Famalicao have seen 69% of their home games end with under 2.5
Famalicao have won four of their last five away games
Casa Pia have failed to win any of their last seven away games
Dead Rubber Duel Set for Low-Scoring Finish
Famalicão host Casa Pia in the final round of Liga Portugal fixtures, with both sides sitting in mid-table—8th and 7th respectively—and no chance of securing European qualification. This is very much a dead rubber, with little on the line beyond pride. Neither side comes into this in great form, but Famalicão’s home record stands out in contrast to their away performances. They’ve won four of their last five home matches, with the other ending in a draw. Their home games tend to be low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals landing in 69% of them. Casa Pia, meanwhile, average just one goal per game on the road and concede 1.43 goals per away match on average. The reverse fixture ended in a 1-1 draw, and under 2.5 goals landed comfortably there too.
With little motivation on either side, this could be a cagey, dull affair. Based on home form alone, Famalicão are fancied to edge it, but the standout angle is backing under 2.5 goals once again. A small flutter on a 1-0 to the Famalicenses could be worth a small flutter.