PSV Eindhoven VS Sporting CP
PSV welcome Sporting CP for this UEFA Champions League league stage round 2 battle at Philips Stadion in Eindhoven early Wednesday morning Beijing time. This is the highest of UEFA's three club competitions. The hosts are the reigning champions of the Netherlands. They took 91 points last season, seven more than Feyenoord. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) was much lower. They have won all seven games in the Eredivisie so far but face an extremely strong opponent here! PSV will be without Fofana, Lozano and Veerman. Dest and Oppegaard are questionable. As for Sporting, Edwards, Goncalves and St. Juste are injured. Sporting were dominant in the Liga Portugal last season, losing just two games and winning 29 of the 34 matches! I see them as the much better-organized team of the two here and have a slight edge in players' average skill level as well. In R. Amorim they have a very good but often underrated coach. PSV's P. Bosz is no match for Amorim – especially in terms of tactical skills. With the expected lineups, even with the substantial home advantage Sporting deserve to be clear favourites and their current odds of some 2.30 are too high! This is the bet I have placed myself and recommend to my fans!
Sporting have now won eight games in a row. In their last five games they have not allowed a single goal! In their last game they crushed Estoril 3-0 away from home. They had 21 goal attempts and allowed Estoril only 0.23 in expected goals (xG). In a UEFA Champions League league stage round 2 they beat Lille, a dangerous French team, 2-0 at home, recording 18 goal attempts and allowing the visitors only three. The xG numbers were 1.77-0.43. PSV lost to Juventus, an Italian team, in the round 1 1-3 away from home. It was not a terrible performance but Juventus generated 2.77 in xG – PSV managed only 0.83. In their last match PSV beat a lowly team, Willem II, 2-0 on the road as very big favourites on the betting market. They recorded four more goal attempts – 12-8. The xG numbers were 1.45-0.93 in their favour. It was a decent but not great performance from PSV as a whole. In round 7 PSV generated only 1.33 in xG against Sittard despite being priced around 1.20 to win by the bookies. They won 3-1 in the end. I must say that it I was not impressed with their offensive structure or creativity.. They would have to improve – or get lucky - to beat a team of Spotting's caliber here..
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埃因霍温VS体育CP
北京时间周三凌晨，埃因霍温的飞利浦球场将迎来埃因霍温竞技CP的欧冠第二轮比赛。这是欧足联三场俱乐部比赛中最高的。东道主是卫冕冠军荷兰队。上赛季他们得到91分，比费耶诺德多7分。然而，他们的期望值(xPTS)要低得多。到目前为止，他们已经赢得了所有七场荷甲比赛，但在这里面对一个非常强大的对手!埃因霍温将失去福法纳、洛萨诺和维尔曼。Dest和Oppegaard是有问题的。至于体育方面，爱德华兹、冈萨尔维斯和圣贾斯蒂受伤。上个赛季，里斯本竞技在葡萄牙联赛中占据统治地位，只输了两场比赛，在34场比赛中赢了29场!我认为他们是这两支球队中组织得更好的一支，在球员的平均技术水平上也有一点优势。在阿莫里姆，他们有一个非常好的教练，但经常被低估。埃因霍温的博斯不是阿莫里姆的对手，尤其是在战术技巧方面。根据预期的阵容，即使在主场有很大的优势，体育也应该是明显的热门，他们目前的*约为2.30，这太高了!这是我把自己的赌注，并推荐给我的粉丝!
竞技队已经连续赢了八场比赛。在最近的五场比赛中，他们一球都没有失球!在上一场比赛中，他们客场3-0大胜埃斯托里尔。他们有21次射门机会，让埃斯托里尔的预期进球数仅为0.23 (xG)。在欧冠联赛第二轮的比赛中，他们在主场2-0击败了危险的法国队里尔，创造了18次进球机会，只给客队3次机会。xG值为1.77 ~ 0.43。在第11轮比赛中，埃因霍温客场1-3负于意大利球队尤文图斯。这并不是一场糟糕的比赛，但是尤文图斯在比赛中打进了2.77球，而埃因霍温只打进了0.83球。在上一场比赛中，埃因霍温客场2-0击败了一支实力较弱的球队威廉二世，成为*市场上的热门球队。他们又尝试了4次射门，12胜8负。他们的xG值为1.45-0.93。这对埃因霍温来说是一场不错的比赛，但不是很出色。在第7轮埃因霍温对阵西塔德的比赛中，尽管*公司的胜率在1.20左右，但埃因霍温的xG收益只有1.33。他们最后以3比1获胜。我必须说，如果我对他们的进攻结构和创造力没有印象的话……他们必须提高——或者运气好——才能击败一支像斯坦因这样的球队。
