Fewer than three goals have been scored in three of Slovenia’s last four matches
Fewer than three goals have been scored in six of Slovakia’s last nine games
The first leg was 0-0 with neither side creating many good scoring opportunities
Oppose goals in Ljubljana
Slovenia will hope home advantage helps them secure their spot in League B of the Nations League against Slovakia in the second leg of their playoff in Ljubljana on Sunday. Although the two nations don’t share a border, there has been little to separate them in footballing terms for the past decade.
And clashes between the two rarely prove decisive either with one win for each and three draws in their five meetings since 2016. One common theme from those games is the lack of goals with only one of the five producing more than two goals and three of them featuring fewer than two.
The evidence of the first leg in Bratislava suggests opportunities to score will be at a premium on Sunday too. Slovakia created the only ‘big’ chance of the game and Jan Oblak was on hand to pull off a superb save.
Sesko is a Slovenian matchwinner
Neither team registered more than eight total shots or an expected goals (xG) figure greater than 0.8 so it would take a brave bettor to be looking at over 2.5 goals in this rematch. The odds reflect the distinct lack of cutting edge either side showed, but Slovenia have a potential matchwinner in Benjamin Sesko.
The RB Leipzig striker has been a threat at international level for a couple of years now and boasts an impressive tally of 16 goals from 40 games. No Slovakia player comes close to his goal ratio, which is why they may struggle to secure promotion from League C in another tight affair.
Predictions:Under 2.5 Match Goals Slovenia 1-0 Benjamin Sesko To Score Anytime
