Switzerland have lost just one of their last fourteen home games
Serbia have lost six of their last ten away from home.
Switzerland have had an xG of over 1 in their last three matches
Bad run of form to end for the Swiss
Switzerland have been on a bad run in this season of the UEFA Nations League, picking up just one point in the first four games. They lost 2-0 in the reverse fixture, with things starting badly when an own goal put them 1-0 down, and any hopes of a comeback were dashed when Breel Embolo missed a penalty. It wasn’t their day, but they did play well, generating an xG of 1.6 compared to Serbia’s. This is very much a must-win game; otherwise, they will face relegation to League B. Expect them to go all out for this and secure the three points.
Serbia have been conceding quite a few goals when playing away from home, letting in five over their last two matches. Switzerland have the capability to score multiple goals against most teams, and if they get going, they could easily score at least three. Serbia are no strangers to scoring, though, and will likely get a goal themselves; however, it may just be a consolation, with this finishing 3-1 to the Swiss.