They have met twice in the last 18 months with Cyprus coming out on top in both of them
Lithuania had an xG of 1.41 in the reverse fixture
Lithuania are on a four match losing streak
Cyprus to guarantee safety with double over Lithuania
Cyprus faces Lithuania in a League C matchup. Both teams have struggled in this year’s competition, with Lithuania on zero points and Cyprus on three, thanks to their sole win in the reverse fixture. Lithuania put up a good fight at home and was perhaps unlucky not to score, generating an xG of 1.41. However, Cyprus came out on top, scoring in the first half and holding on through the second. A win here would guarantee safety for Cyprus, and playing in front of a home crowd today should give them a strong chance against an out of form Lithuania.
We can expect a few more goals this time around. If Lithuania can create similar to chances to what they have been, then it’s highly likely they will find a goal. Cyprus will probably struggle to hold out for another 1-0 win but we should see them go forward a bit more, they don’t create that many chances, but when they do they typically take them, and it’s quite likely they will push forward against a weaker, out of form team. I can see this ending 2-1 to them.