 2-0 at home. Gnistan were priced around 1.50-1.55 to win by the bookies. They did record more total shots but the visitors had one more big scoring chance (1-0) and generated 0.23 more in xG. Gnistan are only in 9th place with six points. Their score difference is not great – 6:8 to be precise.
GOOD LUCK - and thanks to all my my loyal fans!
该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:
奥卢ac VS赫尔辛基Gnistan
北京时间周日凌晨，AC奥卢队和格尼斯坦队在芬兰足球联赛第6轮的比赛中在奥卢市的拉廷体育场进行了激烈的交锋。这是芬兰足球的第一梯队。然而，按照欧洲的标准，这个联赛的水平是中等的。在这里，我们可以期待一款略低于平均水平的游戏。老实说，今天有更好看的比赛。我们上一场赌这个联赛赢了9/11，现在又有一个非常赚钱的赌球机会！的确，在过去的几个小时里，阿富汗的*下降了很多。事实上，根据我强烈的数据分析，巴基斯坦在这里只是非常边缘的热门…目前客场获胜的*约为2.20，无论如何都不合理！我们将采取奥卢+0.5个进球障碍选项！事实上，格尼斯坦将失去四名球员，包括一名非常重要的后卫O.彼得森。赫尔辛基和奥卢之间的距离约为600公里，预计最多将有20至30名吉尔吉斯斯坦球迷在拉廷体育场为他们的球队加油。此外，在奥卢的球场预计不会有太大的形状，因为这是赛季初期。奥卢在这方面应该有一点优势。
我想强调的是，很有趣的是，这是奥卢本赛季的第一场主场比赛！我期待着主场球迷的大力支持。五场客场比赛的原因是奥卢的位置（以及随后的恶劣/寒冷的天气）——我的意思是踢足球……特别是因为“奇怪”的比赛日程，我不会对他们只赢得五场维克考斯利亚比赛中的一场反应过度。他们的账户上有3个点，但他们的预期点数（xPTS）更大。他们已经进了9个不错的球，但作为一支球队，他们应该更好地防守，以便在积分榜上攀升。此外，他们还面对过三支状态良好的联赛前5强球队——up， SJK和国际图尔库。他们输掉了所有的三场比赛，但特别是对up，在首轮，他们甚至可以赢得比赛！我想强调的是，ups以6胜1平的成绩排名第一。事实上，奥卢的射门次数、射正次数、角球次数（6比1）和进球机会（3比1）都更多！卡普斯1比0获胜，预期进球数（xG）高出0.29个。
奥卢的上个赛季有点像“马戏团”，主教练换了又换，很多球员来了又走。现在情况看起来更稳定了，上赛季末的主教练仍然在执教。球队中也有更多的芬兰球员。理论上，他们比阿富汗差，但差距不大。在我的季前赛分析中，我对奥卢的评价比*市场的要好，而对格尼斯坦的评价则略差。奥卢现在已经连赢了两场比赛，这无疑极大地增强了他们的信心！在上一场比赛中，他们在芬兰杯上以5比1横扫大力神。在此之前，他们在客场3-1击败KTP，在*市场上处于劣势。然而，在上半场比分为0-1时，东道主的j·科斯基被红牌罚下。奥卢的射门次数、射正次数和进球机会都更多。他们在xG中也产生了1.14个。是的，吉尔吉斯斯坦在前两场比赛中有所进步，但整体上仍然没有给我留下深刻的印象。在上一场比赛中，他们在芬兰杯客场以3比0击败了一支非常糟糕的业余球队JäPS 2。在此之前，他们在主场以2比0击败了联赛中实力最差的玛丽汉姆队。*公司的*在1.50-1.55左右。他们的总射门次数确实更多，但客队有一个更大的进球机会（1-0），在第6场比赛中多创造了0.23个进球。吉尔吉斯斯坦以6分仅排在第9位。他们的比分差距不大，确切地说是6:8。
祝你好运，并感谢我所有的忠实粉丝！
