Bayer 04 Leverkusen VS AC Milan
Bayer Leverkusen welcome AC Milan for this UEFA Champions League league stage round 1 battle at BayArena early Wednesday morning Beijing time. This is the highest of UEFA's three club competitions. The hosts are the reigning champions of Germany. AC Milan come from Italy. The Bundesliga is, in my opinion, the 3rd-best league in the World. The Serie A is 4th-best. Leverkusen took a stunning 90 points in the Bundesliga last season! This season I expect them to fight hard against Bayern Munich for the championship.. Let's not forget that under the Spanish head coach, Xabi Alonso, Leverkusen were undefeated in some 50 games in a row last season. I rate Alonso as one of the best coaches on the planet. Moreover, Leverkusen managed to keep most of their important players for this season, unlike for example Bologna and Girona, both of which did very well last season.. Leverkusen have started the Bundesliga season well, taking 10 points in five games – despite facing two very strong opponents, Bayern Munchen and Leipzig. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is slightly higher. Last Saturday they took a point from Bayern away from home, as clear underdogs on the betting market, after a fine defensive performance! Bayern did generate more in expected goals (xG) though. Before this Leverkusen took three five wins in a row. In the Champions league opening round they crushed a dangerous Dutch team, Feyenoord, 4-0 away from home after a terrific performance! In round of the Bundesliga 2 they lost to Leipzig 2-3 but generated a lot more in xG! A very unlucky defeat indeed! The home advantage is huge here as Leverkusen have awesome fans and I see Milan struggling trying to deal with Leverkusen's active, fast and very offensive but still well-organized style of play.. Odds of around 1.65 are available and we will eagerly place a bet on Leverkusen. They are also the bigger team here in terms of players' estimated total market value, according to Transfermarkt.com.
Milan have not been great on the road recently, winning just 1/6 last competitive away games.. Even the win came over Inter at the same stadium AC Milan play their home games at. Milan played their best game this season against Inter, winning 2-1. However, Inter were very far from their best. Even so, the match could have gone either way.. At halftime Inter's live odds to win were only slightly higher than before the game, reflecting the events on the pitch. Inter were also big favourites in the live betting right until Milan's late 2-1 goal.. I believe the very surprising win over Inter still affects Milan's odds.. In their last game Milan beat Lecce at home 3-0 as very big favourites on the betting market. They did generate more in xG but the xG numbers were "only" 2.11-1.17. Lecce even had one more goal attempt and shot on goal! Milan are currently in 3rd place in the Serie A with 11 points. I see them finishing in 3-5th place as Inter and Juventus are clearly better in terms of pure class.. Yes, Milan finished in 2nd place last season, taking 75 points but this season is expected to be much more difficult.. Milan's number of expected points last season was "only" 65.77. In their first Champions League game, a few weeks ago, Milan were terrible, losing 1-3 at home to Liverpool. Milan took an early lead but Liverpool's Konate pretty soon leveled the score. Milan generated only 0.55 in xG – Liverpool managed 2.78! The visitors also recorded more goal attempts (24-8), shots on target (8-2), shots off goal, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks! Leverkusen and Liverpool have some similarities in their style of play - and Milan's defence and midfield are not likely to keep up with the tempo and individual skill of the Leverkusen players.. Milan have a few very good players, like R. Leao, but as a team they cannot match Leverkusen in any area of the game. I also do not trust their Portuguese coach, P. Fonseca as a leader or in terms of tactics..
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勒沃库森VS AC米兰
北京时间周三凌晨，勒沃库森将在拜仁球馆迎来与AC米兰的欧冠联赛第一轮比赛。这是欧足联三场俱乐部比赛中最高的。东道主是德国的卫冕冠军。AC米兰来自意大利。在我看来，德甲是世界上第三好的联赛。意甲排名第四。勒沃库森上赛季在德甲联赛中取得了惊人的90分!本赛季我希望他们能和拜仁慕尼黑争夺冠军。我们不要忘记，在西班牙人阿隆索的带领下，勒沃库森上赛季保持了50场不败。我认为阿隆索是这个星球上最好的教练之一。此外，勒沃库森本赛季保留了大部分重要球员，不像博洛尼亚和赫罗纳，这两支球队上赛季都表现得很好。勒沃库森在德甲开局不错，5场比赛拿到10分，尽管他们面对的是两个非常强大的对手，拜仁慕尼黑和莱比锡。但是，它们的期望值(xPTS)略高一些。上周六，他们在客场从拜仁手中夺走了一分，尽管在*市场上他们显然处于劣势，但他们在防守方面表现出色!尽管如此，拜仁确实创造了更多的预期进球(xG)。在此之前勒沃库森取得了三连胜五连胜。在欧冠联赛的首轮比赛中，他们在客场以4比0击败了危险的荷兰队费耶诺德。在德甲第二轮，他们以2-3不敌莱比锡，但在xG创造了更多的进球!真是一次非常不幸的失败!主场优势是巨大的，因为勒沃库森有很棒的球迷，我看到米兰在努力应对勒沃库森的积极、快速和非常有攻击性，但仍然组织良好的打法。*约为1.65，我们将热切地把赌注押在勒沃库森。根据Transfermarkt.com的数据，就球员的估计总市值而言，他们也是英超最大的球队。
米兰最近在客场表现不佳，最近的客场比赛只赢了1/6。即使这场胜利是在AC米兰主场比赛的同一个球场战胜国际米兰的。米兰在对国米的比赛中打出了本赛季最好的一场比赛，2-1获胜。然而，国米还远远没有达到最佳状态。即便如此，这场比赛也可能是两种结果。半场结束时，国米获胜的现场*仅略高于比赛前，这反映了球场上发生的事情。在米兰最后时刻2-1入球之前，国米也是现场投注的大热门。我相信对国米的意外胜利仍然影响着米兰的胜率。在上一场比赛中，米兰在主场3-0击败莱切，成为*市场上的热门球队。他们在xG中确实产生了更多，但xG数字“只有”2.11-1.17。莱切甚至还有一次射门尝试，而且射正了!米兰目前以11分排名意甲第三。我认为他们最终会排在第3-5位，因为国米和尤文图斯在纯粹的水平上明显更好。是的，米兰上赛季以75分的成绩排名第二，但本赛季预计会更加困难。米兰上赛季的预期积分“只有”65.77分。几周前，在他们的第一场欧冠比赛中，米兰表现糟糕，主场1-3输给了利物浦。米兰一开始就领先，但利物浦的科内特很快就扳平了比分。米兰在上一季只进了0.55球，而利物浦却进了2.78球!客队的进球次数(24-8次)、射正次数(8-2次)、射偏次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数也更多!勒沃库森和利物浦在比赛风格上有一些相似之处——米兰的后防线和中场不太可能跟上勒沃库森球员的节奏和个人技术。米兰有几名非常优秀的球员，比如莱奥，但作为一支球队，他们在比赛的任何领域都无法与勒沃库森匹敌。我也不相信他们的葡萄牙教练冯塞卡的领导和战术。
